Perth vs Melbourne Phoenix Prediction 2 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🏀 In the NBL, the Perth Wildcats are set to face off against Melbourne Phoenix. The visitors have struggled to find their best form recently, and that inconsistency could be exposed in this upcoming matchup. The hosts have the quality to dictate the tempo and should head into the closing stages with a strong chance of securing the win.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last meeting between these rivals took place in mid-September, with Melbourne Phoenix securing a 100-79 victory. Looking at their previous five head-to-head clashes, the visitors hold a slight edge, winning three out of five encounters.

    Head-to-head statistics Perth - Melbourne Phoenix

    59%
    17 Wins
    41%
    12 Wins
    19.09.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    79
    100
    24
    19
    13
    30
    25
    16
    17
    35
    04.03.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    111
    94
    35
    29
    29
    18
    22
    17
    25
    30
    28.01.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    101
    93
    24
    32
    25
    19
    26
    26
    26
    16
    10.01.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    97
    107
    26
    32
    24
    26
    25
    21
    22
    28
    18.12.25
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    76
    77
    22
    17
    18
    9
    20
    31
    16
    20
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Perth Wildcats Team Overview

    Perth Wildcats are gradually finding their rhythm. True, they suffered a recent defeat to the very team they’re about to face again. However, they bounced back with two straight wins: first edging out Adelaide in a nail-biter (98-97), then overcoming the New Zealand Breakers (97-93). The schedule is working in the Wildcats’ favor, as this marks their fourth consecutive home game. That continuity should help stabilize their offense, which is averaging 93.5 points per game. The kind of struggles they experienced just a few weeks ago now seem firmly behind them.

    Match Results: Perth Wildcats

    26.09.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    97
    93
    22
    26
    25
    25
    29
    22
    21
    20
    W
    24.09.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    Adelaide 36Ers
    Adelaide 36Ers
    98
    97
    30
    20
    18
    28
    22
    29
    28
    20
    W
    19.09.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    79
    100
    24
    19
    13
    30
    25
    16
    17
    35
    L
    10.09.26
    NBL
    Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa
    Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    82
    110
    19
    31
    25
    28
    13
    31
    25
    20
    W
    08.09.26
    NBL
    Chiba Jets Funabashi
    Chiba Jets Funabashi
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    45
    98
    18
    28
    13
    22
    3
    28
    11
    20
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    South East Melbourne Phoenix Team Overview

    After their recent head-to-head triumph over the Wildcats, Melbourne Phoenix have hit a rough patch. They fell to the Tasmania JackJumpers (91-96) before suffering a heavy defeat at the hands of Melbourne United (61-86). Offensively, Phoenix are struggling to find their rhythm, and their latest outing is a clear example - scoring just 4 points in the final quarter. Now they face a road trip against an opponent hungry for revenge, a scenario that could spell trouble for Phoenix on both ends of the floor.

    Match Results: South East Melbourne Phoenix

    24.09.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Melbourne United
    Melbourne United
    61
    86
    14
    16
    21
    29
    22
    24
    4
    17
    L
    21.09.26
    NBL
    Tasmania Jackjumpers
    Tasmania Jackjumpers
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    96
    91
    15
    24
    23
    28
    36
    22
    22
    17
    L
    19.09.26
    NBL
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    79
    100
    24
    19
    13
    30
    25
    16
    17
    35
    W
    08.09.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    100
    103
    32
    25
    27
    27
    26
    24
    15
    27
    L
    05.09.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Brisbane Bullets
    Brisbane Bullets
    113
    105
    37
    21
    30
    33
    17
    26
    29
    25
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 29;
    • number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 12.

    Statistics: Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix

    • number of tournament matches played: 3 vs 3;
    • number of wins: 5 (62.5%) vs 6 (60%);
    • number of losses: 3 (37.5%) vs 4 (40%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 3;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 5 vs 6;
    • number of losses: 5 vs 4;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 3;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 2.
    Trends
    • Perth Wildcats won with a +2.5 points handicap in 15 of last 16 home games against South East Melbourne Phoenix (NBL).
    👉Prediction: Perth Wildcats Handicap (+2,5) (odds: 1.69)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Bookmakers are giving a slight edge to the visitors in this matchup. However, much has changed since their last head-to-head encounter. Perth are gradually finding their form, while Melbourne Phoenix have recently struggled to impress in attack. Our editorial team believes the hosts have a solid chance to get their revenge here. We’re backing Perth Wildcats with a +4.5 handicap.
    Perth Wildcats Handicap (+4,5)
    Odds-200
    Published: 01/10/2026, 06:55
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix

    Perth Wildcats won with a +2.5 points handicap:
    perth-wildcatssouth-east-melbourne-phoenixin 15 of last 16 home games against South East Melbourne Phoenix (NBL).
    Perth Wildcats Handicap (+2,5)
    -135

    Perth - Melbourne Phoenix Table position

    Regular season Ladder
    gWLForm
    3.
    Adelaide 36Ers
    Adelaide 36Ers
    321
    4.
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    321
    5.
    Melbourne United
    Melbourne United
    211
    7.
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    312
    8.
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    312
    9.
    Cairns Taipans
    Cairns Taipans
    312