Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce Prediction 17 March 2026
🔊 Do the Turkish team have any chance on the road? In a rescheduled EuroLeague regular season clash, Olympiacos will host Fenerbahce on their home court. Last week, the visitors saw their remarkable 19-game winning streak come to an end, but that doesn't make them any less dangerous. The reigning champions are capable of posing a threat to the formidable Greeks. Let's analyze the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between Olympiacos and Fenerbahce:
- They have played 34 matches;
- Victories (including overtime): 17 for the home side today and 17 for the visitors;
- The hosts average 77.82 points per game, while the visitors average 76.85;
- The average total score per game is 154.68.
The last encounter took place on 06 January 2026 at Olympiacos' venue and ended with a score of 77-87.
Head-to-head statistics Olympiacos - Fenerbahce
Olympiacos Team Overview
Currently, Olympiacos hold the second spot in the EuroLeague standings. However, their performance over the last five rounds has been inconsistent. They suffered defeats against Zalgiris (94-99) and Monaco (80-81). Yes, they managed to edge out their struggling local rivals Panathinaikos (86-80) in a hard-fought manner, but Fenerbahce are a different caliber of opponent. In terms of squad depth, the Greeks do not currently surpass their Turkish counterparts.
Looking at various metrics, it's clear how well the team performs defensively, ranking 7th in this area (84.1). Their offense is even more impressive, averaging 90.1 points per game, which ranks as the second-best. This is largely due to standout performances from Dorsey and Vezenkov. However, this heavy reliance on two players could prove problematic in the playoffs or even now against Fenerbahce, who boast the tournament's best defense.
Match Results: Olympiacos
Fenerbahce Istanbul Team Overview
The Turkish team has navigated through all crisis situations, establishing a consistent winning streak and claiming the top spot in the standings. This success extends beyond the EuroLeague to their domestic championship as well. They've been on a winning run for quite some time. Last week, the Istanbul side allowed themselves a momentary lapse in a road game against the resilient Crvena Zvezda (73-79). It's clear that playing an open style against Olympiacos might not be the best strategy. While the visitors boast talented players, trips to Greece are always challenging.
It's likely that Sarunas Jasikevicius has planned a series of tactical adjustments to effectively counter Olympiacos' main stars. By playing at a slower pace and organizing well on their half of the court, they should have enough skill for effective defense. On average, they concede 78.9 points per game-the lowest in the league. This pragmatic style is characterized by modest scoring (82.4). Nonetheless, their scorers are top-tier: Horton-Tucker, Melli, Baldwin, and Wilbekin.
Match Results: Fenerbahce Istanbul
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 34;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 9; for the visitors on the road - 6;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 37.65;
- Today's home team averages 19.74, while the visitors average 17.91.
First Quarter Stats: Olympiacos (home) vs Fenerbahce Istanbul (away)
- Tournament matches played: 7 vs 5;
- Number of wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 1 (20%);
- Number of losses: 3 (42.86%) vs 4 (80%);
- Number of draws: 1 (14.29%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22.14 vs 18.2;
- Average points conceded: 20.57 vs 23.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 41.6 (scored - 21.1, conceded - 20.5) vs 36.6 (scored - 18.8, conceded - 17.8).
- Fenerbahce Istanbul scored under 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 away games against Olympiacos (Euroleague).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 34;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 17.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce Istanbul
- number of tournament matches played: 13 vs 13;
- number of wins: 8 (61.54%) vs 8 (61.54%);
- number of losses: 5 (38.46%) vs 5 (38.46%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 5;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 8 vs 9;
- number of losses: 2 vs 1;
- number of home wins for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Fenerbahce Istanbul have won in last 9 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 77.82, for the away team - 76.85;
- average total points in H2H matches - 154.68.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce Istanbul
- average total in the tournament: 168.15 vs 158.15;
- average total points scored: 86.38 vs 79.62;
- average total points conceded: 81.77 vs 78.54;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.69 vs 36.69;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.69 vs 42.92;
- Olympiacos: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 83.71;
- Fenerbahce Istanbul: average total points scored away in the tournament - 79.2;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.7 (home - 90) vs 82.6 (away - 84.5).
- Olympiacos have scored under 84.5 points in 9 of last 10 games against Fenerbahce Istanbul (Euroleague).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers are backing the Greeks as favorites in this matchup, and it's a stance that's hard to argue with-home court advantage can be decisive. However, envisioning a scenario where Jasikevicius' squad can play an open and free-shooting game is challenging. It's more likely this will be a tactical battle, where each possession turns into a mini skirmish. Both sides boast players capable of defending at the highest level. Given the lack of conditions for an open game, our editorial team suggests trusting in the top-tier defense of the Turkish club. Fenerbahçe might not emerge victorious, but they will certainly test the Greek offense. We recommend considering Olympiacos' total under 85.5 points.No comments
Betting Tips: Olympiacos - Fenerbahce Istanbul
in 7 of last 8 home games against Fenerbahce Istanbul (Euroleague).in 13 of last 14 home games.in last 7 home games (Euroleague).in 7 of last 8 games against Fenerbahce Istanbul (Euroleague).in last 5 games against Fenerbahce Istanbul (Euroleague).in 7 of last 8 home games (Euroleague).
Other predictions
