Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction 9 June 2026
π Tonight, in the first leg of the Israeli Super League playoff semifinals, Hapoel Jerusalem host Hapoel Tel Aviv. Both sides finished the regular season neck and neck near the top of the table-Jerusalem in third, Tel Aviv in second-so itβs no surprise the bookmakers have made the visitors slight favourites. But can they live up to that billing? Letβs break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Hapoel Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv:
- played 59 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 39 for today's home team and 20 for the guests;
- the home team averages 83.85 points per match, the guests - 80.63;
- average total match points - 164.47.
The last confrontation took place on 08 February 2026 at the venue of Hapoel Jerusalem and ended with a score of 105:91.
Head-to-head statistics Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Jerusalem Team Overview
Hapoel Jerusalem come into this matchup in impressive form, having claimed seven wins from their last ten outings, including four consecutive victories. Their latest result was another triumph, underlining their consistency during this stretch. Over the season, the team averages 90 points per game while conceding 83.2, with recent numbers slightly higher: 93.2 scored and 88.4 allowed across their last ten games.
Their success is largely built on high offensive efficiency and the ability to maintain tempo even against top-tier opponents. However, defensive lapses remain a concern, as the number of points conceded continues to pose a risk for the club. In the previous playoff round, this did not prevent them from comfortably dispatching Hapoel HaEmek (2-0 in the series), but now they face a much more skilled opponent who have enjoyed a strong campaign in the EuroLeague.
Match Results: Hapoel Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv Team Overview
Hapoel Tel Aviv are also enjoying a strong run of form, racking up seven wins in their last ten outings. Over the course of the season, they average 90.4 points per game while conceding 78.3, but recent numbers suggest a slight drop in tempo: in their last ten games, the offense has produced just 84.7 points per contest, while the defense remains solid, allowing opponents only 78.3 points per game.
This shift highlights a move toward a more cautious brand of basketball, especially on the road. After Itoudis' men failed to secure a spot in the EuroLeague Final Four, their primary focus turned to capturing the domestic championship. However, they faced a tough test in the previous round against Maccabi Rishon, needing the full three games to advance after dropping the opening matchup.
Match Results: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 59;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 9; for the visitors on the road - 14;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.8;
- Today's home team averages 19.92, while the visitors average 20.88.
First Quarter Stats: Hapoel Jerusalem (home) vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (away)
- Tournament matches played: 14 vs 14;
- Number of wins: 10 (71.43%) vs 11 (78.57%);
- Number of losses: 4 (28.57%) vs 3 (21.43%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 23.64 vs 24.36;
- Average points conceded: 19.14 vs 19.43.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 47 (scored - 23.1, conceded - 23.9) vs 43.4 (scored - 23, conceded - 20.4).
- Hapoel Jerusalem scored over 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 home games (Basketball League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 59;
- number of wins for the home team - 39, for the away team - 20.
Statistics: Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
- number of tournament matches played: 26 vs 26;
- number of wins: 20 (71.43%) vs 24 (82.76%);
- number of losses: 8 (28.57%) vs 5 (17.24%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 11;
- number of away wins for the away team: 12.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 7;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
- Hapoel Jerusalem won with a +4.5 points handicap in last 7 games (Basketball League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 83.85, for the away team - 80.63;
- average total points in H2H matches - 164.47.
Statistics: Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
- average total in the tournament: 173.29 vs 168.76;
- average total points scored: 90 vs 90.45;
- average total points conceded: 83.29 vs 78.31;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 45.21 vs 47.03;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.54 vs 42.93;
- Hapoel Jerusalem: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 91.86;
- Hapoel Tel Aviv: average total points scored away in the tournament - 94;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 93.2 (home - 94.4) vs 84.7 (away - 92.5).
- Under 177.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Hapoel Tel Aviv away games.
β Editorial Prediction
Both teams have enjoyed productive seasons offensively, but recent away fixtures for Hapoel Tel Aviv reveal a noticeable dip in their attacking output, falling below their season average. Notably, six out of their last seven road games have seen totals under 177.5 points-a clear trend suggesting that Itoudisβ side tend to play a more conservative brand of basketball away from home, especially against high-powered offenses. Given the current form and defensive metrics on both sides, this matchup is shaping up to be a pragmatic affair, with the visitors unlikely to light up the scoreboard. The editorial teamβs well-founded prediction is under 174.5 total points.No comments
Betting Tips: Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv
in 14 of last 15 games (Basketball League).in last 9 games.in last 8 home games (Basketball League).in last 6 home games.in 6 of last 7 away games.in last 5 away games (Basketball League).in 37 of last 39 games.in 17 of last 19 away games.in 14 of last 16 games (Basketball League).in last 17 home games.in 13 of last 14 games.in 12 of last 13 games (Basketball League).in last 11 home games (Basketball League).
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