Germany vs Finland Prediction

    Germany
    Germany
    Finland
    Finland
    98
    86
    30
    31
    20
    17
    26
    21
    26
    13

    🔊 Can the Scandinavians pull off another upset? Germany and Finland are set to clash in the EuroBasket semifinals. The Germans come in as the more established squad. However, the Finns have already knocked out the tournament's top favorite, making them completely unpredictable. An open game is anticipated, with Markkanen and his team likely taking plenty of shots from beyond the arc. This could pose significant challenges for the favorites. Therefore, the crowd in Riga has every reason to expect the suspense to last until the final minutes of the game.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last head-to-head clash took place just over a week ago, with Germany claiming a victory at 91-61. Prior to that, the teams met in 2023, where the Germans also came out on top with scores of 87-81 and 101-75.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    5 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    12.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Germany
    Germany
    Finland
    Finland
    98
    86
    30
    26
    31
    21
    20
    26
    17
    13
    03.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Finland
    Finland
    Germany
    Germany
    61
    91
    19
    21
    17
    29
    13
    19
    12
    22
    29.08.23
    FWC
    Germany
    Germany
    Finland
    Finland
    101
    75
    19
    22
    28
    17
    29
    16
    25
    20
    27.02.23
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Finland
    Finland
    Germany
    Germany
    81
    87
    22
    17
    21
    29
    19
    23
    19
    18
    11.11.22
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Germany
    Germany
    Finland
    Finland
    94
    80
    22
    19
    22
    17
    25
    16
    25
    28
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Germany Team Overview

    The German team are steamrolling their opponents in EuroBasket. Until their recent clash with Slovenia (99-91), they faced little resistance. More often than not, they closed out games with a significant margin. Both the starters and the bench players have been performing exceptionally well. However, the quarterfinals revealed that Germany aren't flawless. Some key players might get into foul trouble; Theis, for instance, seems to be a weak link. Germany should capitalize on their offensive potential, especially considering Finland's pace.

    It's hard to pinpoint what went wrong with Dennis Schröder in the last game. Up until the final quarter, he was having a rough night, ending with a -3 efficiency rating. The coaching staff will undoubtedly look to address this issue. But facing an energetic Finnish side, who have their own offensive stars, will be challenging regardless.

    Match Results: Germany

    01.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Germany
    Germany
    Croatia
    Croatia
    91
    89
    22
    24
    19
    26
    21
    17
    15
    10
    14
    12
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Germany
    Germany
    93
    88
    20
    26
    26
    24
    29
    22
    18
    16
    L
    01.12.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Cyprus
    Cyprus
    Germany
    Germany
    64
    83
    17
    20
    22
    22
    9
    27
    16
    14
    W
    28.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Germany
    Germany
    Israel
    Israel
    89
    69
    26
    22
    24
    9
    19
    22
    20
    16
    W
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    Germany
    Germany
    83
    88
    22
    24
    24
    16
    21
    26
    16
    22
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Finland Team Overview

    The Finns continue to impress. In the first playoff round, they managed to defeat Serbia (92:86). This suggests that the Scandinavians certainly won't be intimidated by the Germans. While they may not boast as star-studded a roster as the reigning world champions, their fiery play-even from those at the far end of the bench-promises a battle for every inch of the court. Their energy translates into numerous offensive rebounds and second-chance points. Finland might just have a leverage point.

    Among the standout players is Lauri Markkanen. He struggled against Germany in the group stage, scoring only 11 points. However, expecting progress from their leader is quite reasonable. Given that every Finnish player is capable of hitting threes, one can anticipate decent execution, especially towards the end of the game, as their rotation helps maintain freshness.

    Match Results: Finland

    01.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Finland
    Finland
    Belgium
    Belgium
    78
    75
    17
    22
    17
    15
    22
    15
    22
    23
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Finland
    Finland
    66
    71
    24
    12
    13
    20
    19
    16
    10
    23
    W
    01.12.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Finland
    Finland
    France
    France
    83
    76
    20
    19
    17
    26
    19
    16
    27
    15
    W
    28.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Hungary
    Hungary
    Finland
    Finland
    89
    82
    31
    17
    29
    22
    15
    22
    14
    21
    L
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Greece
    Greece
    Finland
    Finland
    92
    89
    24
    15
    24
    19
    21
    22
    23
    33
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    Everyone is certainly expecting Germany to reach the final, but this EuroBasket has been full of surprises, with several top teams already knocked out. Considering Finland's impressive three-point shooting against Georgia (54.8%), a strong fight from the Scandinavians should not be ruled out. The Germans, who tend to underestimate opponents, might recall their recent head-to-head where they secured a massive victory (91-61). However, it's unlikely the Scandinavians will allow another blowout: we recommend considering Finland with a +9.5 spread.

    Our choice
    Finland Handicap (+9.5) at odds of +127*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 September 2025, 15:53)

    Betting Tips: Germany - Finland

    Germany have won
    germany-7in last 12 games.
    germany-7in last 7 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    Germany Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -714
    Germany won the 4th quarter
    germany-7in last 8 games.
    germany-7in last 7 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    4th Quarter Germany Win
    -185
    Germany won the 2nd half
    germany-7in last 7 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    2nd Half Germany Win
    -263
    Germany won the 3rd quarter
    germany-7in last 7 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    3rd Quarter Germany Win
    -227
    View more facts

    Germany - Finland Table position

    Group stage Group B
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Germany
    Germany
    55010
    2.
    Lithuania
    Lithuania
    5419
    3.
    Finland
    Finland
    5328
    4.
    Sweden
    Sweden
    5146
    6.
    Great Britain
    Great Britain
    5146