Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction 4 October 2026

    📢What tactical schemes can be used against zone defense? South East Melbourne Phoenix and Illawarra Hawks will show us their offensive options as they clash on 4 October at 04:00 in the "NBL" tournament. The favorite for the match is the South East Melbourne Phoenix team, and the victory of each side is rated as follows: against . We will analyze how accurate the bookmakers' ratings are in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams South East Melbourne Phoenix and Illawarra Hawks:

    • played 25 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 14 for today's home team and 11 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 96.88 points per match, the guests - 93.68;
    • average total match points - 190.56.

    The last confrontation took place on 08 January 2026 at the venue of South East Melbourne Phoenix and ended with a score of 124:113.

    Head-to-head statistics Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks

    56%
    14 Wins
    44%
    11 Wins
    08.01.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    124
    113
    23
    25
    32
    25
    24
    29
    27
    27
    18
    7
    04.12.25
    NBL
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    113
    109
    31
    13
    23
    26
    20
    22
    19
    32
    20
    16
    18.10.25
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    116
    76
    30
    23
    36
    17
    17
    12
    33
    24
    05.03.25
    NBL
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    SE Melbourne Phoenix
    SE Melbourne Phoenix
    126
    96
    37
    22
    33
    22
    33
    20
    23
    32
    02.03.25
    NBL
    SE Melbourne Phoenix
    SE Melbourne Phoenix
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    101
    94
    24
    24
    27
    23
    15
    21
    35
    26
    Empty
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    South East Melbourne Phoenix Team Overview

    🏆This season, South East Melbourne Phoenix has stepped onto the court for 4 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 1 victories, 3 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, South East Melbourne Phoenix boasts a success rate of 54.55%, while their defeats account for 45.45% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 181.45 points, with an average of 94.45 points per match and conceding 87 points to the opposition.

    🏀At their home venue, the team's average score per game is 94.14 points. In home games, the team's defense concedes an average of 86.57 points per game.

    Match Results: South East Melbourne Phoenix

    02.10.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    92
    88
    26
    24
    22
    22
    22
    21
    22
    21
    L
    24.09.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Melbourne United
    Melbourne United
    61
    86
    14
    16
    21
    29
    22
    24
    4
    17
    L
    21.09.26
    NBL
    Tasmania Jackjumpers
    Tasmania Jackjumpers
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    96
    91
    15
    24
    23
    28
    36
    22
    22
    17
    L
    19.09.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    79
    100
    24
    19
    13
    30
    25
    16
    17
    35
    W
    08.09.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    100
    103
    32
    25
    27
    27
    26
    24
    15
    27
    L
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    Illawarra Hawks Team Overview

    🏆This season, Illawarra Hawks has stepped onto the court for 4 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 1 victories, 3 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, Illawarra Hawks boasts a success rate of 42.86%, while their defeats account for 57.14% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 196.29 points, with an average of 97.57 points per match and conceding 98.71 points to the opposition.

    🏀Away, the team throws on average 93.5 points per game, misses on average 105.5 points per meeting.

    Match Results: Illawarra Hawks

    02.10.26
    NBL
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    Adelaide 36Ers
    Adelaide 36Ers
    114
    92
    35
    21
    30
    14
    27
    32
    22
    25
    W
    27.09.26
    NBL
    Sydney Kings
    Sydney Kings
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    121
    100
    31
    27
    34
    18
    33
    26
    23
    29
    L
    25.09.26
    NBL
    Brisbane Bullets
    Brisbane Bullets
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    103
    95
    25
    18
    25
    24
    23
    24
    30
    29
    L
    20.09.26
    NBL
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    95
    81
    28
    24
    26
    23
    22
    14
    19
    20
    L
    06.09.26
    NBL
    Melbourne United
    Melbourne United
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    103
    98
    21
    19
    30
    25
    25
    34
    27
    20
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    1st Quarter Statistics: South East Melbourne Phoenix (home) vs Illawarra Hawks (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 4;
    • wins: 4 (57.14%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 3 (42.86%) vs 4 (100%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • average total points scored: 24.86 vs 22;
    • average total points conceded: 20.14 vs 26.25.

    Last 10 Matches (overall):

    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • losses: 6 vs 5;
    • draws: 0 vs 1;
    • average 1st quarter total: 45.3 (scored - 23.2, conceded - 22.1) vs 48.7 (scored - 24.2, conceded - 24.5).
    Trends
    • Over 47.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 South East Melbourne Phoenix games against Illawarra Hawks (NBL).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Total Over 47,5 (odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 25;
    • number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 11.

    Statistics: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks

    • number of tournament matches played: 4 vs 4;
    • number of wins: 6 (54.55%) vs 3 (42.86%);
    • number of losses: 5 (45.45%) vs 4 (57.14%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 4;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 5 vs 5;
    • number of losses: 5 vs 5;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 3;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 2.
    Trends
    • South East Melbourne Phoenix won with a +4.5 points handicap in 9 of last 10 home games (NBL).
    👉Prediction: South East Melbourne Phoenix Handicap (+4,5) (odds: 1.34)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 96.88, for the away team - 93.68;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 190.56.

    Statistics: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks

    • average total in the tournament: 181.45 vs 196.29;
    • average total points scored: 94.45 vs 97.57;
    • average total points conceded: 87 vs 98.71;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 51 vs 47.43;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.45 vs 50.14;
    • South East Melbourne Phoenix: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 94.14;
    • Illawarra Hawks: average total points scored away in the tournament - 93.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 92.6 (home - 91) vs 98 (away - 96.17).

    Trends
    • Illawarra Hawks have scored over 93.5 points in 7 of last 8 games against South East Melbourne Phoenix (NBL).
    👉Prediction: Illawarra Hawks Total points Over (93,5) (odds: 1.74)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Over 191.5 points scored in last 8 South East Melbourne Phoenix games against Illawarra Hawks (NBL).

    Total points Over (191,5)
    Odds-111
    Published: 03/10/2026, 04:21
    Scores24 Editorial
    Scores24 Editorial
    Basketball Expert
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks

    South East Melbourne Phoenix won the 4th quarter:
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixillawarra-hawksin 8 of last 9 games against Illawarra Hawks (NBL).
    4th Quarter South East Melbourne Phoenix to Win
    -120
    Over 48.5 points in the 2nd quarter:
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixillawarra-hawksin last 10 South East Melbourne Phoenix games against Illawarra Hawks (NBL).
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixillawarra-hawksin last 5 South East Melbourne Phoenix home games against Illawarra Hawks (NBL).
    2nd Quarter Total Over 48,5
    -109
    Over 191.5 points scored:
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixillawarra-hawksin last 8 South East Melbourne Phoenix games against Illawarra Hawks (NBL).
    Total points Over (191,5)
    -111
    Illawarra Hawks scored over 23.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixillawarra-hawksin 7 of last 8 games against South East Melbourne Phoenix (NBL).
    1st Quarter, Illawarra Hawks Total points Over (23,5)
    -132
    View more facts

    Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks Table position

    Regular season Ladder
    gWLForm
    6.
    Adelaide 36Ers
    Adelaide 36Ers
    422
    7.
    Melbourne United
    Melbourne United
    312
    8.
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    413
    9.
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    413
    10.
    Cairns Taipans
    Cairns Taipans
    413