Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction 4 February 2026
🔊 The matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Boston Celtics is set for this coming Wednesday as part of another NBA regular season game day. This campaign has been far more successful for the visitors, who have maintained their strength despite many predicting a decline due to Tatum's injury. Meanwhile, the hosts are grappling with various issues and find themselves languishing among the Western Conference's lower ranks (12th place). As they prepare to host their illustrious opponents, the Mavericks are in poor form. Can Kidd's squad put up a fight against the clear favorites? Let's break down the game and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics:
- played 41 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 19 for today's home team and 22 for the guests;
- the home team averages 101.93 points per match, the guests - 104.51;
- average total match points - 206.44.
The last confrontation took place on 07 February 2025 at the venue of Boston Celtics and ended with a score of 120:127.
Head-to-head statistics Mavericks - Celtics
Dallas Mavericks Team Overview
The Dallas Mavericks are struggling, having lost four of their last five games, with this losing streak yet to be broken. The team's scoring average is underwhelming, often facing challenges in putting points on the board, ranking just 22nd in offensive rating (114.1 points).
It's no surprise, then, that Kidd's squad relies heavily on defense (116.6), though there has been noticeable regression in their defensive efforts lately. Their latest setback came against a strong Houston team (107-111). Thanks to an impressive performance from Flagg (34 points) and immense motivation-after all, it was a Texas derby-Dallas played competitively but faltered in the clutch. The young star of the club is one of the key players fans are pinning their hopes on for the future. However, this season, the franchise is unlikely to break into the Top 10.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks
Boston Celtics Team Overview
The Boston Celtics are showcasing a confident performance, securing seven wins in their last ten games. The team sits second in the Eastern Conference and is determined to maintain their position under pressure from the surging New York. Mazzulla's squad finds success through a formidable defense (allowing 109.1 points, 2nd best) and the leadership of sharpshooter Brown.
However, they occasionally struggle with focus during games against less formidable opponents. Yet, in their recent regular-season clash, there was no sign of trouble as the Celtics routed Milwaukee (107-79). Brown, enjoying the best season of his career, once again emerged as the main hero, racking up 30 points and 13 rebounds. It's already evident that Boston will finish in the Top 3 of the East, and many fans are wondering if the management will make moves before the trade deadline (February 5) to bolster their roster and enhance their playoff prospects.
Match Results: Boston Celtics
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 41;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 4;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 51.1;
- Today's home team averages 25.68, while the visitors average 25.41.
First Quarter Stats: Dallas Mavericks (home) vs Boston Celtics (away)
- Tournament matches played: 30 vs 27;
- Number of wins: 13 (43.33%) vs 16 (59.26%);
- Number of losses: 16 (53.33%) vs 9 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 1 (3.33%) vs 2 (7.41%).
- Average points scored: 29.03 vs 30.48;
- Average points conceded: 29.2 vs 27.7.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 6 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 2;
- Average first quarter total: 57.8 (scored - 29.2, conceded - 28.6) vs 54.9 (scored - 28.6, conceded - 26.3).
- Under 57.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Dallas Mavericks games against Boston Celtics (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 41;
- Home team wins - 19, away team wins - 22.
- Dallas Mavericks won with a +13.5 points handicap in last 10 games (NBA).
- Dallas Mavericks won with a +13.5 points handicap in last 9 home games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 101.93, for the away team - 104.51;
- average total points in H2H matches - 206.44.
Statistics: Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics
- average total in the tournament: 229.51 vs 225.17;
- average total points scored: 114.09 vs 116.28;
- average total points conceded: 115.42 vs 108.89;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 56.45 vs 60.08;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 56.83 vs 55.72;
- Dallas Mavericks: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 115.5;
- Boston Celtics: average total points scored away in the tournament - 116.48;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 118.4 (home - 120.38) vs 114.1 (away - 119).
- Under 229.5 points scored in last 11 Dallas Mavericks home games against Boston Celtics (NBA).
- Under 229.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Dallas Mavericks games against Boston Celtics (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
For Dallas, the key will be to neutralize Boston's offense by strengthening their defense and improving the efficiency of their long-range shots. The Celtics, on the other hand, need to capitalize on their opponent's mistakes to score effectively. We believe that the visiting team, playing at a very slow pace, will have no trouble stifling the Mavericks' mediocre offense (they just need to shut down Flagg), resulting in a low-scoring game. We recommend betting on a total under 223.5.No comments
Betting Tips: Dallas Mavericks - Boston Celtics
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