Adelaide Lightning vs Townsville Fire Prediction 4 January 2026
📢What tactical schemes can be used against zone defense? Adelaide Lightning (W) and Townsville Fire (W) will show us their offensive options as they clash on 4 January at 07:30 in the "WNBL, Australia Women" tournament. The favorite for the match is the Townsville Fire (W) team, and the victory of each side is rated as follows: against . We will analyze how accurate the bookmakers' ratings are in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Adelaide Lightning (W) and Townsville Fire (W):
- played 36 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 10 for today's home team and 26 for the guests;
- the home team averages 67.36 points per match, the guests - 77.14;
- average total match points - 144.5.
The last confrontation took place on 25 November 2025 at the venue of Adelaide Lightning (W) and ended with a score of 64:90.
Head-to-head statistics Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire
Adelaide Lightning (W) Team Overview
🏆This season, Adelaide Lightning (W) has stepped onto the court for 15 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 4 victories, 11 defeats.
📈Throughout this season, Adelaide Lightning (W) boasts a success rate of 26.67%, while their defeats account for 73.33% of their total matches.
📊The team plays with the average over/under of 160.93 points, with an average of 76.07 points per match and conceding 84.87 points to the opposition.
🏀At their home venue, the team's average score per game is 78.86 points. In home games, the team's defense concedes an average of 83.57 points per game.
Match Results: Adelaide Lightning (W)
Townsville Fire (W) Team Overview
🏆This season, Townsville Fire (W) has stepped onto the court for 14 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 11 victories, 3 defeats.
📈Throughout this season, Townsville Fire (W) boasts a success rate of 78.57%, while their defeats account for 21.43% of their total matches.
📊The team plays with the average over/under of 157.71 points, with an average of 86.79 points per match and conceding 70.93 points to the opposition.
🏀Away, the team throws on average 87.57 points per game, misses on average 70.86 points per meeting.
Match Results: Townsville Fire (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 6; for the visitors on the road - 12;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.25;
- Today's home team averages 18.97, while the visitors average 20.28.
First Quarter Stats: Adelaide Lightning (W) (home) vs Townsville Fire (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 7 vs 7;
- Number of wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 5 (71.43%);
- Number of losses: 4 (57.14%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 21.29 vs 23.71;
- Average points conceded: 23.86 vs 19.29.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 1 vs 7;
- Number of losses: 8 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 43.5 (scored - 19.4, conceded - 24.1) vs 43.1 (scored - 23.1, conceded - 20).
- Adelaide Lightning (W) scored over 16.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 games against Townsville Fire (W) (WNBL, Australia Women).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 36;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 26.
Statistics: Adelaide Lightning (W) vs Townsville Fire (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 15 vs 14;
- number of wins: 4 (26.67%) vs 11 (78.57%);
- number of losses: 11 (73.33%) vs 3 (21.43%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 8;
- number of losses: 8 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Adelaide Lightning (W) won with a +18.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 games (WNBL, Australia Women).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 67.36, for the away team - 77.14;
- average total points in H2H matches - 144.5.
Statistics: Adelaide Lightning (W) vs Townsville Fire (W)
- average total in the tournament: 160.93 vs 157.71;
- average total points scored: 76.07 vs 86.79;
- average total points conceded: 84.87 vs 70.93;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 41 vs 45.71;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 34.07 vs 41.07;
- Adelaide Lightning (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 78.86;
- Townsville Fire (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 87.57;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 76.3 (home - 79.75) vs 87.4 (away - 90.67).
- Adelaide Lightning (W) have scored under 69.5 points in 8 of last 9 games against Townsville Fire (W) (WNBL, Australia Women).
Editorial Prediction
- Adelaide Lightning (W) have scored under 69.5 points in 8 of last 9 games against Townsville Fire (W) (WNBL, Australia Women).
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Betting Tips: Adelaide Lightning (W) - Townsville Fire (W)
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