Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    86
    80
    20
    20
    18
    28
    13
    16
    27
    24

    🔊 The clash between Olympiacos and Panathinaikos is set for Friday in Piraeus, marking the highlight of the EuroLeague game day. Olympiacos are among the frontrunners, while Panathinaikos sit just outside the playoff zone. Despite this, only two wins separate these Greek powerhouses in the standings, and should the visitors triumph, the competition will become even fiercer. However, the Athens club is currently on a three-game losing streak. Can they break it against their formidable local rivals? We'll soon find out, but for now, let's analyze the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Olympiacos and Panathinaikos:

    • played 113 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 63 for today's home team and 50 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 74.05 points per match, the guests - 72.69;
    • average total match points - 146.74.

    The last confrontation took place on 21 February 2026 at the venue of Olympiacos and ended with a score of 68:79.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    56%
    66 Wins
    44%
    51 Wins
    05.06.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    68
    58
    9
    15
    20
    15
    19
    8
    20
    20
    03.06.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    82
    76
    21
    17
    21
    13
    20
    28
    20
    18
    30.03.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    94
    101
    21
    30
    23
    30
    30
    20
    20
    21
    06.03.26
    ERL
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    86
    80
    20
    13
    20
    16
    18
    27
    28
    24
    21.02.26
    Greece GBC
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    68
    79
    17
    17
    12
    28
    22
    24
    17
    10
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    Olympiacos Team Overview

    Olympiacos are in fine form lately. Over their last 10 games, they have secured 7 wins alongside 3 losses, showcasing their high efficiency on the court. The Athens club have climbed to third place for the first time this season, and their primary goal now is to maintain this position. Olympiacos average 90 points per game (ranked 3rd), while also performing solidly on defense, allowing just 84 points (ranked 9th).

    In their recent outing, Olympiacos, despite falling to Žalgiris after two overtimes (94-99), delivered an impressive performance even without two key players, Vezenkov and Milutinov, who were sidelined with injuries. In their absence, Fournier stepped up with a stellar game, scoring 32 points. Overall, this defeat for the Piraeus side came with a silver lining and could boost the players' confidence even more.

    Match Results: Olympiacos

    05.06.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    68
    58
    9
    15
    20
    15
    19
    8
    20
    20
    L
    03.06.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    82
    76
    21
    17
    21
    13
    20
    28
    20
    18
    W
    30.05.26
    A1 Basketball League
    AEK Athens
    AEK Athens
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    68
    95
    10
    20
    20
    24
    16
    22
    22
    29
    W
    28.05.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    AEK Athens
    AEK Athens
    94
    77
    26
    19
    20
    19
    25
    19
    23
    20
    W
    24.05.26
    ERL
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    92
    85
    19
    26
    27
    18
    15
    21
    31
    20
    W
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    Panathinaikos Team Overview

    Panathinaikos enter the game in low spirits, having suffered defeats in their last three EuroLeague outings. Over a more extended 10-game stretch, they've only secured five victories. This pattern of wins and losses has been a recurring theme throughout the season, despite being tipped as one of the main contenders for ultimate triumph before it began. Their offense struggles significantly (averaging 85.7 points, ranking 13th), often hindering them from clinching games where they were clear favorites.

    A recent boost to their attack came with the addition of Hayes-Davis, who played a key role in their Greek Cup victory (defeating Olympiacos in the final). However, in their last EuroLeague game against Paris (99-104), even the star newcomer couldn't turn the tide. The absence of their leader Nunn (due to illness) highlighted their critical reliance on him. Fortunately, the American sharpshooter is back in action and set to play in Piraeus. Additionally, big man Lessort might make a return after a long absence.

    Match Results: Panathinaikos

    05.06.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    68
    58
    9
    15
    20
    15
    19
    8
    20
    20
    W
    03.06.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    82
    76
    21
    17
    21
    13
    20
    28
    20
    18
    L
    30.05.26
    A1 Basketball League
    PAOK
    PAOK
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    94
    102
    27
    17
    20
    27
    20
    28
    27
    30
    W
    28.05.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    PAOK
    PAOK
    114
    102
    23
    24
    22
    26
    32
    25
    19
    21
    18
    6
    W
    17.05.26
    A1 Basketball League
    Mykonos
    Mykonos
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    76
    90
    18
    19
    21
    25
    22
    26
    15
    20
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    1st Quarter Statistics: Olympiacos (home) vs Panathinaikos (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • wins: 9 (64.29%) vs 6 (42.86%);
    • losses: 4 (28.57%) vs 8 (57.14%);
    • draws: 1 (7.14%) vs 0 (0%).
    • average total points scored: 23.64 vs 19.93;
    • average total points conceded: 20.43 vs 20.86.

    Last 10 Matches (overall):

    • wins: 6 vs 4;
    • losses: 2 vs 4;
    • draws: 2 vs 2;
    • average 1st quarter total: 41.3 (scored - 23.1, conceded - 18.2) vs 42.4 (scored - 21.5, conceded - 20.9).
    Trends
    • Panathinaikos scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 away games against Olympiacos.
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter, Panathinaikos Total points Under (21.5)(odds: 1.78)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 113;
    • number of wins for the home team - 63, for the away team - 50.

    Statistics: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos

    • number of tournament matches played: 28 vs 29;
    • number of wins: 18 (64.29%) vs 16 (55.17%);
    • number of losses: 10 (35.71%) vs 13 (44.83%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 11;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 7 vs 5;
    • number of losses: 3 vs 5;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 5;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 3.
    Trends
    • Olympiacos have won in last 10 games against Panathinaikos (Euroleague).
    • Olympiacos have won in 11 of last 12 home games.
    • Olympiacos have won in 10 of last 11 home games (Euroleague).
    👉Prediction: Olympiacos Win (inc. OT)(odds: 1.93)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 74.05, for the away team - 72.69;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 146.74.

    Statistics: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos

    • average total in the tournament: 174.43 vs 169.93;
    • average total points scored: 90.14 vs 85.66;
    • average total points conceded: 84.29 vs 84.28;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 45.93 vs 42.66;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.36 vs 43;
    • Olympiacos: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 90.57;
    • Panathinaikos: average total points scored away in the tournament - 82;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 92.4 (home - 91) vs 86.7 (away - 81).
    Trends
    • Under 174.5 points scored in 9 of last 10 Olympiacos home games against Panathinaikos (Euroleague).
    👉Prediction: Total points Under (174.5)(odds: 1.48)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be tense, with both teams focusing on defense. The total has gone under 168.5 in nine of Panathinaikos' last ten EuroLeague games. We believe this consistent trend is worth relying on once again, especially as coaches are likely to emphasize defense in such a crucial encounter. Overall, we anticipate a classic playoff-style battle between two clubs that know each other inside out. It's rare for such high-stakes games to be high-scoring affairs. We're opting for the total to go under 171.5.

    Our choice
    Total points Under (171.5) at odds of -159*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 March 2026, 20:23)

    Betting Tips: Olympiacos - Panathinaikos

    Olympiacos have won
    bc-olympiakos-piraeuspanathinaikosin last 10 games against Panathinaikos (Euroleague).
    bc-olympiakos-piraeusin 11 of last 12 home games.
    bc-olympiakos-piraeusin 10 of last 11 home games (Euroleague).
    Olympiacos Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    +120
    Panathinaikos lost the 2nd half
    bc-olympiakos-piraeuspanathinaikosin last 5 games against Olympiacos.
    2nd Half Olympiacos Win
    +110
    Olympiacos won the 1st half
    bc-olympiakos-piraeusin 11 of last 12 home games.
    bc-olympiakos-piraeusin 9 of last 10 games (Euroleague).
    bc-olympiakos-piraeusin 7 of last 8 games.
    bc-olympiakos-piraeusin last 6 home games (Euroleague).
    1st Half Olympiacos Win
    +110
    Panathinaikos won the 3rd quarter
    panathinaikosin 8 of last 9 games (Euroleague).
    3rd Quarter Panathinaikos Win
    -111
    View more facts

    Olympiacos - Panathinaikos Table position

    Regular season Season Standings
    gWLForm
    1.
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    382612
    2.
    Valencia Basket
    Valencia Basket
    382513
    3.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    382414
    6.
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    382315
    7.
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    382216
    8.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    382216