Oklahoma vs Pacers Prediction 14 October 2026

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Key points

    🏀 In this NBA preseason matchup, the Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Indiana Pacers. Expect both teams to push the tempo, with fast-paced basketball likely on display. Given the typically lower defensive intensity during preseason, this could translate into a high-scoring affair.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last head-to-head clash between these teams took place in January, with Indiana pulling off a surprise 117-114 victory. Looking at their last five official meetings, the Pacers also hold a slight edge, leading the series 3-2.

    Head-to-head statistics Oklahoma - Pacers

    47%
    22 Wins
    53%
    25 Wins
    24.01.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    114
    117
    28
    39
    25
    19
    32
    31
    29
    28
    23.10.25
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    135
    141
    25
    22
    22
    32
    31
    27
    35
    32
    22
    28
    11.10.25
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    116
    101
    30
    29
    32
    29
    29
    17
    25
    26
    12.07.25
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    104
    85
    14
    16
    38
    22
    31
    26
    21
    21
    23.06.25
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    103
    91
    25
    22
    22
    26
    34
    20
    22
    23
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Oklahoma City Thunder: Home three-point shooting could see improvement

    Oklahoma are ramping up their preseason preparations, but fans shouldn’t expect the usual level of play from the team just yet. Both ends of the floor may present challenges, with defense likely to suffer the most. In preseason games, players tend to focus more on offense - finding their shooting rhythm and building confidence in creating opportunities. The fact that defense is taking a back seat is evident from recent exhibition results: they fell short against New Orleans (110-116), Milwaukee (126-128), and Atlanta (110-113).

    Potential roster rotation is another factor to consider. The list of available players can change right before tip-off, making it hard to expect any consistency from the Thunder. Still, there’s enough firepower on offense for Oklahoma to push toward the 120-point mark - especially on their home court. In their recent matchup against the Hawks, they hit nearly 42% from beyond the arc. That perimeter shooting could well continue in this one.

    Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder

    12.10.26
    NBA
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    113
    110
    29
    28
    27
    21
    23
    30
    34
    31
    L
    08.10.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee Bucks
    126
    128
    44
    35
    38
    29
    20
    33
    24
    31
    L
    07.10.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    110
    116
    34
    28
    33
    24
    26
    38
    17
    26
    L
    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn Nets
    90
    108
    24
    37
    21
    23
    19
    22
    26
    26
    L
    16.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    87
    97
    20
    24
    25
    25
    18
    28
    24
    20
    L
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    Indiana Pacers: the visitors will look to push the tempo

    Indiana are far from their best form right now. However, they have a lot more motivation than Oklahoma. The visitors need to rack up as many wins as possible from the very start of the season. Expect a focused approach on both ends of the floor, with disciplined work in defense and offense. While it may prove difficult to contain Thunder’s key players in certain one-on-one matchups, Indiana should be able to capitalize on Oklahoma’s relatively relaxed attitude when attacking.

    Not long ago, Indiana faced Atlanta and suffered a narrow 117-119 defeat. Before that, though, they managed to outplay Minnesota (123-112). In both games, there was a clear intent to push the tempo. The Pacers will likely try to return to the up-tempo style that took them to the finals two seasons ago. Ball movement should look solid, and they’ll generate plenty of shot attempts. Playing on the road does add some defensive challenges, but offensively, Indiana could already be clicking into gear.

    Match Results: Indiana Pacers

    10.10.26
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    117
    119
    32
    31
    28
    31
    26
    34
    31
    23
    L
    07.10.26
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    123
    112
    32
    27
    29
    38
    38
    26
    24
    21
    W
    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    91
    73
    23
    16
    18
    23
    29
    12
    21
    22
    W
    15.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    114
    98
    35
    24
    27
    27
    27
    22
    25
    25
    L
    13.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    93
    94
    16
    26
    29
    19
    24
    25
    24
    24
    L
    Empty
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    Total Points Prediction

    If we look at the last ten games, the Thunder are averaging 98.83 points per game at home (with an overall average of 93.5), while the Pacers put up around 104.67 points on the road (their overall average over the last ten is 105.2). Here's an interesting trend: Indiana Pacers have managed to score over 106.5 points in six of their last seven road head-to-head matchups against this opponent. With that in mind, let's back Indiana Pacers Individual Total Over 106.5 points at odds of 1.67.

    Match Outcome Prediction

    The two teams have faced each other 47 times, with the hosts claiming 22 wins and the visitors 25. Indiana Pacers have covered the +12.5 spread in their last eight NBA head-to-head meetings with this opponent. Moreover, Indiana have maintained this margin in five consecutive games. Let's back Indiana +12.5 handicap at odds of 1.67.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Oklahoma head into this matchup as the more promising side. With a talented roster, home-court advantage, and the clear motivation to notch their first preseason win, the Thunder have plenty working in their favor. That said, the coaching staff won’t lose sleep over any minor setbacks-preseason priorities are very different. Indiana, meanwhile, will look to put up a fight and should find some success on the offensive end. Overall, this contest is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair. Our editorial team recommends backing the over 224.5 points.
    Total points Over (224,5)
    Odds-167
    Published: 13/10/2026, 10:35
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
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    Betting Tips: Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers

    Indiana Pacers won the 4th quarter:
    indiana-pacersin last 6 games (NBA).
    4th Quarter Indiana Pacers to Win
    -
    Over 220.5 points scored:
    oklahoma-city-thunderindiana-pacersin 9 of last 10 Oklahoma City Thunder home games against Indiana Pacers (NBA).
    Total points Over (220,5)
    -263
    Under 231.5 points scored:
    oklahoma-city-thunderindiana-pacersin 9 of last 10 Oklahoma City Thunder games against Indiana Pacers (NBA).
    Total points Under (231,5)
    -182
    Under 232.5 points scored:
    oklahoma-city-thunderindiana-pacersin 8 of last 9 Oklahoma City Thunder home games against Indiana Pacers (NBA).
    Total points Under (232,5)
    -200
    View more facts

    Oklahoma - Pacers Table position

    Preseason Preaseaon Western Conference
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland Trail Blazers
    220
    2.
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    431
    3.
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    321
    12.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    312
    13.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    303
    14.
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    303