Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia Prediction 13 September 2026
🏀 Saudi Arabia are set to battle Indonesia for third place in their group in the final round of the Asian Games group stage. A win could see the Saudis advance to the playoffs, with two of the best third-placed teams from all groups earning a spot in the next round. Saudi Arabia boast a more skilled and experienced roster, featuring players who stand out by regional standards, so an underpowered Indonesia will need nothing short of a miracle to pull off an upset.
Head-to-Head
📊 Saudi Arabia and Indonesia have faced off four times in official matches. The hosts have claimed three victories, while the visitors have won once. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 14 August 2023 in Indonesia, with Saudi Arabia coming out on top 86-72.
Head-to-head statistics Saudi Arabia - Indonesia
Saudi Arabia Team Overview
Saudi Arabia have managed to put up a real fight against Asian powerhouses like Japan and South Korea, scoring 70-80 points in each contest, even though they ultimately fell short on both occasions. Traditionally, the team relies on their physically imposing big men and an active backcourt, while also looking to dictate the tempo of the game - a strategy that led to a close scoreline against Japan (80-86). Now, the Saudis are determined to secure a convincing win and boost their chances of advancing from third place into the knockout stage. Fans are pinning their hopes on the duo of Abdur-Rahman and Al-Suwailem, and against one of the tournament’s weakest sides, their skill set should be more than enough to get the job done.
Match Results: Saudi Arabia
Indonesia Team Overview
Indonesia have reaffirmed their status as one of the weakest sides at the Asian Games, showing little sign of competitiveness against either Japan or South Korea - both games ended in heavy defeats. The Indonesians are forced to rely on wild shots from beyond the arc, but under relentless pressure they frequently turn the ball over, gifting opponents easy points in transition. Their rotation is extremely short and they severely lack height in the paint. Given these factors, Indonesia stand little chance even against Saudi Arabia. The underdogs’ only realistic objective is to salvage some pride and avoid a truly lopsided scoreline.
Match Results: Indonesia
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 4;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 1; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 36;
- Today's home team averages 17.5, while the visitors average 18.5.
First Quarter Stats: Saudi Arabia (home) vs Indonesia (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 15 vs 9;
- Average points conceded: 25 vs 29.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 7 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 42.8 (scored - 19.4, conceded - 23.4) vs 34.9 (scored - 17.1, conceded - 17.8).
- Under 38.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Indonesia games.
- Under 38.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Indonesia games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 76, for the away team - 71.25;
- average total points in H2H matches - 147.25.
Statistics: Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia
- average total in the tournament: 157 vs 150.5;
- average total points scored: 73 vs 50.5;
- average total points conceded: 84 vs 100;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 31.5 vs 25.5;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.5 vs 25;
- Saudi Arabia: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 80;
- Indonesia: average total points scored away in the tournament - 53;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 75.4 (home - 78.25) vs 69.5 (away - 62).
- Over 147.5 points scored in last 10 Saudi Arabia games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 4;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 1.
Statistics: Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia
- number of tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
- number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- number of losses: 2 (100%) vs 2 (100%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 1 vs 4;
- number of losses: 9 vs 6;
- number of home wins for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Saudi Arabia have lost in last 8 games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the stark contrast in recent form and physical condition, Saudi Arabia are clear favourites by a wide margin. Indonesia have already suffered two defeats by over 40 points, while the Saudis have twice demonstrated their ability to defend and dictate the tempo. The most likely outcome is a convincing win for Saudi Arabia. Indonesia may put up a fight in the first half, but that’s probably as far as it goes. Our pick: Saudi Arabia to win with a -23 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Saudi Arabia - Indonesia
in 9 of last 10 games.in last 8 games.in 7 of last 8 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).in last 6 games.Other predictions
