Blazers vs Oklahoma Prediction 11 November 2026
π The Portland Trail Blazers host the Oklahoma City Thunder in an NBA regular-season game. The visitors have made an excellent start to the season and sit third in the Western Conference. So far, they have coped well with significant personnel problems, winning thanks to their roster depth. The hosts have also been playing strong basketball, but sit only eighth because of inconsistent defence. It will be interesting to see whether the Oregon team can find a way past one of the leagueβs best defences.
Head-to-Head
π Portland have dominated the head-to-head games, winning four of the last five. The most recent game was on 1 January 2026, when Oklahoma City Thunder won 124-95 at home.
Head-to-head statistics Blazers - Oklahoma
Portland: impressive in attack, but problems at the back
Portland lost their last home game to San Antonio (103:125). The Spurs dominated the boards (51-38), while the Blazers made just 9 of 35 three-point shots. Before that, Noriβs side lost to the Lakers (118:124), committing 24 turnovers and allowing their opponents 17 offensive rebounds. Despite those defeats, Portlandβs offence remains one of the most effective in the league (120.5 points per game, ranked second), but their main problem is careless ball handling: 16.3 turnovers per game compared with Oklahoma Cityβs 12.
With far more turnovers than Oklahoma City, Portland risk giving the Thunder extra possessions that they can turn into easy points on the fast break. The Blazers can stay in the game through ball movement and the attacking aggression of Avdija (22.3 points) and Lillard (19.4 points), but that may not be enough against Oklahoma Cityβs elite defence.
Match Results: Portland Trail Blazers
Oklahoma: structure stands up to injury setbacks
Oklahoma City come into the game on a four-game winning streak. In their latest game, the Thunder thrashed Washington 114-75, with Gilgeous-Alexander scoring 30 points in 29 minutes and rookie Mitchell adding 19 off the bench. Before that, they routed Memphis 128-97, as Mitchell set a career high with 35 points and Shai added 28. Oklahoma Cityβs only defeats this season came away to Dallas and Houston, by margins of 24 and 21 points, immediately after the team lost three members of their starting five to long-term injuries.
Unlike Portland, the Thunder have built their game around defence: they concede an average of 104.2 points and have the leagueβs second-best defensive rating. Even without Holmgren and Williams, Oklahoma City retain their structure thanks to Daigneaultβs system and Mitchell and McCain taking on extra responsibility in attack.
Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder
Latest news
Portland Trail Blazers
β Morant, Krejci and Sharpe are sidelined for Portland.
π Projected starting five: Lillard, Henderson, Clingan, Avdija, Camara.
Oklahoma City Thunder
β J. Williams, Holmgren, Wallace, TopiΔ and Sorber remain sidelined for the Thunder.
π Projected starting five: Hartenstein, Gilgeous-Alexander, K. Williams, Mitchell, Mara.
Prediction on the outcome
Oklahoma City Thunder have won 8 of their last 10 games, while Portland Trail Blazers have won 6 of their last 10. The Blazers have lost 19 of their last 20 head-to-head games. We pick Thunder to win at odds of 1.70.
Total Points Prediction
The total has stayed below 229.5 points in Oklahoma City Thunder's last nine away games. In six of Portland Trail Blazers' last seven home games, it has not even reached 228.5. We pick Under 229.5 Total Points at odds of 1.74.
Top Scorers
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.9 points per game this season and is Oklahoma City's main and, essentially, only consistent scoring option in the absence of Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams. The key factor is his matchup against Portland's defence. The Blazers have struggled to defend the perimeter. With his elite ability to create his own shot in isolation and in pick-and-rolls, Shai should score plenty of points. Weβre backing Gilgeous-Alexanderβs Player Points Over 32.5 at odds of 1.99*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
β Editorβs prediction
Both teams regularly score more than 110 points, and the Blazers often play high-scoring games at home. However, Oklahoma City are in excellent form and can dictate the game while limiting their opponentsβ defensive options. The total has not exceeded 229.5 points in nine consecutive Thunder away games, while it has stayed below that mark in six of the Blazersβ last seven home games. We expect Daigneaultβs team to neutralise the hostsβ attack, leading to a slow, low-scoring game. Weβre taking Total Points Under 230.5.
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Betting Tips: Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder
in 19 of last 20 games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).in 9 of last 10 home games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
in 6 of last 7 games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
in 8 of last 9 away games (NBA).in last 7 Portland Trail Blazers games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).in last 13 Oklahoma City Thunder games (NBA).
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