Obradoiro vs Real Madrid Prediction 4 October 2026

    🏀 In the Spanish basketball league, Obradoiro are set to face Real Madrid. The "Royal" club come into the game as favourites, but the hosts could capitalise on their opponents' congested fixture schedule. Obradoiro’s determination on their home court might well help the tournament newcomers secure at least a respectable result.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The most recent meeting between these sides took place in April 2024, with Real Madrid coming out on top, 79-69. It's hardly surprising, given that the Madrid club have dominated the last five head-to-head encounters, boasting a flawless 5-0 record.

    Head-to-head statistics Obradoiro - Real Madrid

    10%
    3 Wins
    90%
    27 Wins
    28.04.24
    ACB
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    79
    69
    28
    20
    10
    17
    23
    19
    18
    13
    16.12.23
    ACB
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    74
    85
    19
    15
    15
    24
    14
    23
    26
    23
    05.03.23
    ACB
    Rio Natura Monbus
    Rio Natura Monbus
    Real Madrid BC
    Real Madrid BC
    78
    84
    14
    24
    16
    20
    27
    22
    21
    18
    02.10.22
    Spagnola ACB
    Real Madrid BC
    Real Madrid BC
    Rio Natura Monbus
    Rio Natura Monbus
    93
    79
    27
    12
    15
    13
    26
    30
    25
    24
    08.05.22
    Spagnola ACB
    Rio Natura Monbus
    Rio Natura Monbus
    Real Madrid BC
    Real Madrid BC
    88
    89
    21
    23
    23
    23
    19
    16
    25
    27
    Empty
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    Obradoiro: A Chance for an Upset

    Obradoiro have made a solid start to the season, claiming an impressive 90-85 road win over MoraBanc Andorra. Back on their home court, they are expected to play with even more confidence and aggression. Offensively, there is clear potential for improvement-Obradoiro shot 32.3% from beyond the arc away from home, and with the backing of their fans, that number should see a bump. The hosts favour an up-tempo style, which allows them to rack up points in transition. All of their top players are likely to log heavy minutes, and that could actually work to their advantage against Real Madrid’s deep rotation.

    Match Results: Obradoiro CAB

    26.09.26
    ACB
    Morabanc Andorra
    Morabanc Andorra
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    85
    90
    27
    14
    19
    29
    24
    22
    15
    25
    W
    20.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    Unicaja Malaga
    Unicaja Malaga
    84
    86
    19
    19
    20
    27
    23
    26
    22
    14
    L
    11.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    Valencia Basket
    Valencia Basket
    95
    108
    15
    28
    23
    28
    23
    25
    34
    27
    L
    05.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    CB Breogan
    CB Breogan
    81
    84
    25
    23
    18
    16
    14
    21
    24
    24
    L
    25.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    CB Coruna
    CB Coruna
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    89
    82
    17
    13
    32
    24
    15
    20
    25
    25
    L
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    Real Madrid: the Spanish giants face a congested fixture list

    Real Madrid are navigating a hectic schedule right now. This week alone, they’ve played two EuroLeague games-and lost both. First, they fell to Anadolu Efes (84-94), then suffered another defeat at the hands of Hapoel Tel Aviv (98-102). After back-to-back setbacks, the “royal club” will be eager to bounce back. However, with little time for recovery before their next outing, the coaching staff are likely to rotate the squad heavily, utilizing the full depth of the bench. That could impact the team’s overall quality during key stretches of the game. The away factor might also come into play. In the opening round against Unicaja, Real Madrid had a tough time (89-87)-and that was on their home court. So, there’s every reason to expect a hard-fought contest rather than a walkover.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    01.10.26
    ERL
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    102
    98
    29
    20
    34
    23
    12
    32
    27
    23
    L
    29.09.26
    ERL
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    94
    84
    27
    29
    26
    12
    19
    24
    22
    19
    L
    27.09.26
    ACB
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Unicaja Malaga
    Unicaja Malaga
    89
    87
    23
    22
    23
    25
    19
    24
    24
    16
    W
    24.09.26
    ERL
    BC Dubai
    BC Dubai
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    78
    77
    20
    16
    18
    28
    25
    18
    15
    15
    L
    19.09.26
    SuperCup
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    93
    89
    24
    15
    23
    28
    28
    29
    18
    17
    W
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    Total Points Prediction

    Over their last ten games, Obradoiro have averaged 89.8 points per game (87.6 at home), while Madrid have put up an average of 92.1 points (92.8 on the road) during the same span. Real Madrid have failed to surpass the 93.5-point mark in each of their last nine head-to-head meetings with this opponent in the Spanish league. The value pick here is Real Madrid Individual Total Under 93.5 Points at odds of 1.91.

    Outcome Prediction

    If we look at the last ten matches for both teams, the hosts have claimed 9 wins and suffered just one defeat, while the visitors have managed 4 victories and lost 6 times. Obradoiro have won 5 of their last 10 home games, whereas Real have picked up just 2 away wins over the same span. An interesting trend stands out: in six consecutive head-to-head meetings in the Spanish league, Obradoiro have managed to cover a +14.5 handicap against Real. It’s worth taking a chance on Obradoiro (+14.5) handicap at odds of 1.36.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Bookmakers have made Real Madrid clear favourites for this clash, and it’s hardly a surprise. Still, Obradoiro are more than capable of putting up a fight. The hosts benefit from a full week of preparation-something the Spanish giants simply can’t afford. That extra freshness could make a real difference. Add the energy of their home crowd, and the underdogs might just find their rhythm. Our editorial team recommends backing Obradoiro with a +12.5 handicap.
    Obradoiro CAB Handicap (+12,5)
    Odds-192
    Published: 03/10/2026, 09:31
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
    9
    0
    6
    15 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Obradoiro CAB - Real Madrid

    Obradoiro CAB lost the 1st half:
    rio-natura-monbusreal-madrid-bcin 29 of last 30 games against Real Madrid.
    rio-natura-monbusreal-madrid-bcin 28 of last 29 games against Real Madrid (Liga ACB).
    rio-natura-monbusreal-madrid-bcin last 16 home games against Real Madrid.
    rio-natura-monbusreal-madrid-bcin last 15 home games against Real Madrid (Liga ACB).
    Real Madrid won the 1st half:
    real-madrid-bcin 7 of last 8 away games (Liga ACB).
    1st Half Real Madrid to Win
    -294
    Obradoiro CAB lost the 2nd quarter:
    rio-natura-monbusreal-madrid-bcin 6 of last 7 home games against Real Madrid (Liga ACB).
    2nd Quarter Real Madrid to Win
    -192
    Obradoiro CAB won the 1st half:
    rio-natura-monbusin 22 of last 23 home games.
    1st Half Obradoiro CAB to Win
    +229
    Obradoiro CAB won the 4th quarter:
    rio-natura-monbusin 14 of last 15 games.
    rio-natura-monbusin last 10 home games.
    4th Quarter Obradoiro CAB to Win
    +158
    View more facts

    Obradoiro - Real Madrid Table position

    Regular season Season Standings
    gWLForm
    1.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    110
    2.
    Caprabo Lleida
    Caprabo Lleida
    110
    3.
    Basquet Girona
    Basquet Girona
    110
    7.
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    110
    8.
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    110
    9.
    Bilbao Basket
    Bilbao Basket
    110