Lietkabelis vs Нептунас Prediction
🔊 Lietkabelis host Neptunas on their home court for Game 4 of the playoff series for third place in the Lithuanian Championship. The visitors lead the series 2-1 and a win here would secure them the bronze medals. Can the hosts spoil Neptunas’ party and force a decisive Game 5? We’ll find out soon enough, but for now, let’s break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Lietkabelis Panevezys and Neptunas Klaipeda:
- played 69 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 31 for today's home team and 37 for the guests;
- the home team averages 79.68 points per match, the guests - 79.57;
- average total match points - 159.25.
The last confrontation took place on 11 June 2026 at the venue of Neptunas Klaipeda and ended with a score of 66:63.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Lietkabelis Panevezys Team Overview
Lietkabelis have struggled in recent weeks, managing just one win in their last five outings. Over their past ten games, they’ve picked up only three victories against seven defeats-a clear sign of a dip in form and a lack of consistency.
On average, Lietkabelis are putting up 77.1 points per game while conceding 81.8 in their recent fixtures. That’s a drop-off on offense compared to their season average of 82.6 points, and their defense has also slipped below their usual mark of 81.2 allowed. The team are facing issues both with shot conversion and protecting the rim, especially against opponents who push the tempo offensively.
Match Results: Lietkabelis Panevezys

Neptunas Klaipeda Team Overview
Neptunas enter this clash in high spirits, having secured six wins from their last ten outings. Offensively, the team have been impressive-averaging 85.7 points per game over that stretch, with their season average even higher at 91 points.
Defensive issues persist, however: Neptunas have recently allowed 82.1 points per game, and their season average is an even less reassuring 88.3. Still, their aggressive play on offense often compensates for defensive lapses. That attacking edge is a key reason why Neptunas lead the head-to-head series against Lietkabelis and are on the verge of wrapping it up.
Match Results: Neptunas Klaipeda
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 69;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 14; for the visitors on the road - 15;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.32;
- Today's home team averages 19.94, while the visitors average 20.38.
First Quarter Stats: Lietkabelis Panevezys (home) vs Neptunas Klaipeda (away)
- Tournament matches played: 19 vs 20;
- Number of wins: 7 (36.84%) vs 9 (45%);
- Number of losses: 10 (52.63%) vs 9 (45%);
- Number of draws: 2 (10.53%) vs 2 (10%).
- Average points scored: 20.74 vs 22.9;
- Average points conceded: 20.58 vs 21.7.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 7 vs 7;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 42 (scored - 19.6, conceded - 22.4) vs 45.8 (scored - 23.2, conceded - 22.6).
- Over 39.5 points in the 1st quarter in 13 of last 14 Neptunas Klaipeda games (LKL).
- Over 39.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Neptunas Klaipeda away games (LKL).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 69;
- number of wins for the home team - 31, for the away team - 37.
Statistics: Lietkabelis Panevezys vs Neptunas Klaipeda
- number of tournament matches played: 32 vs 32;
- number of wins: 18 (45%) vs 22 (53.66%);
- number of losses: 22 (55%) vs 19 (46.34%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 11;
- number of away wins for the away team: 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 6;
- number of losses: 7 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 79.68, for the away team - 79.57;
- average total points in H2H matches - 159.25.
Statistics: Lietkabelis Panevezys vs Neptunas Klaipeda
- average total in the tournament: 163.88 vs 179.32;
- average total points scored: 82.63 vs 91;
- average total points conceded: 81.25 vs 88.32;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 40.3 vs 46.12;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 42.28 vs 43.98;
- Lietkabelis Panevezys: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 85.79;
- Neptunas Klaipeda: average total points scored away in the tournament - 88.45;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 77.1 (home - 82.67) vs 85.7 (away - 81.25).
- Neptunas Klaipeda have scored over 78.5 points in 18 of last 20 games (LKL).
- Neptunas Klaipeda have scored over 78.5 points in 6 of last 7 away games (LKL).
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The match promises to be fast-paced and open, with both teams favouring an attacking style-especially Neptunas, who consistently push the tempo. The visitors come in with much stronger form, winning more frequently and regularly surpassing the 80-point mark thanks to their versatile offense and ability to capitalise against weaker defences. We believe Neptunas’ superior offensive chemistry and their proximity to clinching the series will allow them to deliver a quality performance on the road. Our pick: back the visitors with a +4.5 handicap.