Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Prediction
🔊 The clash between Olympiacos and Panathinaikos is set for Friday in Piraeus, marking the highlight of the EuroLeague game day. Olympiacos are among the frontrunners, while Panathinaikos sit just outside the playoff zone. Despite this, only two wins separate these Greek powerhouses in the standings, and should the visitors triumph, the competition will become even fiercer. However, the Athens club is currently on a three-game losing streak. Can they break it against their formidable local rivals? We'll soon find out, but for now, let's analyze the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Olympiacos and Panathinaikos:
- played 113 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 63 for today's home team and 50 for the guests;
- the home team averages 74.05 points per match, the guests - 72.69;
- average total match points - 146.74.
The last confrontation took place on 21 February 2026 at the venue of Olympiacos and ended with a score of 68:79.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Olympiacos Team Overview
Olympiacos are in fine form lately. Over their last 10 games, they have secured 7 wins alongside 3 losses, showcasing their high efficiency on the court. The Athens club have climbed to third place for the first time this season, and their primary goal now is to maintain this position. Olympiacos average 90 points per game (ranked 3rd), while also performing solidly on defense, allowing just 84 points (ranked 9th).
In their recent outing, Olympiacos, despite falling to Žalgiris after two overtimes (94-99), delivered an impressive performance even without two key players, Vezenkov and Milutinov, who were sidelined with injuries. In their absence, Fournier stepped up with a stellar game, scoring 32 points. Overall, this defeat for the Piraeus side came with a silver lining and could boost the players' confidence even more.
Match Results: Olympiacos

Panathinaikos Team Overview
Panathinaikos enter the game in low spirits, having suffered defeats in their last three EuroLeague outings. Over a more extended 10-game stretch, they've only secured five victories. This pattern of wins and losses has been a recurring theme throughout the season, despite being tipped as one of the main contenders for ultimate triumph before it began. Their offense struggles significantly (averaging 85.7 points, ranking 13th), often hindering them from clinching games where they were clear favorites.
A recent boost to their attack came with the addition of Hayes-Davis, who played a key role in their Greek Cup victory (defeating Olympiacos in the final). However, in their last EuroLeague game against Paris (99-104), even the star newcomer couldn't turn the tide. The absence of their leader Nunn (due to illness) highlighted their critical reliance on him. Fortunately, the American sharpshooter is back in action and set to play in Piraeus. Additionally, big man Lessort might make a return after a long absence.
Match Results: Panathinaikos
Prediction for the 1st quarter
1st Quarter Statistics: Olympiacos (home) vs Panathinaikos (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 9 (64.29%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- losses: 4 (28.57%) vs 8 (57.14%);
- draws: 1 (7.14%) vs 0 (0%).
- average total points scored: 23.64 vs 19.93;
- average total points conceded: 20.43 vs 20.86.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2;
- average 1st quarter total: 41.3 (scored - 23.1, conceded - 18.2) vs 42.4 (scored - 21.5, conceded - 20.9).
- Panathinaikos scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 away games against Olympiacos.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 113;
- number of wins for the home team - 63, for the away team - 50.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos
- number of tournament matches played: 28 vs 29;
- number of wins: 18 (64.29%) vs 16 (55.17%);
- number of losses: 10 (35.71%) vs 13 (44.83%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 11;
- number of away wins for the away team: 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 5;
- number of losses: 3 vs 5;
- number of home wins for the home team: 5;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Olympiacos have won in last 10 games against Panathinaikos (Euroleague).
- Olympiacos have won in 11 of last 12 home games.
- Olympiacos have won in 10 of last 11 home games (Euroleague).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 74.05, for the away team - 72.69;
- average total points in H2H matches - 146.74.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos
- average total in the tournament: 174.43 vs 169.93;
- average total points scored: 90.14 vs 85.66;
- average total points conceded: 84.29 vs 84.28;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 45.93 vs 42.66;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.36 vs 43;
- Olympiacos: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 90.57;
- Panathinaikos: average total points scored away in the tournament - 82;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 92.4 (home - 91) vs 86.7 (away - 81).
- Under 174.5 points scored in 9 of last 10 Olympiacos home games against Panathinaikos (Euroleague).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be tense, with both teams focusing on defense. The total has gone under 168.5 in nine of Panathinaikos' last ten EuroLeague games. We believe this consistent trend is worth relying on once again, especially as coaches are likely to emphasize defense in such a crucial encounter. Overall, we anticipate a classic playoff-style battle between two clubs that know each other inside out. It's rare for such high-stakes games to be high-scoring affairs. We're opting for the total to go under 171.5.