Germany (W) vs Mali (W) Prediction 7 September 2026

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The main thing

    🏀 Germany are set to face Mali in the third round of the Women's World Cup group stage. Group A remains wide open, with all teams locked on 3 points, meaning only the winner of this clash will guarantee a spot in the playoffs. Bookmakers have installed the "Bundesmannschaft" as clear favourites, seemingly overlooking Mali's stunning upset over Spain. Riding a wave of momentum, the African side have every chance to cause another shock.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These national teams have never faced each other before.

    Germany (W) Team Overview

    The tournament hosts have had a slow start: in their opening game, the German side suffered a heavy defeat to Spain, losing by 30 points. However, they bounced back in style in their second outing, comfortably dispatching Japan 74-58. The key to that turnaround was their dominance on the boards, out-rebounding their opponents 51-38. Büchner and N. Sabally led the way, contributing 19 and 18 points respectively. Germany’s approach is built around their frontcourt presence and aggressive perimeter play, but they tend to struggle against fast, athletic teams that press across the court. Still, Germany’s odds against Mali are objectively stronger - the difference in experience and quality between the squads is significant. Add to that the passionate backing of their home crowd in Berlin, and the hosts look well-positioned for another victory.

    Match Results: Germany (W)

    05.09.26
    WCW
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    74
    58
    28
    11
    6
    18
    24
    10
    16
    19
    W
    04.09.26
    WCW
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    83
    53
    24
    13
    26
    11
    15
    15
    18
    14
    L
    06.06.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Belgium (W)
    Belgium (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    65
    56
    13
    24
    20
    8
    9
    13
    23
    11
    L
    05.06.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Belgium (W)
    Belgium (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    85
    60
    17
    22
    20
    15
    27
    12
    21
    11
    L
    29.06.25
    WEBC
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    70
    81
    15
    13
    17
    24
    23
    23
    15
    21
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mali (W) Team Overview

    Mali have emerged as the breakout story of the opening days at the World Cup. After a narrow loss to Japan in a tightly contested game, the African side stunned one of the tournament favorites, Spain, with an 82-73 victory. Forward Koné made history by recording her fifth consecutive double-double at World Cups, posting 19 points and 10 rebounds against the Spaniards. Mali play an athletic, aggressive brand of basketball, pushing the tempo in transition. The coaching staff imposed a physical, hard-nosed defense on Spain - something the European powerhouse struggled to handle. If Germany turn the ball over frequently under Mali’s relentless pressure, living up to their favorite tag could prove difficult.

    Match Results: Mali (W)

    05.09.26
    WCW
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    82
    73
    19
    17
    13
    17
    31
    19
    19
    20
    W
    04.09.26
    WCW
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    102
    97
    21
    25
    27
    27
    23
    21
    31
    24
    L
    03.08.25
    FIBA WABC
    Nigeria (W)
    Nigeria (W)
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    78
    64
    21
    26
    20
    15
    20
    15
    17
    8
    L
    02.08.25
    FIBA WABC
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    South Sudan (W)
    South Sudan (W)
    76
    50
    29
    8
    21
    11
    20
    17
    6
    14
    W
    31.07.25
    FIBA WABC
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    Mozambique (W)
    Mozambique (W)
    86
    68
    23
    11
    28
    25
    15
    18
    20
    14
    W
    Empty
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Mali are riding high after their stunning upset against Spain and clearly have the edge in athleticism over the Germans. Germany will look to slow things down and control the tempo, but containing Kone and her teammates in the paint will be a major challenge. Expect a tightly contested battle, with the African side more than capable of putting up strong resistance. Mali’s players should also play with less pressure - they have nothing to lose, while Germany are under immense psychological strain on home court, and the crowd’s expectations could actually work against them. We’re backing Mali to cover the +12.5 spread.

    Mali (W) Handicap (+12,5)
    Published: 06/09/2026, 10:15
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    7
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    15 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Germany (W) - Mali (W)

    Mali (W) won the 1st quarter:
    mali-womenin last 7 games.
    1st Quarter Mali (W) Win
    +213
    Under 155.5 points scored:
    germany-4in 13 of last 14 Germany (W) home games.
    mali-womenin 6 of last 7 Mali (W) games.
    Total points Under (155,5)
    -370
    Over 34.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    germany-4in 14 of last 16 Germany (W) games.
    1st Quarter Total Over 34,5
    -208
    Under 36.5 points in the 2nd quarter:
    germany-4in 12 of last 13 Germany (W) home games.
    2nd Quarter Total Under 36,5
    -115
    View more facts

    Germany (W) - Mali (W) Table position

    Group stage Group A
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    2113
    2.
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    2113
    3.
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    2113
    4.
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    2113