Paris vs Monaco Prediction

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The main thing

    πŸ”Š In the opening game of the French basketball championship finals, Paris take on Monaco. Both sides boast tremendous offensive firepower. Their playoff runs have been challenging but far from insurmountable. Paris come into this clash in peak form. Given how evenly matched these teams are, it’s hard to see either side dominating from start to finish. Expect a tightly contested battle that could go right down to the wire.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š The last time these two sides met was in early May, with Paris traveling away and coming out on top, 123-95. However, looking at their last five head-to-head clashes, Monaco hold a clear advantage, winning four out of five.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    32%
    8 Wins
    68%
    17 Wins
    10.05.26
    Pro A
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    95
    123
    25
    40
    29
    27
    23
    27
    18
    29
    15.01.26
    ERL
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Monaco
    Monaco
    87
    95
    23
    27
    20
    25
    21
    24
    23
    19
    04.12.25
    ERL
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    125
    104
    35
    29
    23
    17
    33
    24
    34
    34
    02.12.25
    Coupe de France
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    109
    103
    33
    25
    32
    33
    15
    16
    29
    29
    12.10.25
    Pro A
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Monaco
    Monaco
    94
    99
    15
    24
    30
    31
    27
    22
    22
    22
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    Paris Basketball Team Overview

    Paris are the flagbearers of up-tempo basketball, regularly putting up big numbers-averaging 97.8 points per game, with that figure climbing to 98.4 on their home court. However, these stats are more reflective of the regular season and matchups against clearly weaker opponents. In the semifinals against Cholet (3-1), Paris encountered some issues, particularly from beyond the arc. Their three-point shooting stats looked respectable only due to sheer volume rather than efficiency. Facing Monaco, those problems could be magnified, especially with their opponents coming into the series well-rested. Defensive frailties might also come into play-Paris often focus too much on offense, and their defense has been suspect, as highlighted by a tense 94-91 finish in the last semifinal game.

    Match Results: Paris Basketball

    09.06.26
    Pro A
    Cholet Basket
    Cholet Basket
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    91
    94
    25
    25
    25
    26
    24
    24
    17
    19
    W
    07.06.26
    Pro A
    Cholet Basket
    Cholet Basket
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    86
    95
    23
    32
    18
    22
    20
    22
    25
    19
    W
    04.06.26
    Pro A
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Cholet Basket
    Cholet Basket
    100
    77
    20
    30
    25
    20
    32
    18
    23
    9
    W
    02.06.26
    Pro A
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Cholet Basket
    Cholet Basket
    89
    90
    29
    26
    20
    25
    20
    18
    20
    21
    L
    30.05.26
    Pro A
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    SIG Strasbourg
    SIG Strasbourg
    89
    75
    26
    19
    28
    22
    16
    16
    19
    18
    W
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    Monaco Team Overview

    Monaco continue to play without Mike James, but that hasn’t stopped them from delivering high-quality basketball. They just wrapped up a tough series against Nanterre (3-1), where they had to dig deep, especially on the defensive end. That experience could actually serve them well. Against Paris, Monaco will need to put in another strong shift on their own half of the court. They concede an average of 83.8 points per game on the road-a respectable figure given the pace at which they play. Combine that with an efficient offense averaging 93.2 points, and Monaco look more than capable of holding their own. There’s every reason to believe that Manuchar Markoishvili’s side will try to control the tempo, perhaps leaning towards a moderate or even slower pace. They understand the stakes here, and opening up away from home simply wouldn’t make sense.

    Match Results: Monaco

    08.06.26
    Pro A
    Nanterre 92
    Nanterre 92
    Monaco
    Monaco
    78
    89
    24
    17
    13
    32
    19
    18
    22
    22
    W
    06.06.26
    Pro A
    Nanterre 92
    Nanterre 92
    Monaco
    Monaco
    61
    83
    20
    20
    8
    23
    18
    21
    15
    19
    W
    03.06.26
    Pro A
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Nanterre 92
    Nanterre 92
    89
    98
    23
    19
    30
    22
    18
    21
    18
    36
    L
    01.06.26
    Pro A
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Nanterre 92
    Nanterre 92
    103
    88
    24
    27
    25
    23
    26
    21
    28
    17
    W
    27.05.26
    Pro A
    JL Bourg Basket
    JL Bourg Basket
    Monaco
    Monaco
    103
    114
    22
    32
    27
    33
    27
    21
    27
    28
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 25;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 3; for the visitors on the road - 9;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 44.04;
    • Today's home team averages 21.16, while the visitors average 22.88.

    First Quarter Stats: Paris Basketball (home) vs Monaco (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 19 vs 18;
    • Number of wins: 12 (63.16%) vs 9 (50%);
    • Number of losses: 6 (31.58%) vs 6 (33.33%);
    • Number of draws: 1 (5.26%) vs 3 (16.67%).
    • Average points scored: 23.37 vs 24.06;
    • Average points conceded: 21.79 vs 19.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 5 vs 3;
    • Number of losses: 3 vs 4;
    • Number of draws: 2 vs 3;
    • Average first quarter total: 47.8 (scored - 24.9, conceded - 22.9) vs 45.9 (scored - 22.4, conceded - 23.5).
    Trends
    • Paris Basketball scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 11 of last 12 home games against Monaco.
    • Paris Basketball scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 home games against Monaco (Basketball League Pro A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter, Paris Basketball Total points Under (23.5) (odds: 1.88)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 25;
    • number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 17.

    Statistics: Paris Basketball vs Monaco

    • number of tournament matches played: 30 vs 29;
    • number of wins: 27 (72.97%) vs 28 (77.78%);
    • number of losses: 10 (27.03%) vs 8 (22.22%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 13;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 16.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 7 vs 6;
    • number of losses: 3 vs 4;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 4;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 4.
    Trends
    • Monaco won with a +6.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games against Paris Basketball.
    👉Prediction: Monaco Handicap (+6.5) (odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 85.64, for the away team - 92.04;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 177.68.

    Statistics: Paris Basketball vs Monaco

    • average total in the tournament: 182.81 vs 180.94;
    • average total points scored: 97.76 vs 94.14;
    • average total points conceded: 85.05 vs 86.81;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 48.22 vs 48.44;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 48.35 vs 44.42;
    • Paris Basketball: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 98.42;
    • Monaco: average total points scored away in the tournament - 93.22;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 95.7 (home - 93.83) vs 92.8 (away - 95.6).
    Trends
    • Monaco have scored over 88.5 points in last 6 games against Paris Basketball.
    👉Prediction: Monaco Total points Over (88.5) (odds: 1.95)

    Editors' Prediction

    In this matchup, the battle is set to unfold not only on the court but also between the coaching staffs. Paris always look to maximize their shot attempts, no matter the circumstances, and that approach has delivered impressive metrics throughout the season. They are unlikely to change their style now. On the other hand, the visitors’ coaching staff may look to tweak their tactics, allowing Markoishvili’s side to play at a more deliberate pace. Which strategy will prevail remains unclear, but Monaco are prepared for any scenario: while a shootout may not suit them perfectly, they still have every chance here. After all, they are EuroLeague regulars with a top-tier roster and a wealth of experience at this level. Our editorial team recommends backing Monaco with a +9 handicap.
    Our choice
    Monaco Handicap (+9) at odds of -167*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (13 June 2026, 18:18)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Paris Basketball - Monaco

    Paris Basketball won the 2nd half
    paris-basketballin 13 of last 14 games (Basketball League Pro A).
    paris-basketballin last 8 home games.
    paris-basketballin last 7 home games (Basketball League Pro A).
    Monaco lost the 2nd half
    as-monacoin 7 of last 8 away games.
    2nd Half Paris Basketball Win
    -137
    Monaco lost the 1st half
    paris-basketballas-monacoin 6 of last 7 games against Paris Basketball (Basketball League Pro A).
    1st Half Paris Basketball Win
    -156
    Paris Basketball won the 3rd quarter
    paris-basketballin 7 of last 8 home games.
    3rd Quarter Paris Basketball Win
    -123
    Paris Basketball scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter
    paris-basketballas-monacoin 11 of last 12 home games against Monaco.
    paris-basketballas-monacoin 9 of last 10 home games against Monaco (Basketball League Pro A).
    1st Quarter, Paris Basketball Total points Under (23.5)
    -122
    View more facts

    Paris - Monaco Table position

    Regular season Season Standings
    gWLForm
    1.
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    30228
    2.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    29227
    3.
    Nanterre 92
    Nanterre 92
    30219
    4.
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    302010
    5.
    Cholet Basket
    Cholet Basket
    301911
    6.
    Le Mans Sarthe Basket
    Le Mans Sarthe Basket
    301911