Greece vs Finland Prediction

    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    92
    89
    24
    24
    21
    23
    15
    19
    22
    33

    🔊 Can the teams deliver an exciting offensive showdown one last time? Greece and Finland face off in the EuroBasket third-place match. The visitors are accustomed to playing at a high tempo, often at the expense of their defense. It's reasonable to predict that the Greeks will maintain a fast pace as well. Following their setback against Turkey, Giannis and his squad are poised to ramp up their scoring efforts. However, the Scandinavians won't surrender victory easily.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last head-to-head clash took place quite some time ago-8 years back. Yes, the Finns pulled off a sensational victory back then (89-77), but apart from the star players, the rosters have almost entirely changed since.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    2 Wins
    50%
    2 Wins
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    92
    89
    24
    15
    24
    19
    21
    22
    23
    33
    05.09.17
    European Championship
    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    77
    89
    14
    23
    19
    22
    19
    22
    25
    22
    09.09.13
    European Championship
    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    77
    86
    23
    22
    12
    14
    12
    21
    30
    29
    01.09.11
    European Championship
    Finland
    Finland
    Greece
    Greece
    61
    81
    14
    20
    18
    21
    12
    16
    17
    24
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Greece Team Overview

    The Greeks fell short of expectations in the semifinal against Turkey, losing 68-94. Giannis didn't live up to his usual standards, and overall, the team struggled to create shooting opportunities. They often failed to move the ball effectively into the opponent's half, as Turkey's press was executed flawlessly. Fortunately for Spanoulis, Finland doesn't defend with the same intensity. The Greeks will have plenty of open shots. Sloukas, Papanikolaou, and the rest of the squad are poised to redeem themselves after hitting just 33.3% of their three-pointers. Apart from the Antetokounmpo duo, everyone on the team is a capable shooter.

    It's hard to talk about significant motivation for this game. The team left all their emotions on the court during that nightmare semifinal. Sure, there's such a thing as competitive anger, but they won't retreat into their traditional Greek defensive style. Greece needs to focus on their offensive play. Whether Giannis plays or not is a secondary concern. The opponent allows them to play their game.

    Match Results: Greece

    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    Greece
    Greece
    65
    79
    18
    22
    17
    22
    18
    13
    12
    22
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Greece
    Greece
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    65
    67
    17
    19
    21
    21
    14
    15
    13
    12
    L
    30.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Greece
    Greece
    68
    76
    17
    24
    19
    13
    13
    19
    19
    20
    W
    27.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Greece
    Greece
    Romania
    Romania
    91
    64
    26
    12
    19
    17
    23
    15
    23
    20
    W
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    92
    89
    24
    15
    24
    19
    21
    22
    23
    33
    W
    Empty
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    Finland Team Overview

    The Finns have navigated this tournament at an impressive level. Once again, the Scandinavians have surprised many, particularly with their secondary options. Their movement, three-point shooting, and energy on the offensive glass have enabled them to challenge even the giants. The way they outplayed Serbia (92-86) will be remembered for a long time. Finland will aim to use a similar blueprint against Greece. Markkanen and his squad will have extra motivation, which will be evident in their offense. High tempo plays into their attacking strategy, leading to a substantial number of attempts.

    The downside of Finland's playing style remains their defense. However, judging by the tournament, the coaching staff seems to accept this trade-off. In a gritty basketball game, this lineup stands little chance, especially against the Greeks, who have been steeped in this style since their youth. The team persistently fires threes. Whether they hit 30% or 50% isn't crucial-the volume outweighs quality.

    Match Results: Finland

    01.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Finland
    Finland
    Belgium
    Belgium
    78
    75
    17
    22
    17
    15
    22
    15
    22
    23
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Finland
    Finland
    66
    71
    24
    12
    13
    20
    19
    16
    10
    23
    W
    01.12.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Finland
    Finland
    France
    France
    83
    76
    20
    19
    17
    26
    19
    16
    27
    15
    W
    28.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Hungary
    Hungary
    Finland
    Finland
    89
    82
    31
    17
    29
    22
    15
    22
    14
    21
    L
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    92
    89
    24
    15
    24
    19
    21
    22
    23
    33
    L
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    Neither team is likely to drastically change their approach in this matchup. Greece and Finland are both known for their fast-paced play, not shying away from quick three-pointers. Both teams boast athleticism, leading to offensive rebounds and spectacular finishes. The Scandinavians may not have the same pedigree, with Lauri Markkanen as their standout, but their high level of teamwork, momentum, and current shooting form give them hope for a bronze medal finish. Greece, on the other hand, might play a more methodical game, yet the sheer volume of shots from both sides could lead to a high-scoring affair. We're backing over 168.5 total points.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (168.5) at odds of -120*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (13 September 2025, 06:56)

    Betting Tips: Greece - Finland

    Greece won the 1st quarter
    greece-7in 8 of last 9 games.
    greece-7in 7 of last 8 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    1st Quarter Greece Win
    -137
    Under 42.5 points in the 3rd quarter
    greece-7in 18 of last 20 Greece games.
    finland-5in 6 of last 7 Finland games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    3rd Quarter Total Under 42.5
    -115
    Under 42.5 points in the 2nd quarter
    greece-7in last 19 Greece games.
    greece-7in last 8 Greece games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    2nd Quarter Total Under 42.5
    -115
    Under 84.5 points in the 2nd half
    greece-7in 18 of last 20 Greece games.
    2nd Half Total Under 84.5
    -
    View more facts

    Greece - Finland Table position

    Group stage Group B
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Germany
    Germany
    55010
    2.
    Lithuania
    Lithuania
    5419
    3.
    Finland
    Finland
    5328
    4.
    Sweden
    Sweden
    5146
    6.
    Great Britain
    Great Britain
    5146