Georgia vs Испания Prediction 5 July 2026
🔊 In this EuroBasket Qualifiers clash, Georgia take on Spain. The visitors boast a far stronger roster and are expected to control the game throughout all 40 minutes. The hosts will undoubtedly show plenty of grit and determination, but that alone is unlikely to be enough, especially given their ongoing struggles on offense.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between these teams took place in November 2025, with Spain cruising to a commanding 90-61 victory. Earlier, at EuroBasket, Georgia pulled off a major upset, winning 83-69.
Head-to-head statistics Georgia - Испания
Georgia Team Overview
For this international window, Georgia have brought a squad that is far from their strongest. That was evident in their 76-95 defeat to Ukraine. While Goga Bitadze and Tornike Shengelia did feature, their impact was limited, which is hardly surprising, as top players usually take it easy during the summer rather than pushing themselves to the limit. So, it’s unrealistic to expect any significant improvement in their upcoming clash. Even with all their leaders on the court, Georgia are still likely to be outclassed by Spain in terms of overall quality. Looking at the stats, Georgia have averaged 78.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded over their last 10 games. Focus on “low-scoring” basketball.
Match Results: Georgia
Spain Team Overview
The Spaniards recently cruised past Denmark with a commanding 109-81 victory. It’s worth noting that the visitors weren’t fielding their strongest lineup, but even so, Spain brought in players with plenty of experience - including those who’ve featured in both the NBA and EuroLeague. The overall level of basketball in Spain is considerably higher, marked by strong game intelligence, solid technical skills, and - perhaps most importantly - the ability to control the tempo. That last quality could prove decisive here. Since there isn’t an overwhelming gap in pure skill, don’t expect Spain to get into another shootout like they did a few days ago. Instead, expect a much greater emphasis on defense. And so, the team, which on average allows 67.2, may remain within that figure.
Match Results: Spain
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 6;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 2; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 35.5;
- Today's home team averages 17.5, while the visitors average 18.
First Quarter Stats: Georgia (home) vs Spain (away)
- Tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
- Number of wins: 2 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22 vs 21;
- Average points conceded: 16 vs 22.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 38.3 (scored - 18.7, conceded - 19.6) vs 37.9 (scored - 19.9, conceded - 18).
- Under 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Georgia games against Spain.
- Under 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Georgia games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
- Under 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 Spain away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 6;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 4.
Statistics: Georgia vs Spain
- number of tournament matches played: 5 vs 5;
- number of wins: 2 (40%) vs 5 (100%);
- number of losses: 3 (60%) vs 0 (0%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 7;
- number of losses: 6 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Spain won with a -9.5 points handicap in last 5 games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 68.33, for the away team - 82.83;
- average total points in H2H matches - 151.17.
Statistics: Georgia vs Spain
- average total in the tournament: 160.4 vs 154.6;
- average total points scored: 78.8 vs 87.4;
- average total points conceded: 81.6 vs 67.2;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 40.8 vs 40.6;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 38 vs 46.8;
- Georgia: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 84;
- Spain: average total points scored away in the tournament - 80;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 77.5 (home - 73.67) vs 83.4 (away - 73).
- Under 158.5 points scored in last 6 Georgia games against Spain.
- Under 158.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Spain away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
Editor's Pick Chances are, both teams will deliver a hard-fought defensive battle here. They have size, and each coaching staff knows exactly who needs to execute their game plan on the court. Neither side looks set to open up or take reckless shots from all over the floor-expect carefully constructed possessions and measured attacks. Still, the summer factor can't be ignored: even if teams create high-quality looks, shooting percentages may dip below expectations at this time of year. Taking all this into account, our editorial team recommends backing the under 158.5 total points in this matchup.
No comments
Betting Tips: Georgia - Spain
in 11 of last 12 games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).in last 6 away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).in 10 of last 11 games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).in last 6 games.in last 5 away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).in 7 of last 8 games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).in 6 of last 7 away games.
Other predictions
