Oklahoma vs Mavericks Prediction 16 July 2026
๐ The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks are set to face off in NBA Summer League action. Neither side has impressed in terms of results so far, but the primary focus here is evaluating the depth of their rosters and identifying areas for future development. The Mavericksโ young prospects have shown more energy, putting together a solid performance against Memphis in their previous outing. Meanwhile, the Thunder have dropped all three of their games and currently rank among the weakest teams in the competition.
Head-to-Head
๐ Taking into account the head-to-head history of the main squads doesn't make much sense here. The rosters in the Summer League are nowhere near the lineups that represent the franchise during the regular season.
Head-to-head statistics Oklahoma - Mavericks

Oklahoma City Thunder Team Overview
Oklahoma have taken a rather casual approach to the Summer League, assembling a lackluster roster made up of players with virtually no NBA experience. Thereโs little sign of skilled rookies from the G League or NCAA either. Against this bleak backdrop, only Mara and Stirtz have managed to stand out. They headlined the Thunderโs previous outing against Denver (103-106), a game where the franchise finally began to show some promising team chemistry. Thereโs a chance the club can build on that performance in their upcoming clash with Dallas. However, thatโs far from certain, especially given their dismal defensive efforts - even by the relaxed standards of what is essentially an exhibition tournament. In three games, Oklahoma have allowed 100+ points twice, and only narrowly kept the Lakers from hitting triple digits (they scored 96).
Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder

Dallas Mavericks Team Overview
Dallas also head into the game in mediocre form, but unlike Oklahoma, they managed to pull off a surprise win over a strong Memphis side in the Summer League (96-88). The standout performers were the Green-Springer duo, who combined for 35 points. Head coach Boylan also highlighted Russian rookie Ishchenko, who was selected 56th overall in the recent draft. Vsevolod contributed 6 points and 5 rebounds, while doing a solid job defensively against Memphis star Boozer, holding him to just 7-of-17 shooting from the field. Given the franchiseโs major roster overhaul, Ishchenko could soon break into the main teamโs rotation.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 63;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 14; for the visitors on the road - 17;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 53.68;
- Today's home team averages 27.33, while the visitors average 26.35.
First Quarter Stats: Oklahoma City Thunder (home) vs Dallas Mavericks (away)
- Tournament matches played: 3 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 1 (100%);
- Number of losses: 2 (66.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 23.33 vs 24;
- Average points conceded: 25 vs 19.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 8 vs 7;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 49.8 (scored - 22, conceded - 27.8) vs 60.5 (scored - 29.2, conceded - 31.3).
- Dallas Mavericks scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in 8 of last 9 games (NBA Summer League).
- Dallas Mavericks scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 away games (NBA Summer League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 63;
- Home team wins - 35, away team wins - 28.
- Oklahoma City Thunder have lost in last 7 games (NBA Summer League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 107.92, for the away team - 105.35;
- average total points in H2H matches - 213.27.
Statistics: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks
- average total in the tournament: 181.33 vs 178.67;
- average total points scored: 81 vs 85.33;
- average total points conceded: 100.33 vs 93.33;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 42.67 vs 44.33;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 38.33 vs 41;
- Oklahoma City Thunder: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 84.67;
- Dallas Mavericks: average total points scored away in the tournament - 96;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.9 (home - 96.8) vs 109.5 (away - 105).
- Oklahoma City Thunder have scored under 89.5 points in 6 of last 7 games (NBA Summer League).