Olympiacos vs Milano Prediction 16 April 2026
🔊 Olympiacos host Olimpia Milan in the final round of the EuroLeague regular season. This matchup holds significance only for the hosts, who are eager to maintain their position at the top of the standings. Meanwhile, the visitors have long lost their postseason hopes and have shifted their focus to domestic competitions. Can the Italians put up any semblance of a fight against the Greek giants? We have our doubts, but we'll still break down the game and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Olympiacos and Olimpia Milano:
- played 30 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 20 for today's home team and 10 for the guests;
- the home team averages 79.1 points per match, the guests - 76.1;
- average total match points - 155.2.
The last confrontation took place on 14 November 2025 at the venue of Olimpia Milano and ended with a score of 88:87.
Head-to-head statistics Olympiacos - Milano
Olympiacos Team Overview
Olympiacos are in excellent form in recent weeks. The team have won four of their last five EuroLeague games and showcased impressive scoring prowess. On average, they score 90 points per game while conceding 84 points. Their strengths include an aggressive style of play and a high two-point shooting percentage (59.7%, ranked 2nd). Interestingly, the Greeks have scored more than 92 points in five of their last seven home games.
In the last round, Bartzokas' squad secured a hard-fought away victory against the formidable Hapoel (89:85). Olympiacos have been the most consistent throughout the regular season, rightfully claiming the top spot. In terms of both personnel and gameplay potential, the Piraeus side look like the main favorites to clinch the title, with reaching the Final Four (for the fifth consecutive year) being a minimum goal. Vezenkov is having another outstanding campaign, averaging 19.4 points per game. And let's not forget Milutinov, Dorsey, Fournier, Hall, Jones, and Peters. With such a roster in the EuroLeague, even the toughest challenges seem manageable.
Match Results: Olympiacos
Olimpia Milano Team Overview
Olimpia Milan are navigating a challenging phase with their inconsistent form. Over their last five Euroleague games, they've managed just one win, losing three straight matches leading up to this game. Their average points scored hover just above 86 per game, while they concede around 87 points per match. The main issues stem from their defense under the basket and a high turnover rate on offense. It's no surprise that the Italian club has struggled in the playoff race, slipping to 14th place.
In the recent round, the Milan side once again displayed a lackluster attitude towards the tournament, a trait that's been evident all spring, as they fell at home to Bayern Munich (84-94). Considering their level of individual talent, Olimpia have certainly disappointed their fans, and the franchise is likely facing significant roster changes this summer. It's expected that the owners will cut funding, having squandered a substantial amount of money over the past few seasons without much return.
Match Results: Olimpia Milano
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 30;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 9; for the visitors on the road - 6;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.33;
- Today's home team averages 20.03, while the visitors average 19.3.
First Quarter Stats: Olympiacos (home) vs Olimpia Milano (away)
- Tournament matches played: 18 vs 18;
- Number of wins: 11 (61.11%) vs 6 (33.33%);
- Number of losses: 6 (33.33%) vs 11 (61.11%);
- Number of draws: 1 (5.56%) vs 1 (5.56%).
- Average points scored: 23.56 vs 20.28;
- Average points conceded: 20.61 vs 21.61.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 2;
- Average first quarter total: 44.4 (scored - 22.7, conceded - 21.7) vs 44.1 (scored - 22.6, conceded - 21.5).
- Under 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 Olympiacos games against Olimpia Milano (Euroleague).
- Under 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Olympiacos home games against Olimpia Milano (Euroleague).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 30;
- number of wins for the home team - 20, for the away team - 10.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Olimpia Milano
- number of tournament matches played: 37 vs 37;
- number of wins: 25 (67.57%) vs 17 (45.95%);
- number of losses: 12 (32.43%) vs 20 (54.05%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 15;
- number of away wins for the away team: 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 8 vs 3;
- number of losses: 2 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Olimpia Milano won with a +16.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games against Olympiacos (Euroleague).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 79.1, for the away team - 76.1;
- average total points in H2H matches - 155.2.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Olimpia Milano
- average total in the tournament: 174.38 vs 173.59;
- average total points scored: 90.41 vs 86.32;
- average total points conceded: 83.97 vs 87.27;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.27 vs 44.32;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.49 vs 41.35;
- Olympiacos: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 91.67;
- Olimpia Milano: average total points scored away in the tournament - 84.11;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 92 (home - 101.25) vs 89.2 (away - 87.67).
- Olimpia Milano have scored under 80.5 points in last 6 away games against Olympiacos (Euroleague).
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, the hosts appear to be in a much stronger position. They outclass the Milan side in both quality and motivation, so it would be quite surprising if the visitors lose by anything less than a double-digit margin. Additionally, Olimpia have struggled on the road throughout the EuroLeague season, and it's hard to believe they will suddenly exceed expectations in a match that means little to them. Especially considering they will be without Brown and Dunston. Let's go with an Olympiacos victory with a handicap of (-10).No comments
Betting Tips: Olympiacos - Olimpia Milano
in 10 of last 11 home games against Olimpia Milano (Euroleague).in 17 of last 18 home games.in last 10 home games (Euroleague).in 8 of last 9 games.in last 7 away games.
in 17 of last 18 home games.in 11 of last 12 games (Euroleague).in last 10 home games (Euroleague).in last 9 games.in 6 of last 7 away games (Euroleague).in 29 of last 30 games against Olimpia Milano (Euroleague).in last 15 home games against Olimpia Milano (Euroleague).
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