Zhejiang vs Shanxi Prediction
๐ Zhejiang Lions host the Shanxi Loongs on their home court for Game 3 of the CBA quarterfinals. The hosts enter as clear favourites with the bookmakers-not just for this matchup, but for the entire series-having finished the regular season well above their opponents (second place versus tenth for the visitors). However, things havenโt gone entirely to plan so far. Zhejiang suffered a surprise defeat in the opening game, and the series now stands level at 1-1. Letโs break down this matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
๐Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Zhejiang Guangsha Lions and Shanxi Loongs:
- played 43 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 26 for today's home team and 17 for the guests;
- the home team averages 105.07 points per match, the guests - 100.65;
- average total match points - 205.72.
The last confrontation took place on 10 May 2026 at the venue of Shanxi Loongs and ended with a score of 81:86.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions Team Overview
Zhejiang Lions remain among the leagueโs elite thanks to their balanced play and consistent results. Over their last ten games, they have picked up six wins against four losses. On the season, Zhejiang average just over 91 points per game while conceding around 82-a testament to their reliable defense, which continues to be their main asset even in an up-tempo brand of basketball. Recently, their scoring numbers have dipped slightly, with the ten-game stretch falling below their season averages, yet the defense has stayed effective against most opponents.
That makes the recent struggles under Bo Wang even more surprising in this series. Fortunately, after a disappointing home loss, they managed to bounce back on the road. Brown and Hu stepped up as the key performers, putting up 19 and 17 points respectively. In that game, Zhejiangโs offensive creativity improved dramatically-they dominated the offensive glass and significantly cut down on turnovers (12 to 8). It appears the club has rediscovered its rhythm. The question now is whether the franchise can build on this momentum in the upcoming matchup.
Match Results: Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
Shanxi Loongs Team Overview
Shanxi Loongs are showing solid form, racking up seven wins in their last ten games and stringing together four straight victories before their most recent outing. Although they came up short in the latest round, their offensive output remains consistent-averaging nearly 93 points per game this season. However, they also concede over 90 points on average. Recently, the team have cut down on turnovers and improved their shooting efficiency, but their defense continues to be vulnerable, even against sides that arenโt known for high scoring.
Despite that, Shanxi are holding their own in this current matchup against the formidable Zhejiang Lions. The underdogs pulled off a surprise with an away win to open the series and matched their opponents stride for stride in the following home game. American import Diallo made a significant impact on offense, putting up 16 points and creating plenty of open looks for his teammates with smart passing and off-ball movement. If Shanxi can maintain this level of play in the upcoming games, theyโll make life difficult for their rivals.
Match Results: Shanxi Loongs
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 11; for the visitors on the road - 7;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 52.3;
- Today's home team averages 27.02, while the visitors average 25.28.
First Quarter Stats: Zhejiang Guangsha Lions (home) vs Shanxi Loongs (away)
- Tournament matches played: 22 vs 23;
- Number of wins: 13 (59.09%) vs 7 (30.43%);
- Number of losses: 7 (31.82%) vs 15 (65.22%);
- Number of draws: 2 (9.09%) vs 1 (4.35%).
- Average points scored: 23.5 vs 21.78;
- Average points conceded: 21.59 vs 22.22.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 7 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 45.1 (scored - 21.4, conceded - 23.7) vs 41.4 (scored - 21.5, conceded - 19.9).
- Under 46.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Shanxi Loongs away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 43;
- number of wins for the home team - 26, for the away team - 17.
Statistics: Zhejiang Guangsha Lions vs Shanxi Loongs
- number of tournament matches played: 42 vs 42;
- number of wins: 34 (77.27%) vs 25 (54.35%);
- number of losses: 10 (22.73%) vs 21 (45.65%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 20;
- number of away wins for the away team: 10.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 7;
- number of losses: 4 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Shanxi Loongs won with a +7.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Zhejiang Guangsha Lions.
- Shanxi Loongs won with a +7.5 points handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Basketball League).
- Shanxi Loongs won with a +7.5 points handicap in last 9 games.
- Shanxi Loongs won with a +7.5 points handicap in 8 of last 9 away games (Basketball League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 105.07, for the away team - 100.65;
- average total points in H2H matches - 205.72.
Statistics: Zhejiang Guangsha Lions vs Shanxi Loongs
- average total in the tournament: 174.09 vs 182.85;
- average total points scored: 91.55 vs 92.57;
- average total points conceded: 82.55 vs 90.28;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 47.3 vs 48.09;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.36 vs 44.2;
- Zhejiang Guangsha Lions: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 94.23;
- Shanxi Loongs: average total points scored away in the tournament - 90.22;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 87.4 (home - 99.6) vs 80.3 (away - 60.6).
- Over 179.5 points scored in 21 of last 22 Zhejiang Guangsha Lions home games against Shanxi Loongs (Basketball League).
- Over 179.5 points scored in 20 of last 22 Zhejiang Guangsha Lions games against Shanxi Loongs (Basketball League).
โญ Editorial Prediction
Both teams in this matchup thrive on a high-tempo style-offense takes center stage whether Zhejiang Lions play at home or Shanxi Loongs hit the road. While the hosts tend to show a bit more caution on defense, the overall pace promises a high-scoring affair, fueled by aggressive play and relentless attacks on both ends. A key trend stands out: the total has gone over 179.5 points in 21 of the last 22 head-to-head meetings between these sides in Zhejiang. Given their current scoring form, we expect an open shootout with little slowdown or drawn-out half-court possessions. Our pick: over 179.5 total points.
Betting Tips: Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Loongs
in 10 of last 11 home games against Shanxi Loongs (Basketball League).in 19 of last 21 home games.
in last 23 away games against Zhejiang Guangsha Lions.in last 22 home games against Shanxi Loongs (Basketball League).in 7 of last 8 home games (Basketball League).
Other predictions
