Mystics vs Portland Fire (W) Prediction 16 July 2026
🏀 The Washington Mystics host the Portland Fire on their home court in this regular season WNBA clash. Riding a wave of recent success, the Mystics have climbed to third place in the Eastern Conference, while the Fire sit closer to the bottom of the Western standings and are eager to turn things around after a string of inconsistent performances. This matchup presents both teams with an opportunity to solidify their current positions: Washington look to strengthen their claim as contenders near the top, while Portland aim to move closer to the playoff picture.
Head-to-Head
📊Teams Washington Mystics (W) and Portland Fire (W) have only one official match in their history. The contest took place on 28 June 2026 at the venue of Washington Mystics (W), ending with the score 124:123.
Head-to-head statistics Mystics - Portland Fire (W)
Washington Mystics (W) Team Overview
Washington enter this matchup riding a strong run, having won four of their last five games, including a recent 79-62 victory over Toronto. Over their previous ten outings, the Mystics have posted seven wins against just three losses, underlining their solid form at this stage of the season. During that span, Washington are averaging 80.8 points per game while conceding 79.1.
On the season overall, their offensive numbers dip slightly to 80.5 points scored per contest, while they allow an average of 82.5 points. The Mystics’ defensive consistency at home stands out as a key strength, but their offense remains firmly in the league’s middle tier. Recent home games reflect this trend, with the franchise rarely surpassing the 85-point mark.
Match Results: Washington Mystics (W)
Portland Fire (W) Team Overview
Portland are showing less convincing form lately, picking up just four wins and suffering six defeats in their last ten outings, including a loss in their most recent game. Nevertheless, the team maintains a solid offensive output, averaging an impressive 89.3 points per contest, though their defense remains vulnerable, conceding an average of 97 points per game.
Throughout the season, Portland consistently score over 84 points while allowing nearly the same number to their opponents. This approach leads to frequent end-to-end action and open basketball, with little progress made on the defensive end. Their last clash with Connecticut was entertaining but ultimately disappointing, as they fell short in an 87-90 defeat.
Match Results: Portland Fire (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 1;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 59;
- Today's home team averages 28, while the visitors average 31.
First Quarter Stats: Washington Mystics (W) (home) vs Portland Fire (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 11 vs 13;
- Number of wins: 8 (72.73%) vs 3 (23.08%);
- Number of losses: 3 (27.27%) vs 9 (69.23%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (7.69%).
- Average points scored: 22.09 vs 20.23;
- Average points conceded: 20.27 vs 24.85.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 7;
- Number of draws: 2 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 39.2 (scored - 19.7, conceded - 19.5) vs 44.9 (scored - 20.1, conceded - 24.8).
- Over 40.5 points in the 1st quarter in 8 of last 9 Portland Fire (W) games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 1;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 0.
Statistics: Washington Mystics (W) vs Portland Fire (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 22 vs 24;
- number of wins: 13 (54.17%) vs 10 (38.46%);
- number of losses: 11 (45.83%) vs 16 (61.54%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 5;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 4;
- number of losses: 3 vs 6;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Portland Fire (W) won with a +8.5 points handicap in last 5 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 124, for the away team - 123;
- average total points in H2H matches - 247.
Statistics: Washington Mystics (W) vs Portland Fire (W)
- average total in the tournament: 163.08 vs 175.35;
- average total points scored: 80.58 vs 84.42;
- average total points conceded: 82.5 vs 90.92;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 37.25 vs 40.73;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 40.83 vs 42.31;
- Washington Mystics (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 82.91;
- Portland Fire (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 86;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 80.8 (home - 82.8) vs 89.3 (away - 90.71).
- Washington Mystics (W) have scored under 84.5 points in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams prefer to play at a quick tempo, but Washington, despite their recent winning streak, rarely exceed average scoring numbers-even on their home court. The Mystics have topped 84.5 points just once in their last eight outings this season. Their strategy is built around defense and controlling the pace, focusing on results to maintain their playoff position. It’s likely the capital club will manage to contain Portland’s high-flying offense, but they’re unlikely to light up the scoreboard themselves. The smart play here looks to be under 165.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: Washington Mystics (W) - Portland Fire (W)
in 8 of last 9 games (WNBA).in 7 of last 8 home games (WNBA).in 13 of last 14 games (WNBA).in 6 of last 7 home games (WNBA).in 12 of last 13 Portland Fire (W) away games (WNBA).
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