Dallas Wings (W) vs Lynx Prediction
🔈Western Conference neighbors Dallas Wings (W) and Minnesota Lynx (W) are set to clash in another regular season showdown of the Women's National Basketball Association. Tip-off is scheduled for 15 May at 00:00 in Texas. After a thorough breakdown of this matchup, we are ready to offer our predictions on how this WNBA contest might unfold.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical breakdown of previous official meetings between Dallas Wings (W) and Minnesota Lynx (W):
- The sides have faced off 49 times;
- Dallas have claimed 10 wins (including overtime), while Minnesota have come out on top in 39 encounters;
- The hosts average 79.37 points per game, with the visitors putting up 86.02;
- The average combined total stands at 165.39 points.
Their most recent head-to-head took place on 02 September 2025 in Minnesota, where the Lynx cruised to a 96-71 victory.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Dallas Wings (W) Team Overview
After two games, the Dallas Wings sit fourth in the Western Conference standings with a 1-1 record. Looking beyond the regular season, including preseason matchups, the Texas side have picked up three wins and suffered just one defeat. The Wings are averaging an impressive 93.8 points per game-a testament to their well-drilled offense. This team isn’t shy about taking initiative, sharing the ball effectively and keeping defenses on their toes.
However, defense remains a work in progress. So far this season, Dallas are conceding an average of 86.3 points per contest. It’s tough to call this defense reliable, but their potent attack has allowed them to win more often than not. In the current WNBA campaign, the Wings edged out Indiana Fever (107-104) before falling to Atlanta Dream (72-77).
Match Results: Dallas Wings (W)

Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview
The Minnesota Lynx (W) find themselves in a situation similar to their upcoming opponents: the team have claimed victory in four of their last five outings, including preseason contests. In the WNBA regular season, the Lynx suffered a narrow defeat against the Atlanta Dream (90-91), but quickly bounced back with a road win over the Phoenix Mercury (88-84).
Across five games-combining preseason and regular season action-Minnesota have tallied 416 points. Their offensive output, averaging 83.2 points per game, has yet to truly impress, though the team consistently find ways to create scoring opportunities in almost any situation. Defensively, however, the numbers are far more reassuring. The Lynx are conceding just 77.2 points per game so far this season-a solid mark that underlines their reliability at the back.
Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 8; for the visitors on the road - 15;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 42.43;
- Today's home team averages 19.94, while the visitors average 22.49.
First Quarter Stats: Dallas Wings (W) (home) vs Minnesota Lynx (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 21 vs 12;
- Average points conceded: 19 vs 21.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 46.7 (scored - 23.9, conceded - 22.8) vs 41.7 (scored - 21.1, conceded - 20.6).
- Dallas Wings (W) scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 home games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 49;
- Home team wins - 10, away team wins - 39.
- Minnesota Lynx (W) won with a +6.5 points handicap in 9 of last 10 games against Dallas Wings (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 79.37, for the away team - 86.02;
- average total points in H2H matches - 165.39.
Statistics: Dallas Wings (W) vs Minnesota Lynx (W)
- average total in the tournament: 180 vs 157.5;
- average total points scored: 93.75 vs 82;
- average total points conceded: 86.25 vs 75.5;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 54 vs 42.5;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 39.75 vs 39.5;
- Dallas Wings (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 72;
- Minnesota Lynx (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 77;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 87.3 (home - 91.25) vs 82.6 (away - 77.25).
- Dallas Wings (W) have scored under 94.5 points in 15 of last 16 games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
- Dallas Wings (W) have scored under 94.5 points in 14 of last 15 home games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
Editorial Prediction
It's worth paying attention to the stats: Minnesota Lynx have only lost by more than six points once in their last ten head-to-head meetings with this opponent. For nine straight games, the Lynx have avoided heavy defeats-a clear and consistent trend, not just a number on paper. Minnesota know how to stay competitive and fight back even when the pressure is on. Backing Minnesota Lynx (W) with a +6.5 spread looks like a well-founded prediction, supported by the teams' on-court history.