Greece vs Turkiye Prediction

    Greece
    Greece
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    68
    94
    16
    15
    20
    17
    26
    23
    23
    22

    Who will come out on top: Giannis or Sengun? In the EuroBasket semifinals, Greece are set to face off against Turkey. Both teams enter the matchup in solid form, particularly in terms of their offensive play. Despite their reputations as defensive squads, fans should anticipate a fast-paced and high-scoring game. The strength of each team's leaders is unlikely to allow for a significant lead by either side. Therefore, on the court in Riga, we might witness clutch moments, strategic fouls, and possibly a dramatic conclusion.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last match took place in 2022. In a friendly, Greece triumphed with a score of 89-80. That same year, the Greeks also overcame Turkey twice more (76-67, 72-71).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    80%
    4 Wins
    20%
    1 Win
    12.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Greece
    Greece
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    68
    94
    16
    26
    15
    23
    20
    23
    17
    22
    19.08.22
    FRI
    Greece
    Greece
    Turkey
    Turkey
    89
    80
    22
    15
    20
    28
    21
    26
    26
    11
    28.02.22
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Turkey
    Turkey
    Greece
    Greece
    67
    76
    15
    17
    18
    19
    13
    26
    21
    14
    25.02.22
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Greece
    Greece
    Turkey
    Turkey
    72
    71
    13
    20
    27
    12
    20
    24
    12
    15
    03.07.21
    OLY
    Turkey
    Turkey
    Greece
    Greece
    63
    81
    22
    8
    12
    19
    13
    24
    16
    30
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Greece Team Overview

    Greece faced a challenging finish against Lithuania, but they had already built a significant lead, securing an 87-76 victory. As usual, Giannis was outstanding, scoring 29 points, but the contributions of Toliopoulos (17 points) and Kostas (4 blocks) shouldn't be overlooked. One issue was their three-point shooting in the fourth quarter, which dropped to 11.1%. However, the team managed an overall shooting percentage of 31%, providing hope for another strong performance. It's unlikely that Samontourov and Katsivelis will see much action against Turkey. A walk in the park is not expected, so all the shooters will be on the court.

    Defensively, the focus will be on containing Sengun, a task assigned to the Antetokounmpo brothers. However, the younger brother might struggle with fouls again, while Giannis will likely focus more on offense. Additionally, the Turks excel at exploiting mismatches with their star player against smaller opponents. The strategy for dealing with Larkin, who is back in form, remains unclear.

    Match Results: Greece

    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    Greece
    Greece
    65
    79
    18
    22
    17
    22
    18
    13
    12
    22
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Greece
    Greece
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    65
    67
    17
    19
    21
    21
    14
    15
    13
    12
    L
    30.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Greece
    Greece
    68
    76
    17
    24
    19
    13
    13
    19
    19
    20
    W
    27.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Greece
    Greece
    Romania
    Romania
    91
    64
    26
    12
    19
    17
    23
    15
    23
    20
    W
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    92
    89
    24
    15
    24
    19
    21
    22
    23
    33
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Turkiye Team Overview

    Ataman's squad remain unbeaten. They faced challenges against Poland, but thanks to a diverse offensive strategy and Şengün's triple-double (19+12+10), they secured a victory (91-77). However, not everything is smooth sailing. Osman picked up an injury. Additionally, the defensive workload is set to increase: facing Greece's versatile team will be tough. Giannis, in particular, poses a threat-experience against top-tier players in this tournament is limited, and allowing Jokić to post 22+9 is certainly concerning.

    On the offensive end, Şengün will undoubtedly give his all: Greece recently struggled defensively against Valančiūnas. Larkin and Korkmaz have the potential to shine from beyond the arc. However, potential defensive issues could prove more problematic than in previous games. They conceded 90 points against Serbia, and a similar scenario could unfold now.

    Match Results: Turkiye

    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    Serbia
    Serbia
    94
    86
    28
    21
    20
    23
    28
    19
    18
    23
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Serbia
    Serbia
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    78
    82
    13
    22
    18
    24
    23
    11
    24
    25
    W
    30.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    60
    85
    17
    23
    8
    18
    17
    24
    18
    20
    W
    27.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    93
    71
    29
    20
    17
    25
    21
    13
    26
    13
    W
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    Germany
    Germany
    83
    88
    22
    24
    24
    16
    21
    26
    16
    22
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams boast elite big men in their rosters, considered top-tier even by NBA standards. Giannis and Sengun should be seen as reliable offensive options, generating numerous opportunities for their teammates; both Greece and Turkey have excellent shooting capabilities. While the defense on both sides appears solid, the reality might differ, as the Turks allowed too much against Poland and the Greeks did the same against Lithuania. A drawn-out finish with tactical fouls is possible. Given that the offensive potential seems more impressive than the defensive capabilities, expecting a high-scoring game is reasonable: total over 162.5.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (162.5) at odds of -128*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 September 2025, 07:40)

    Betting Tips: Greece - Turkiye

    Greece won the 1st quarter
    greece-7in 14 of last 15 games.
    greece-7in last 7 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    1st Quarter Greece Win
    -102
    Greece won the 1st half
    greece-7in 8 of last 9 games.
    1st Half Greece Win
    -102
    Greece have won
    greece-7in 10 of last 11 games.
    Greece Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -105
    Turkiye have won
    turkey-7in last 7 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    Turkiye Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -120
    View more facts

    Greece - Turkiye Table position

    Group stage Group A
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    55010
    2.
    Serbia
    Serbia
    5419
    3.
    Latvia
    Latvia
    5328
    4.
    Portugal
    Portugal
    5237
    5.
    Estonia
    Estonia
    5146
    6.
    Czech Republic
    Czech Republic
    5055