Hornets vs Heat Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    136
    106
    26
    33
    37
    40
    24
    33
    31
    18

    🔊 Can the hosts halt the tournament's fastest offense? In this NBA regular season matchup, Charlotte take on Miami. Both teams boast a wealth of talented basketball players, yet their styles are drastically different. On home court, the Hornets are likely to display their characteristic brand of basketball.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last encounter between these opponents took place on March 7, where the Heat secured an away victory with a score of 128-120. Looking at their head-to-head in the context of the last five meetings, Miami clearly holds the advantage with a 4-1 record.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    31%
    19 Wins
    69%
    42 Wins
    14.04.26
    NBA
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    127
    126
    26
    24
    26
    30
    37
    29
    25
    31
    13
    12
    17.03.26
    NBA
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    136
    106
    26
    24
    33
    33
    37
    31
    40
    18
    07.03.26
    NBA
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    120
    128
    27
    30
    34
    28
    40
    40
    19
    30
    08.11.25
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    126
    108
    53
    33
    19
    36
    22
    19
    32
    20
    28.10.25
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    144
    117
    37
    34
    39
    26
    29
    28
    39
    29
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Charlotte Hornets Team Overview

    The Charlotte basketball team are facing a minor crisis. In their last five games, they've managed only two victories: against the lower-tier Western teams, Portland (103-101) and Sacramento (117-109). Even when up against high-speed opponents, the Hornets stick to their primary strategy: playing a very slow-paced game with a focus on shot quality over quantity. At least when it comes to long-range shots, this approach is paying off.

    Defensively, they've allowed an average of 113.4 points, which ranks 10th in the league. Admittedly, handling some of Miami's fast breaks will be challenging. However, in terms of roster depth and completeness, Charlotte holds an advantage. In individual matchups, especially when it comes to bench play, the hosts might have the edge. This is where their chance for success lies.

    Match Results: Charlotte Hornets

    17.04.26
    NBA
    Orlando Magic
    Orlando Magic
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    121
    90
    38
    16
    30
    21
    34
    34
    19
    19
    L
    14.04.26
    NBA
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    127
    126
    26
    24
    26
    30
    37
    29
    25
    31
    13
    12
    W
    12.04.26
    NBA
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    96
    110
    20
    30
    24
    27
    29
    30
    23
    23
    W
    10.04.26
    NBA
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit Pistons
    100
    118
    30
    36
    35
    32
    25
    25
    10
    25
    L
    08.04.26
    NBA
    Boston Celtics
    Boston Celtics
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    113
    102
    20
    31
    35
    30
    35
    26
    23
    15
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Miami Heat Team Overview

    Miami are in significantly better shape. If not for their recent defeat to Orlando (117-121), the Heat would be riding an impressive winning streak. Just before that setback, Erik Spoelstra's squad secured seven consecutive victories. It's plausible to expect that they'll exert maximum effort to get back on track. However, the coaching staff might need to slightly adjust their approach. Allowing Charlotte to take many shots from beyond the arc could be a recipe for disaster.

    On average, Miami score 119.9 points per game, ranking them second in the NBA. However, this is also influenced by their high pace of play. Their shooting efficiency is relatively poor at 46.3%, which places them only 20th in the league. Defensively, the situation isn't stellar either, as they concede 117.2 points. Yet, in defense of the visitors, that high tempo should be considered. Some defensive decisions remain exceptionally solid.

    Match Results: Miami Heat

    14.04.26
    NBA
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    127
    126
    26
    24
    26
    30
    37
    29
    25
    31
    13
    12
    L
    12.04.26
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    143
    117
    33
    24
    37
    37
    29
    23
    44
    33
    W
    10.04.26
    NBA
    Washington Wizards
    Washington Wizards
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    117
    140
    23
    34
    29
    38
    33
    33
    32
    35
    W
    09.04.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    128
    114
    32
    26
    37
    24
    33
    40
    26
    24
    L
    07.04.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    121
    95
    32
    27
    32
    24
    30
    25
    27
    19
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Charlotte Hornets

    ⛔️ The only significant loss for the Hornets is Salun.

    📋 Projected lineup: Ball, Knuppel, Miller, Bridges, Diabate.

    Miami Heat

    ⛔️ The visitors cannot count on Jovic and Wiggins due to injuries. Additionally, Rozier is suspended.

    📋 Probable lineup: Herro, Powell, Larsson, Adebayo, Ware.

    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    ⛔️ The visitors will be without Jovic and Wiggins due to injuries. Additionally, Rozier is suspended.

    📋 Projected lineup: Herro, Powell, Larsson, Adebayo, Ware.

    🏀 Three-Pointers

    When it comes to long-range attempts, Charlotte ranks among the best in the league. They convert an average of 37.8% of their attempts, with a high volume of shots at 42.1 per game. However, their defense against this aspect is notably weak, allowing opponents to hit 36.5%.

    Miami's perimeter performance is fairly average. They manage to sink 36.1% of their three-pointers, with significantly fewer attempts than their counterparts at 37.4 per game. On the defensive end, they perform well against long-range shots, conceding just 35%.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    It's plausible to envision a scenario where Miami opts for a fast-paced approach. After all, this strategy often works well for the visitors. However, the Heat have historically been known for their strong defense. They are also capable of playing at a slower tempo. It's likely that they will alternate between approaches. The Hornets understand that they might have a chance in a high-scoring shootout, especially with their excellent three-point shooting. However, in the race for a playoff spot, they need to play it safe. The coaching staff won't abandon a proven system. Our editorial team suggests betting on under 236.5 points total.

    Our choice
    Total points Under (236.5) at odds of -167*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 March 2026, 03:49)

    Betting Tips: Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat

    Charlotte Hornets have lost
    charlotte-hornetsmiami-heatin 10 of last 11 games against Miami Heat (NBA).
    Miami Heat Win (inc. OT)
    Bovada
    +180
    Charlotte Hornets lost the 1st half
    charlotte-hornetsmiami-heatin 10 of last 11 games against Miami Heat (NBA).
    1st Half Miami Heat Win
    +152
    Charlotte Hornets lost the 2nd quarter
    charlotte-hornetsmiami-heatin 6 of last 7 home games against Miami Heat (NBA).
    2nd Quarter Miami Heat Win
    +131
    Miami Heat won the 1st quarter
    miami-heatin 7 of last 8 games (NBA).
    1st Quarter Miami Heat Win
    +127
    View more facts

    Hornets - Heat Table position

    Group stage EASTC
    gWLForm
    1.
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    431
    2.
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    431
    3.
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee Bucks
    422
    4.
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    413
    5.
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago Bulls
    413