Denizli vs Tofas Prediction 3 October 2026

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Key points

    🏀 In the Turkish Super League clash, Denizli take on Tofas Bursa. Both teams favour a high-tempo style of play, which could have a major impact on how this contest unfolds. The visitors, in particular, have been in outstanding form away from home recently and could well capitalize on their momentum.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last meeting between these sides took place in March, with Denizli claiming a 93-88 victory on the road. However, looking at their head-to-head record over the past five encounters, Tofas hold a slight edge with a 3-2 advantage.

    Head-to-head statistics Denizli - Tofas

    20%
    2 Wins
    80%
    8 Wins
    21.03.26
    Basketball Super League
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    88
    93
    24
    21
    23
    27
    18
    17
    23
    28
    16.11.25
    Basketball Super League
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    78
    72
    16
    17
    22
    18
    24
    13
    16
    24
    11.05.25
    Basketball Super League
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    92
    94
    21
    29
    22
    27
    28
    20
    21
    18
    12.01.25
    Basketball Super League
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    91
    80
    22
    15
    23
    23
    25
    17
    21
    25
    28.01.24
    Basketball Super League
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    98
    77
    19
    23
    28
    17
    25
    20
    26
    17
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    Belediyesi Denizli Team Overview

    The hosts have endured a shaky start to their domestic campaign, suffering a defeat to Socar Petkim Spor (81-85). Their defense left much to be desired, while the offense - despite showing promise over the first three quarters - ultimately faltered, managing just 15 points in the final ten minutes. Back on home court, Denizli are expected to deliver a more convincing attacking performance. Playing at their own pace and in solid shape should also work in their favor. Beyond the aforementioned game, they also faced Rasta Fehta in the Basketball Champions League (98-101), where once again the team leaned heavily into an offensive style of play.

    Match Results: Belediyesi Denizli

    26.09.26
    Basketball Super League
    Socar Petkim Spor
    Socar Petkim Spor
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    85
    81
    25
    24
    22
    21
    23
    21
    15
    15
    L
    15.09.26
    Champions League
    Rasta Vechta
    Rasta Vechta
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    101
    98
    24
    20
    19
    17
    34
    28
    24
    33
    L
    08.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Galatasaray
    Galatasaray
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    89
    93
    20
    22
    21
    25
    18
    28
    30
    18
    W
    04.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Cayirova Belediyesi
    Cayirova Belediyesi
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    69
    66
    22
    15
    18
    16
    14
    16
    15
    19
    L
    03.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Socar Petkim Spor
    Socar Petkim Spor
    88
    84
    23
    23
    26
    25
    21
    17
    18
    19
    W
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    Tofas Bursa Team Overview

    Tofaş Bursa have only played two official games so far: their opener against Bordeaux (90-89) and a EuroCup clash with Chemnitz (82-69). It’s fair to expect the visitors to keep delivering strong performances on the offensive end. Even their recent outing on the international stage, while not particularly high-scoring, still showcased decent efficiency. Tofaş are capable of putting up solid numbers even in slower-paced contests. And up against an opponent who likes to push the tempo but struggles defensively, the Bursa side’s offensive potential looks even more impressive.

    Match Results: Tofas Bursa

    29.09.26
    Eurocup
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    BV Chemnitz 99
    BV Chemnitz 99
    82
    69
    22
    15
    24
    15
    14
    23
    22
    16
    W
    25.09.26
    Basketball Super League
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    Bordo BK
    Bordo BK
    90
    89
    27
    16
    21
    31
    27
    21
    15
    21
    W
    19.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    Galatasaray
    Galatasaray
    81
    76
    18
    21
    19
    20
    23
    17
    21
    18
    W
    18.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    Bursaspor
    Bursaspor
    94
    80
    25
    16
    23
    22
    18
    20
    28
    22
    W
    12.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    102
    91
    17
    21
    28
    23
    30
    26
    27
    21
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 9;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 4;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 42.78;
    • Today's home team averages 19.89, while the visitors average 22.89.

    First Quarter Stats: Belediyesi Denizli (home) vs Tofas Bursa (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 0 vs 0;
    • Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 0 vs 0;
    • Average points conceded: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 5;
    • Number of losses: 6 vs 4;
    • Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
    • Average first quarter total: 43.6 (scored - 21.9, conceded - 21.7) vs 43.2 (scored - 21.9, conceded - 21.3).
    Trends
    • Belediyesi Denizli scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 games against Tofas Bursa (Basketball Super League).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter, Belediyesi Denizli Total points Under (23,5) (odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 81.11, for the away team - 92.44;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 173.56.

    Statistics: Belediyesi Denizli vs Tofas Bursa

    • average total in the tournament: 166 vs 179;
    • average total points scored: 81 vs 90;
    • average total points conceded: 85 vs 89;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 45 vs 48;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 36 vs 42;
    • Belediyesi Denizli: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 0;
    • Tofas Bursa: average total points scored away in the tournament - 0;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 86.3 (home - 85.5) vs 82.9 (away - 84.67).
    Trends
    • Over 170.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Belediyesi Denizli games against Tofas Bursa (Basketball Super League).
    👉Prediction: Total points Over (170,5) (odds: 1.9)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In this matchup, Tofas appear to have the upper hand. They've shown solid early-season form, particularly on the offensive end. Denizli, playing at home, are certain to put up a fight - they thrive in a fast-paced game. Our editorial team believes offense will take center stage here. Backing the over 167.5 points looks like a smart play.
    Total points Over (167,5)
    Odds-159
    Published: 02/10/2026, 09:08
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Belediyesi Denizli - Tofas Bursa

    Tofas Bursa lost the 2nd quarter:
    tofas-bursain 10 of last 11 games.
    tofas-bursain last 9 games (Basketball Super League).
    2nd Quarter Belediyesi Denizli to Win
    -104
    Tofas Bursa won the 3rd quarter:
    tofas-bursain 8 of last 9 games (Basketball Super League).
    3rd Quarter Tofas Bursa to Win
    -119
    Belediyesi Denizli lost the 2nd quarter:
    merkezefendi-belediyesi-denizli-basketin 7 of last 8 games.
    2nd Quarter Tofas Bursa to Win
    -119
    Tofas Bursa lost the 2nd half:
    tofas-bursain 7 of last 8 away games.
    tofas-bursain 6 of last 7 away games (Basketball Super League).
    2nd Half Belediyesi Denizli to Win
    -104
    View more facts

    Denizli - Tofas Table position

    Regular season Season Standings
    gWLPForm
    6.
    Socar Petkim Spor
    Socar Petkim Spor
    1102
    7.
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    1102
    8.
    Turk Telekom
    Turk Telekom
    1102
    10.
    Pinar Karsiyaka
    Pinar Karsiyaka
    1011
    11.
    Belediyesi Denizli
    Belediyesi Denizli
    1011
    12.
    Bursaspor
    Bursaspor
    1011