Denmark vs Ukraine Prediction 5 July 2026
🔊 In the EuroBasket qualification tournament, Denmark are set to face Ukraine. The Scandinavian side haven't enjoyed the best results lately, but with the summer break leaving most players short of peak form, the Danes could pose a real challenge. The favourites might be in for a tough test.
Head-to-Head
📊 The previous meeting between these teams took place in November 2025, with Ukraine claiming an 88-71 victory. That remains their only head-to-head encounter to date.
Head-to-head statistics Denmark - Ukraine

Denmark Team Overview
Denmark head into this game as clear underdogs in their qualifying group. The Scandinavians have suffered a string of defeats, most recently being thrashed by Spain (81-109). Still, they managed to showcase some offensive potential in that matchup. Defensively, however, they were powerless against an elite opponent. Ukraine, though, aren’t nearly as intimidating as the Spaniards, especially with Denmark playing on home court. That home advantage could help improve their current stats: averaging 73.9 points scored and 85.2 conceded per game. They might also shoot well from beyond the arc.
Match Results: Denmark

Ukraine Team Overview
Recently, Ukraine faced off against Georgia and secured a convincing 95-76 victory. On paper, their upcoming opponents boast a more impressive roster than the Scandinavians. However, the summer off-season is a significant factor - many top players across the basketball world are not in peak condition at this time of year. Over their last 10 games, Ukraine have averaged 80.8 points scored and 73.7 conceded. Their chances of winning are quite strong, but a complete blowout seems unlikely.
Match Results: Ukraine
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 38;
- Today's home team averages 20, while the visitors average 18.
First Quarter Stats: Denmark (home) vs Ukraine (away)
- Tournament matches played: 4 vs 4;
- Number of wins: 2 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (25%) vs 4 (100%);
- Number of draws: 1 (25%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 20.25 vs 13.75;
- Average points conceded: 16 vs 19.25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 37.8 (scored - 19.1, conceded - 18.7) vs 39.4 (scored - 20, conceded - 19.4).
- Under 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 7 Ukraine away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 1;
- Home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1.
- Denmark won with a +18.5 points handicap in 20 of last 21 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 71, for the away team - 88;
- average total points in H2H matches - 159.
Statistics: Denmark vs Ukraine
- average total in the tournament: 159 vs 155.22;
- average total points scored: 73.56 vs 80;
- average total points conceded: 85.44 vs 75.22;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 37.33 vs 39.33;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 36.22 vs 40.67;
- Denmark: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 75;
- Ukraine: average total points scored away in the tournament - 79.5;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 73.9 (home - 75.4) vs 80.8 (away - 81.2).
- Under 160.5 points scored in 11 of last 12 Denmark home games.
- Under 160.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Denmark games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).