Los Angeles Sparks (W) vs Chicago Sky (W) Prediction 11 July 2026
🏀 The WNBA regular season brings us a clash between the Los Angeles Sparks and the Chicago Sky. This home game carries added significance for the Sparks, who sit around mid-table in the Western Conference and are pushing hard to break into the Top 4. Meanwhile, the visiting Sky find themselves near the bottom of the Eastern standings, making every result crucial in their fight to climb out of the basement. Head-to-head meetings between these two sides are always intense, most recently, Chicago edged out Los Angeles in a thrilling contest that went right down to the wire.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Los Angeles Sparks (W) and Chicago Sky (W):
- played 49 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 29 for today's home team and 20 for the guests;
- the home team averages 81.9 points per match, the guests - 79.65;
- average total match points - 161.55.
The last confrontation took place on 29 June 2025 at the venue of Los Angeles Sparks (W) and ended with a score of 85:92.
Head-to-head statistics Los Angeles Sparks (W) - Chicago Sky (W)
Los Angeles Sparks (W) Team Overview
Los Angeles head into this matchup in neutral form, splitting their last 10 games evenly with five wins and five losses. They’re coming off a victory over the Indiana Fever (106-92), but that result snapped a three-game losing streak.
At home, Los Angeles average 88.2 points per game while conceding 91.3, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against teams that push the tempo. Over their last ten outings, those numbers remain nearly unchanged at 88.1 points scored and 94.1 allowed, underscoring a trend toward high-scoring, up-tempo contests where their offense often compensates for shaky defense around the rim.
Match Results: Los Angeles Sparks (W)
Chicago Sky (W) Team Overview
Chicago have struggled for consistency, picking up just three wins in their last ten outings, a clear indicator of the team’s shaky form heading into this road trip. Still, their most recent game saw them defeat the Phoenix Mercury 77-66, offering a much-needed morale boost after back-to-back losses.
On average, the Sky score slightly fewer points than their current opponents, posting 86.5 points per game this season. However, recent trends reveal an uptick in tempo: over the last ten games, Chicago have averaged 92.2 points per contest, while allowing nearly as much on defense conceding around 92 points per game in that span, compared to their season average of 89.5 points allowed.
Match Results: Chicago Sky (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 8;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.78;
- Today's home team averages 20.67, while the visitors average 20.1.
First Quarter Stats: Los Angeles Sparks (W) (home) vs Chicago Sky (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 11 vs 11;
- Number of wins: 3 (27.27%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Number of losses: 8 (72.73%) vs 8 (72.73%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 19.82 vs 18;
- Average points conceded: 22.91 vs 21.09.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 7 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 45.2 (scored - 20.1, conceded - 25.1) vs 43.8 (scored - 22.8, conceded - 21).
- Under 46.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Los Angeles Sparks (W) home games (WNBA).
- Under 46.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Chicago Sky (W) games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 49;
- number of wins for the home team - 29, for the away team - 20.
Statistics: Los Angeles Sparks (W) vs Chicago Sky (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 20 vs 21;
- number of wins: 11 (50%) vs 7 (30.43%);
- number of losses: 11 (50%) vs 16 (69.57%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 3;
- number of losses: 5 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Chicago Sky (W) won with a +1.5 points handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 81.9, for the away team - 79.65;
- average total points in H2H matches - 161.55.
Statistics: Los Angeles Sparks (W) vs Chicago Sky (W)
- average total in the tournament: 179.59 vs 176.13;
- average total points scored: 88.27 vs 86.57;
- average total points conceded: 91.32 vs 89.57;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 41.86 vs 40.04;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 45.82 vs 46;
- Los Angeles Sparks (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 86.91;
- Chicago Sky (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 82.18;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.1 (home - 88) vs 92.2 (away - 85.6).
- Chicago Sky (W) have scored under 90.5 points in 23 of last 24 away games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both teams play at a high tempo and love to trade blows on offense - each averages over 86 points per game this season, and that number climbs even higher in short series. Defensively, neither side is particularly solid, often leaving plenty of space for opponents both in the paint and beyond the arc. Their defensive stats remain below the league average, allowing rivals to convert a high volume of shots from deep and at the rim. Unsurprisingly, their head-to-head clashes tend to be entertaining and high-scoring affairs. We're backing the over 175.5 total points in this matchup.
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Betting Tips: Los Angeles Sparks (W) - Chicago Sky (W)
in 8 of last 9 games against Chicago Sky (W) (WNBA).
in 12 of last 13 games (WNBA).in 9 of last 10 home games (WNBA).in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).in last 7 games (WNBA).
