Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction 7 November 2026

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Key points

    🏀 Indiana Pacers will play Denver Nuggets in an NBA regular-season game. Both teams are going through a difficult spell. However, the visitors have a much stronger roster, which should show in their play towards the closing stages. The Nuggets are unlikely to allow an unusually fast pace, which could lead to a low-scoring game.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The teams last met in December 2025, when Denver won 135-120 on the road. Over their last five head-to-head games, the Nuggets have a commanding 4-1 record.

    Head-to-head statistics Pacers - Nuggets

    24%
    9 Wins
    76%
    29 Wins
    04.12.25
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    120
    135
    28
    33
    20
    39
    31
    30
    41
    33
    09.11.25
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    117
    100
    31
    18
    25
    29
    39
    35
    22
    18
    07.04.25
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    120
    125
    33
    24
    33
    37
    31
    37
    23
    27
    25.02.25
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    116
    125
    28
    36
    30
    28
    25
    36
    33
    25
    18.07.24
    NBA Summer League
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    86
    71
    18
    13
    24
    13
    17
    26
    27
    19
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Indiana Pacers: a successful defensive experiment

    The hosts recently ended a five-game losing streak, beating Memphis 107:103. Indiana were particularly good defensively. They positioned themselves well against a fast-paced team, often forcing their opponents to shoot late in the possession. It is hard to say whether they can contain Denver’s offence. However, Indiana, who score just 111.2 points per game despite playing at the eighth-fastest pace, are unlikely to outscore the Nuggets.

    At home, Indiana will try to get their offence going. They have Haliburton, and their ball movement is generally quite good. But their shooting has been poor, especially from long range. That leaves the coaching staff having to follow the approach they used against the Grizzlies the other day. They have no other way to put in a respectable performance.

    Match Results: Indiana Pacers

    05.11.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    103
    107
    24
    32
    28
    22
    30
    26
    21
    27
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    104
    108
    29
    37
    27
    31
    23
    19
    25
    21
    L
    01.11.26
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn Nets
    90
    98
    19
    20
    21
    23
    22
    28
    28
    27
    L
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    145
    125
    36
    42
    32
    19
    35
    27
    42
    37
    L
    28.10.26
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia 76ers
    109
    114
    25
    25
    27
    37
    36
    13
    21
    39
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Denver Nuggets: looking to slow the pace

    Denver recently beat Toronto 128:109. They also shot well from long range, hitting 39.1% of their three-point shots. Given their season figure of 37.3%, further progress in that area is expected against Indiana. The Nuggets have a much stronger roster, not least the duo of Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. They can carry the offence themselves. But it is worth allowing for the fact that it is still early in the season. The Serbian centre is unlikely to be in peak condition in early November, and he has no intention of running himself ragged from basket to basket. The team will adjust to him.

    There are plenty of questions about Denver's defence. They concede 114.7 points per game. But the prospect of a slow pace should be taken into account. Their high shooting percentage (49%) will be a big help to the Nuggets. As a result, the visitors could claim another win by playing at a measured pace. The key is to slow down their opponents' possessions.

    Match Results: Denver Nuggets

    05.11.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    128
    109
    33
    35
    31
    32
    41
    15
    23
    27
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland Trail Blazers
    110
    118
    31
    19
    35
    39
    21
    27
    23
    33
    L
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    120
    127
    37
    32
    30
    39
    26
    32
    27
    24
    W
    29.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    91
    104
    18
    37
    27
    20
    28
    22
    18
    25
    W
    27.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    114
    134
    32
    28
    24
    32
    28
    40
    30
    34
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Result prediction

    Indiana Pacers have covered the +8.5 handicap in six of their last seven games. We pick Indiana Pacers +8.5 handicap for the full game at odds of 1.75*.

    Total Points Prediction

    The game total has been under 232.5 points in 8 of the Denver Nuggets’ last 9 away games. In their last 10 away games, Denver have averaged 109.2 points scored and 107 conceded. In their last 10 home games, the Indiana Pacers have averaged 107 points scored and 113.8 conceded. We’re backing under 232.5 total points for the game at odds of 1.64*.

    Reliable Bet

    Indiana Pacers have covered a +16.5 handicap in eight consecutive home games. They have also covered the tougher +15.5 handicap in 11 consecutive home head-to-head games. We pick Indiana Pacers +16.5 handicap for the full game at odds of 1.24*.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editors’ Prediction

    Denver are considered the favourites in this game. Playing away is unlikely to be a problem for Nikola Jokic and his teammates, as they have had plenty of time to recover. Buoyed by their success against Memphis, Indiana will try to deliver another strong defensive performance. But doing so against some Nuggets players will be difficult. Even so, both teams may ultimately look to play at a moderate or even slow pace. That would reduce their combined scoring. Our editors recommend backing Total Points Under 230.
    Total points Under (230)
    Odds-125
    Published: 07/11/2026, 08:13
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
    22
    1
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    39 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Indiana Pacers - Denver Nuggets

    Indiana Pacers have lost:
    indiana-pacersdenver-nuggetsin 11 of last 12 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    indiana-pacersdenver-nuggetsin last 7 home games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    indiana-pacersin 20 of last 21 home games (NBA).
    Denver Nuggets Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -270
    Indiana Pacers lost the 1st half:
    indiana-pacersdenver-nuggetsin 6 of last 7 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    indiana-pacersin 8 of last 9 home games (NBA).
    1st Half Denver Nuggets to Win
    Thunderpick
    -192
    Indiana Pacers lost the 2nd quarter:
    indiana-pacersin 6 of last 7 home games (NBA).
    2nd Quarter Denver Nuggets to Win
    -137
    Over 56.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    indiana-pacersdenver-nuggetsin 11 of last 12 Indiana Pacers home games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    1st Quarter Total Over 56,5
    Thunderpick
    -114
    View more facts

    Pacers - Nuggets Table position

    Regular season Eastern Conference
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia 76ers
    1082
    2.
    Boston Celtics
    Boston Celtics
    972
    3.
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit Pistons
    862
    9.
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    936
    10.
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    936
    11.
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    1037