Monaco vs Fenerbahce Prediction 12 December 2025
🔊 The EuroLeague offers an exciting showdown between Monaco and Fenerbahce. This clash holds significant importance for both sides: Monaco are fighting to solidify their position in the Top 2, while Fenerbahce aim to climb higher from their current eighth spot. Given the tense standings, every victory could be pivotal. It's worth noting that these teams faced off in last season's final, where the Istanbul side emerged victorious. Can the hosts exact revenge this time? Let's break down the matchup and provide a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Monaco and Fenerbahce Istanbul:
- played 14 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 6 for today's home team and 8 for the guests;
- the home team averages 84.36 points per match, the guests - 83.5;
- average total match points - 167.86.
The last confrontation took place on 25 May 2025 at the venue of Monaco and ended with a score of 70:81.
Head-to-head statistics Monaco - Fenerbahce
Monaco Team Overview
Monaco sit in second place in the standings and are showcasing impressive form with 9 wins in their last 14 games. Offensively, they consistently rack up points thanks to their powerful inside game and accurate long-range shooting. Their defense also deserves praise, as Monaco rarely allow opponents to surpass the 80-point mark. At home, they effectively dominate the court-totaling over 167.5 points in their last 12 consecutive home games.
Spanoulis' squad seems to have regained their lost form, securing three consecutive victories in the EuroLeague. Their latest win was against Paris (125-104), where everything seemed to be falling for the Monegasques. Both overall and from beyond the arc, their shooting percentage exceeded 60%-phenomenal numbers. Thanks to this stellar performance, Monaco's offense now ranks first in the league. Meanwhile, their defense remains solid, ranking seventh with an average of 83 points conceded per game.
Match Results: Monaco
Fenerbahce Istanbul Team Overview
Fenerbahce are currently eighth but are on the rise after a streak of five consecutive EuroLeague victories. The team's hallmark is their balanced play, excelling in both defense and offense. This is evident from their consistent performances, even on the road. There's a trend of positive results against Monaco with a +9.5 point spread-this margin has hit seven times in a row when visiting this opponent.
The reigning league champions struggled for a while, and it seemed coach Jasikevicius was on the brink of dismissal. However, his squad suddenly kicked into high gear, stringing together ten consecutive wins across all competitions and showcasing impressive basketball in most games. In their last outing, Fenerbahce edged out Virtus at home (66-64), despite facing some challenges, but their experience and class shone through in crucial moments. The main asset for the Istanbul side is the most effective defense in the tournament, allowing just 78.5 points per game on average.
Match Results: Fenerbahce Istanbul
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 4; for the visitors on the road - 4;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.86;
- Today's home team averages 20.29, while the visitors average 19.57.
First Quarter Stats: Monaco (home) vs Fenerbahce Istanbul (away)
- Tournament matches played: 6 vs 5;
- Number of wins: 5 (83.33%) vs 1 (20%);
- Number of losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 4 (80%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 26.67 vs 18.2;
- Average points conceded: 23.83 vs 23.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 10 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 0 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 46.2 (scored - 26.3, conceded - 19.9) vs 35.9 (scored - 18.6, conceded - 17.3).
- Fenerbahce Istanbul scored under 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in 11 of last 12 games (Euroleague).
- Fenerbahce Istanbul scored under 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 away games (Euroleague).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 14;
- number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 8.
Statistics: Monaco vs Fenerbahce Istanbul
- number of tournament matches played: 14 vs 13;
- number of wins: 9 (64.29%) vs 8 (61.54%);
- number of losses: 5 (35.71%) vs 5 (38.46%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 5;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 10;
- number of losses: 3 vs 0;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
- Fenerbahce Istanbul won with a +9.5 points handicap in last 7 away games against Monaco (Euroleague).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 84.36, for the away team - 83.5;
- average total points in H2H matches - 167.86.
Statistics: Monaco vs Fenerbahce Istanbul
- average total in the tournament: 173.93 vs 158.15;
- average total points scored: 90.79 vs 79.62;
- average total points conceded: 83.14 vs 78.54;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 43.14 vs 36.69;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 46.5 vs 42.92;
- Monaco: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 99.33;
- Fenerbahce Istanbul: average total points scored away in the tournament - 79.2;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 94.8 (home - 103.4) vs 85.5 (away - 91.75).
- Over 167.5 points scored in last 12 Monaco home games.
- Over 167.5 points scored in 9 of last 10 Monaco home games (Euroleague).
- Over 167.5 points scored in last 5 Monaco games.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Both teams favor an aggressive playing style, focusing on quick offense and a solid defense under the basket. For Monaco, securing a decisive home victory is crucial to maintain their position among the tournament leaders. They need to leverage their advantage in the paint and their high three-point shooting percentage.However, Fenerbahçe won't go down without a fight. Their impressive five-game winning streak in the EuroLeague makes them a formidable opponent, regardless of the venue. The Istanbul side knows how to counter Monaco's strengths and can significantly complicate their opponent's offensive efforts. Let's consider backing the visitors with a handicap (+8.5).
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Betting Tips: Monaco - Fenerbahce Istanbul
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