Oklahoma vs Pelicans Prediction 7 October 2026

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Key points

    πŸ€ In this NBA preseason matchup, the Oklahoma City Thunder are set to face the New Orleans Pelicans. The hosts boast a significantly stronger roster, one that’s built to contend for major honors. However, the unique dynamics of preseason could play a role here. Expect both teams to rotate their squads heavily, which may negatively impact execution on both ends for the Thunder and the Pelicans.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š The last meeting between these teams took place in January, with Oklahoma securing a convincing 104-95 victory. It’s worth noting that the Thunder have consistently outplayed the Pelicans for quite some time - New Orleans haven’t managed a head-to-head win in almost three years.

    Head-to-head statistics Oklahoma - Pelicans

    71%
    40 Wins
    29%
    16 Wins
    28.01.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    104
    95
    17
    14
    31
    32
    31
    23
    25
    26
    18.11.25
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    109
    126
    24
    49
    32
    20
    24
    36
    29
    21
    02.11.25
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    137
    106
    39
    22
    36
    30
    33
    30
    29
    24
    17.07.25
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    95
    81
    12
    20
    20
    14
    34
    23
    29
    24
    13.04.25
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    100
    115
    19
    38
    30
    26
    23
    26
    28
    25
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Oklahoma City Thunder: Banking on Experience and Chemistry

    Heading into preseason, the team that finished as runners-up two years ago boasts a solid roster with only minor tweaks to their supporting cast. All the marquee players remain in place. Oklahoma are set to gradually build up their form, but it’s clear the star names won’t be logging heavy minutes right out of the gate. The coaching staff will hand opportunities to everyone, including those deep on the bench. As a result, don’t expect Thunder to display consistent offensive rhythm just yet. There will be flashes of individual brilliance, but their collective execution is likely to be rough around the edges for now. It’ll take time to smooth things out.

    For years, Oklahoma have been recognized as a team that excels defensively. Even with Luguentz Dort’s departure, Thunder haven’t really lost much of their defensive potential. Their combination of length and chemistry built over several seasons should allow the hosts to deliver at least a solid performance on that end of the floor - if not a dominant one. That defensive foundation ought to be enough to keep major issues at bay against New Orleans.

    Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder

    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn Nets
    90
    108
    24
    37
    21
    23
    19
    22
    26
    26
    L
    16.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    87
    97
    20
    24
    25
    25
    18
    28
    24
    20
    L
    15.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    103
    106
    22
    31
    29
    29
    20
    18
    32
    28
    L
    12.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    104
    79
    27
    16
    26
    22
    20
    18
    31
    23
    L
    11.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    96
    84
    24
    23
    29
    20
    33
    23
    10
    18
    L
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    New Orleans Pelicans: Preseason Filled with High Hopes

    The Pelicans enter every season full of hope, yet something always seems to hold them back from making a real breakthrough. Looking ahead to this preseason, their roster once again looks impressive on paper. Zion Williamson has put in serious work on his conditioning, and he’ll be surrounded by a promising mix of young talent and established pros like Dejounte Murray. The big question is when this group will truly click in terms of chemistry and on-court synergy - but it’s unrealistic to expect that from the very start of preseason. Especially with Oklahoma City as their opening opponent.

    Much like their rivals, the visitors are expected to use a deep rotation here. It’s unlikely that the main stars will see significant minutes. Instead, bench and fringe players will be eager to impress the coaching staff - preseason matchups like this are their chance to make a case for more playing time. While it’s too early to expect high efficiency on offense, fans can anticipate relentless defensive effort across the board. Physically and athletically, this squad stacks up well.

    Match Results: New Orleans Pelicans

    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    91
    73
    23
    16
    18
    23
    29
    12
    21
    22
    L
    15.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    82
    77
    16
    15
    15
    18
    21
    16
    30
    28
    L
    12.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    81
    75
    16
    12
    25
    19
    21
    23
    19
    21
    W
    11.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    91
    95
    33
    22
    23
    23
    20
    20
    15
    30
    W
    09.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    92
    105
    25
    24
    21
    22
    25
    26
    21
    33
    L
    Empty
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    Total Points Prediction

    On average, matchups between these teams produce 213.84 points per game. Looking at the last 10 head-to-head clashes between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the New Orleans Pelicans, the Pelicans hold the edge with an average scoreline of 103.9 to 85.7. In these contests, Oklahoma City typically put up 89 points at home, while New Orleans average 100.33 points on the road. It’s worth noting that the Pelicans have failed to surpass the 109.5-point mark in 11 consecutive meetings against the Thunder. Given this trend, backing New Orleans Pelicans under 109.5 total points at odds of 1.79 appears to be a well-founded prediction.

    Match Outcome Prediction

    These teams have faced off 56 times in head-to-head clashes. The hosts have claimed 40 wins, while the visitors have come out on top 16 times. Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the -8.5 spread in seven consecutive NBA meetings against this opponent. On home court, Oklahoma City have also beaten the same spread in each of their last five home encounters between these sides. With that in mind, let's back Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 at odds of 1.96.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Oklahoma head into this matchup as clear favourites, and it’s hardly surprising - this roster ranks among the top title contenders. The squad is well-balanced, and the Thunder also benefit from home-court advantage. However, expecting an offensive explosion from the hosts might be premature; even open looks could result in a string of missed shots. The same goes for the Pelicans. Both teams are likely to focus on building chemistry, while bench players will look to make their mark - factors that often signal a defensive battle. Our editorial team recommends backing the under 230.5 total points in this one.
    Total points Under (230,5)
    Odds-189
    Published: 05/10/2026, 11:50
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Oklahoma City Thunder - New Orleans Pelicans

    Oklahoma City Thunder have won:
    oklahoma-city-thundernew-orleans-pelicansin last 13 games against New Orleans Pelicans (NBA).
    New Orleans Pelicans have lost:
    new-orleans-pelicansin 10 of last 11 games (NBA).
    new-orleans-pelicansin last 9 away games (NBA).
    Oklahoma City Thunder Win (inc. OT)
    -312
    Oklahoma City Thunder won the 1st half:
    oklahoma-city-thundernew-orleans-pelicansin last 10 games against New Orleans Pelicans (NBA).
    1st Half Oklahoma City Thunder to Win
    -
    Oklahoma City Thunder won the 1st quarter:
    oklahoma-city-thundernew-orleans-pelicansin last 7 games against New Orleans Pelicans (NBA).
    1st Quarter Oklahoma City Thunder to Win
    -159
    Oklahoma City Thunder won the 2nd half:
    oklahoma-city-thundernew-orleans-pelicansin last 6 home games against New Orleans Pelicans (NBA).
    2nd Half Oklahoma City Thunder to Win
    -
    View more facts

    Oklahoma - Pelicans Table position

    Preseason
    MPWLForm
    2.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    110
    3.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    000
    4.
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    000
    11.
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    000
    12.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    000
    13.
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    000