Germany vs Slovenia Prediction

    Germany
    Germany
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    99
    91
    21
    24
    25
    29
    32
    19
    23
    17

    🔊 On Wednesday, Germany and Slovenia clash in the EuroBasket quarter-finals. The showdown takes place at the arena in Riga, where the German national team are rightly considered the clear favorites. Throughout the tournament, no team has truly challenged them, with opponents consistently falling by double digits. There are significant doubts that the current Slovenian side, featuring Doncic and... not much else, can change that narrative. Can Luka single-handedly defeat the reigning world champions? Let's delve into the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    63%
    5 Wins
    38%
    3 Wins
    10.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Germany
    Germany
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    99
    91
    21
    32
    24
    19
    25
    23
    29
    17
    10.08.25
    International
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    Germany
    Germany
    70
    80
    19
    19
    11
    23
    30
    15
    10
    23
    08.08.25
    International
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    Germany
    Germany
    89
    103
    26
    29
    22
    24
    14
    27
    27
    23
    03.09.23
    FWC
    Germany
    Germany
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    100
    71
    11
    25
    27
    9
    30
    18
    32
    19
    14.11.22
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    Germany
    Germany
    81
    75
    16
    24
    25
    10
    20
    14
    20
    27
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Germany Team Overview

    Germany are showcasing impressive form with a streak of six consecutive victories in this tournament. Over their last ten matches, they have remained unbeaten, highlighting their consistency both in attack and defense. The team excels in scoring and boasts a solid defense. Their strengths include quick transitions from defense to offense and effective long-range shooting. It's worth noting that the German squad is known for their discipline on the court: they rarely commit fouls and often force opponents into making mistakes.

    The Wagner-Schroder duo, backed by the rest of the well-oiled squad (the core of the "Die Mannschaft" has remained unchanged for several years), are currently dominating EuroBasket. Portugal made a strong case in the round of 16, but after three competitive quarters, they were dismantled in the final 10 minutes with a score of 7-33 (!). Despite struggling from beyond the arc throughout the game, Germany suddenly hit 7 of 9 threes, sealing the outcome. Nevertheless, the match left a strange impression, as it was arguably Germany's poorest performance in terms of quality during the tournament. For the first 30 minutes, the Portuguese were superior on both ends of the court. This slight cause for concern offers a glimmer of hope to Slovenia's fans.

    Match Results: Germany

    01.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Germany
    Germany
    Croatia
    Croatia
    91
    89
    22
    24
    19
    26
    21
    17
    15
    10
    14
    12
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Germany
    Germany
    93
    88
    20
    26
    26
    24
    29
    22
    18
    16
    L
    01.12.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Cyprus
    Cyprus
    Germany
    Germany
    64
    83
    17
    20
    22
    22
    9
    27
    16
    14
    W
    28.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Germany
    Germany
    Israel
    Israel
    89
    69
    26
    22
    24
    9
    19
    22
    20
    16
    W
    14.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Turkiye
    Turkiye
    Germany
    Germany
    83
    88
    22
    24
    24
    16
    21
    26
    16
    22
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Slovenia Team Overview

    Slovenia have advanced to the EuroBasket playoffs from third place in their group, thanks to a solid run of form: four wins in their last five games highlight their competitiveness. On average, the team scores over 83 points per game, which is consistent with their past successful performances. However, while their offense is strong, they struggle defensively against opponents' three-point shooting. Nevertheless, Slovenia excel at capitalizing on fast break opportunities.

    Slovenia were considered underdogs in the Round of 16 against Italy but triumphed thanks to the magic of their leader, Luka Dončić. The Lakers star put up 42 points and 10 rebounds, single-handedly dismantling the opposing defense. Ultimately, the team secured an 84-77 victory. A significant factor in their success was their clear dominance in rebounding overall (40-32) and on the offensive glass (15-9), which allowed them to score 16 second-chance points. Luka has already notched his fourth game of the tournament with 30+ points, but now faces a much more organized and formidable German defense. We have serious concerns that even his outstanding skills might not be enough to secure victory, as the rest of Luka's teammates are too mediocre.

    Match Results: Slovenia

    01.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Czech Republic
    Czech Republic
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    84
    86
    27
    21
    27
    15
    9
    27
    21
    23
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    Czech Republic
    Czech Republic
    99
    59
    20
    16
    24
    20
    31
    14
    24
    9
    W
    01.12.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Sweden
    Sweden
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    83
    94
    16
    31
    26
    18
    22
    24
    19
    21
    W
    28.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    Estonia
    Estonia
    93
    94
    20
    19
    18
    20
    20
    26
    21
    14
    14
    15
    L
    10.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Germany
    Germany
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    99
    91
    21
    32
    24
    19
    25
    23
    29
    17
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    We anticipate a clash between two teams with contrasting playing styles: Germany favors a methodical approach with ball possession and structured positional attacks, while Slovenia emphasizes speed and aggressive offense following turnovers or rebounds under their basket. Despite Dončić's heroics, our editorial team believes his efforts won't suffice this time - the gap in overall team class and experience is significant.

    Germany outperforms in all facets of the game and should advance to the semifinals with ease. A close contest might unfold in the first half, but eventually, the German machine will overpower their opponents, who will inevitably run out of steam (Slovenia's bench lacks depth). We predict a victory for Germany with a spread of (-12.5).

    Our choice
    Germany Handicap (-12.5) at odds of -119*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 September 2025, 07:45)

    Betting Tips: Germany - Slovenia

    Germany have won
    germany-7in last 13 games.
    germany-7in last 11 games.
    Germany Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -714
    Germany won the 1st half
    germany-7in 10 of last 11 games.
    germany-7in 8 of last 9 games.
    1st Half Germany Win
    -357
    Germany won the 1st quarter
    germany-7in 10 of last 11 games.
    germany-7in last 6 games (FIBA EuroBasket).
    1st Quarter Germany Win
    -217
    Germany won the 2nd quarter
    germany-7in 8 of last 9 games.
    2nd Quarter Germany Win
    -204
    View more facts

    Germany - Slovenia Table position

    Group stage Group B
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Germany
    Germany
    55010
    2.
    Lithuania
    Lithuania
    5419
    3.
    Finland
    Finland
    5328
    4.
    Sweden
    Sweden
    5146
    5.
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    5146
    6.
    Great Britain
    Great Britain
    5146