Olimpia vs Valencia Prediction 5 November 2026
🏀 Milano host Valencia in the EuroLeague in a clash between teams at opposite ends of the standings. Milano have endured a difficult start to the season and are desperate to end their losing streak, while Valencia remain among the leaders and continue to score freely. The Italian side will look to make home advantage count, but the gap in quality and form is clear.
Head-to-Head
📊Valencia have won the last two EuroLeague meetings, 103-100 on 23 October 2025 and 102-96 on 7 April 2026. Milano lead the last 10 head-to-head meetings 6-4, but three of their wins came before 2024, when both teams had very different rosters and form.
Head-to-head statistics Olimpia - Valencia
Milano: No Light at the End of the Tunnel Yet
Milano are in a deep slump, with just one win in nine games, a struggling defence that have conceded around 90 points per game, and problems at the offensive end. They have lost to Panathinaikos and Olympiacos in recent rounds. Injuries have added to their difficulties: Booker is out, while Bolmaro is doubtful. Milano lack consistency and depth in their rotation.
Without a settled offensive system, Milano rely on isolation plays and individual creativity, making them predictable against Valencia’s more organised defence. Milano have conceded an average of 94.5 points over their last 10 games, one of the worst marks in the competition. That does not bode well against the Spanish champions, who are shooting 39% from three-point range.
Match Results: Olimpia Milano
Valencia: firmly established among the elite
Valencia, by contrast, head into the game as one of Europe’s most consistent teams. The Spanish side are 6-3 and sit fifth, combining a potent offence (95.6 points per game) with a solid defence (87.7 points allowed per game).
Valencia do not rely on a single player: on any given night, five or six players can score in double figures. That puts constant pressure on opposing defences. They are comfortable playing at pace or in the half court, allowing them to adapt to their opponents’ style. Mirotic, Gueye and Reuvers are currently injured, which limits their frontcourt depth somewhat, but little else.
Match Results: Valencia Basket
First-quarter prediction
The first quarter has produced over 43.5 points in six of Milano’s last seven EuroLeague home games. It has also produced over 45.5 points in six of Valencia’s last seven games in the competition. Our pick is over 43.5 first-quarter points at odds of 1.67.
Total points prediction
Valencia have scored more than 90.5 points in eight of their last nine EuroLeague away games. They are averaging 99.7 points on the road this season, while Milano are conceding 93.2 per game at home. Our pick is Valencia to score over 90.5 points at odds of 1.88.
Reliable bet
Milano’s last eight home EuroLeague games have all produced more than 169.5 points. Valencia’s games have gone over 174.5 points in 13 of their last 15 outings - an even higher line. That makes over 169.5 points our pick at odds of 1.30.
⭐ Our Prediction
Valencia are stronger across the board. They have a balanced attack, a reliable defence and a psychological edge from their head-to-head meetings. Milano are in a deep slump, have lost Booker and lack a cohesive system at either end of the court. Even home-court advantage is unlikely to spare Milano another defeat. Our pick is Valencia to win.
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Betting Tips: Olimpia Milano - Valencia Basket
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