Spurs vs Pelicans Prediction 9 November 2025
🔊 On Sunday, the San Antonio Spurs will host the New Orleans Pelicans in an NBA clash. The home team enters the game in low spirits after falling to Houston in their previous matchup, while the visitors are riding high following their second win of the season against Dallas. Can the underdogs put up a fight against Wembanyama and company? Let's break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the San Antonio Spurs and the New Orleans Pelicans:
- They have faced each other in 56 games;
- Victories (including overtime): 33 for the current home team and 23 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 104.73 points per game, while the visitors average 105.64;
- The average total score per game is 210.38.
The last encounter took place on 25 October 2025 at the New Orleans Pelicans' court and concluded with a score of 116-120.
Head-to-head statistics Spurs - Pelicans

San Antonio Spurs Team Overview
The San Antonio Spurs have been showing decent form in their recent outings. Over their last five games, they have secured three victories and suffered two defeats, displaying confident play on both ends of the court. Their average scoring at home exceeds 117 points, having reached at least that mark in 7 of their last 8 home games. The team's strengths lie in their powerful offense and reliable defense, although they occasionally struggle with lapses in concentration during critical moments.
The Texas club recently secured a significant victory in the state derby against Houston (121-110), proving their competitiveness not only against underdogs, as before, but also in battles with top-tier opponents. Wembanyama, Barnes, and Champagnie made decisive contributions to the win, combining for 68 points. The Spurs currently look like strong contenders for a Top-6 spot in the Western Conference.
Match Results: San Antonio Spurs

New Orleans Pelicans Team Overview
The New Orleans Pelicans are not in the best form, with only two wins in their last five games and a three-game losing streak highlighting some issues within the team. However, the Pelicans consistently score over 108 points against San Antonio over the years. Their main weaknesses lie in rim protection and a lack of aggression on the boards. Nonetheless, the team has the potential to enhance their offensive capabilities through the individual performances of their leaders.
The Pelicans stumbled at the start of the season but managed to secure back-to-back wins this week. They first defeated Charlotte (116-112), followed by a victory over Dallas (101-99). Notably, both victories came without their star Williamson, who is unlikely to play against the Spurs as well. However, it's important not to get carried away, as they triumphed over two struggling underdogs. Ahead lies a formidable challenge in San Antonio, where it will be intriguing to see how New Orleans' defense, ranked 28th, performs.
Match Results: New Orleans Pelicans
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matchups:
- Total encounters - 56;
- Home team wins in the 1st quarter - 17; Away team wins - 9;
- Average total for the 1st quarter: 51.52;
- Today's home team averages 25.84 points, visitors average 25.68.
1st Quarter Stats: San Antonio Spurs (home) vs New Orleans Pelicans (away)
- Games played in the tournament: 7 vs 6;
- Wins: 6 (85.71%) vs 3 (50%);
- Losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (50%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 33.57 vs 25.83;
- Average points conceded: 27 vs 30.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 7 vs 5;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average total for the 1st quarter: 59.2 (scored - 31.2, conceded - 28) vs 57.2 (scored - 26.9, conceded - 30.3).
- San Antonio Spurs have lost the first quarter at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head NBA matchups against this team.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 56;
- Home team wins - 33, Away team wins - 23.
- The San Antonio Spurs cover the -3.5 spread in 12 of their last 14 games (NBA).
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average points per game for the home team - 104.73, for the visitors - 105.64;
- Average total points in head-to-head games - 210.38.
Statistics: San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans
- Average total in the tournament: 229.38 vs 230.58;
- Average points scored: 120.62 vs 112.5;
- Average points conceded: 108.77 vs 118.08;
- Average first-half points: 62.92 vs 58.25;
- Average second-half points: 55.77 vs 53.5;
- San Antonio Spurs: average points scored at home in the tournament - 121.86;
- New Orleans Pelicans: average points scored away in the tournament - 111;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 120.3 (home - 120) vs 111.6 (away - 111).
- The San Antonio Spurs score fewer than 121.5 points at home in 26 consecutive head-to-head games against this team (NBA).
- The San Antonio Spurs score fewer than 121.5 points in 16 consecutive head-to-head games against this team (NBA).
- The San Antonio Spurs score fewer than 121.5 points in 7 consecutive games (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
An intense matchup is on the cards, with both teams expected to focus on offense. San Antonio are likely to favor fast breaks and long-range shots to break down New Orleans' defense, which struggles under the basket. Meanwhile, the Pelicans will aim to capitalize on their leaders' strengths to boost their offensive efficiency but may encounter issues against a tight defense.The hosts are significantly stronger and are likely to secure another victory. However, betting on them with low odds isn't profitable, and taking the spread is risky since they are playing back-to-back games-coaches might rest some key players. Considering this, a more reasonable bet would be on total under 229.5.