Warriors vs Lakers Prediction 7 October 2026

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Key points

    πŸ€ The Golden State Warriors host the Los Angeles Lakers in one of the most intriguing matchups of the NBA preseason slate. Both teams underwent significant changes over the summer and enter their second preseason contest still searching for their new identities. For the Lakers, it’s an opportunity to build on an impressive start after they dismantled Sacramento in their opener. Meanwhile, the Warriors are aiming to bounce back from a loss to the Clippers and prove that Steve Kerr’s revamped tactics can deliver results.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“ŠOver the last five head-to-head meetings, neither side has held a clear advantage: the Lakers have claimed three wins, while the Warriors have taken two. Their most recent clash took place on 10 April 2026 in Los Angeles, where the home team fell short, losing 103-119.

    Head-to-head statistics Warriors - Lakers

    51%
    34 Wins
    49%
    33 Wins
    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    88
    92
    19
    21
    23
    21
    24
    21
    22
    29
    10.04.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    103
    119
    23
    28
    26
    25
    24
    29
    30
    37
    01.03.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    101
    129
    20
    33
    27
    32
    25
    34
    29
    30
    08.02.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    105
    99
    20
    21
    21
    21
    38
    29
    26
    28
    22.10.25
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    109
    119
    22
    28
    32
    27
    25
    35
    30
    29
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Golden State: Kerr doubles down on experimentation

    During preseason, Golden State head coach Steve Kerr decided to test out a new system - the β€œfive-out” offense, where all five players spread out along the perimeter, leaving the paint clear of big men. The debut didn’t go as planned: the Warriors fell to the Clippers 101-104, hitting just 6 of 33 attempts from beyond the arc (an 18% success rate) and turning the ball over 16 times. Stephen Curry logged 13 minutes and scored 10 points, while Draymond Green added 14. On the bright side, Landeborg grabbed nine rebounds in 19 minutes, and Williams posted a +16 plus-minus in just 15 minutes on the floor.

    Against the Lakers, Golden State will be without Butler, Moody, and Porzingis. With another game scheduled in Portland the following day, it’s unlikely the starters will see extended minutes in this matchup. It’ll be interesting to see how the new tactics fare against Los Angeles - Kerr probably won’t abandon his experiment midway through preseason, or there’d be no point in trying it at all. We’ll keep an eye on their progress.

    Match Results: Golden State Warriors

    04.10.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    104
    101
    23
    24
    32
    19
    22
    30
    27
    28
    L
    20.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    90
    94
    24
    23
    23
    24
    29
    19
    14
    28
    W
    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    88
    92
    19
    21
    23
    21
    24
    21
    22
    29
    W
    16.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    77
    87
    19
    26
    17
    10
    21
    29
    20
    22
    W
    14.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    85
    106
    24
    22
    20
    25
    13
    29
    28
    30
    L
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    Lakers: Encouraging Start to Preseason

    In their first preseason outing, the Lakers looked impressive against Sacramento, cruising to a commanding 127-103 victory. Doncic featured for just 16 minutes from the opening tip but still managed to rack up 21 points before heading to the bench. Even after his exit, Reddick’s squad kept the momentum: Grimes chipped in with 16 points on 7-of-10 shooting, Williams added 13 and knocked down all three of his attempts from beyond the arc, but it was rookie Carr who truly stood out, contributing 12 points. This deeper part of Los Angeles’ rotation thoroughly outplayed the Kings’ reserves in the final quarter, sealing a comfortable win.

    The Lakers’ passionate fanbase has every reason to be excited, but it’s worth tempering expectations given the level of opposition - Sacramento have been among the league’s weakest sides in recent years. It’s unlikely Los Angeles will be able to replicate that kind of performance against a Warriors team coming in with an extra day of rest. With the Lakers set to play on back-to-back nights, Reddick may look to significantly limit his starters’ minutes.

    Match Results: Los Angeles Lakers

    06.10.26
    NBA
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    103
    127
    28
    36
    19
    37
    30
    26
    26
    28
    W
    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    88
    92
    19
    21
    23
    21
    24
    21
    22
    29
    L
    16.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago Bulls
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    82
    105
    16
    19
    24
    37
    14
    27
    28
    22
    W
    15.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    99
    85
    24
    16
    30
    22
    29
    22
    16
    25
    W
    12.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    70
    91
    19
    21
    25
    26
    13
    20
    13
    24
    W
    Empty
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    Total Points Prediction

    In head-to-head matchups, the Warriors are averaging 110.7 points per game, while the Lakers post 110.1. Notably, a trend has emerged: in their last five meetings at home, Golden State have failed to score more than 114 points. It’s reasonable to expect this pattern to continue. The pick is Warriors under 113.5 points at odds of 1.82.

    Match Outcome Prediction

    These teams have faced off 67 times in their history, with the current hosts claiming 34 wins and the visitors 33. What’s particularly interesting is that the Lakers have kept things close in their last five head-to-head meetings on the road, never losing by more than eight points. With that in mind, backing the visitors with a +8.5 handicap at odds of 1.44 looks like a solid bet.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both of these high-profile teams are currently focused on building form ahead of the official season, so neither is likely to go all out in what amounts to a routine preseason scrimmage. This is especially true for the Lakers, who are set to play on back-to-back nights. Golden State have had an extra day of rest, but they're dealing with significant personnel issues, so the coaching staff is unlikely to overwork their veteran stars, Curry and Green. On top of that, as their poor three-point shooting against the Clippers showed, the Warriors are far from sharp from beyond the arc. All signs point to a low-scoring affair. We're taking under 224.5 total points.

    Total points Under (224,5)
    Odds-154
    Published: 06/10/2026, 07:42
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
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    Betting Tips: Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers

    Golden State Warriors lost the 1st half:
    golden-state-warriorsin 9 of last 10 games (NBA).
    1st Half Los Angeles Lakers to Win
    -
    Los Angeles Lakers lost the 2nd half:
    los-angeles-lakersin 8 of last 9 games (NBA).
    2nd Half Golden State Warriors to Win
    -
    Los Angeles Lakers lost the 3rd quarter:
    los-angeles-lakersin 8 of last 9 games (NBA).
    los-angeles-lakersin last 6 away games (NBA).
    3rd Quarter Golden State Warriors to Win
    -
    Over 221.5 points scored:
    golden-state-warriorslos-angeles-lakersin 14 of last 16 Golden State Warriors games against Los Angeles Lakers (NBA).
    golden-state-warriorslos-angeles-lakersin 9 of last 10 Golden State Warriors home games against Los Angeles Lakers (NBA).
    Total points Over (221,5)
    -106
    View more facts

    Warriors - Lakers Table position

    Preseason
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    110
    2.
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    110
    3.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    110
    12.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    101
    13.
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    101
    14.
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    101