Italy vs Spain Prediction

    Italy
    Italy
    Spain
    Spain
    67
    63
    10
    20
    19
    18
    18
    18
    11
    16

    🔊 An intriguing matchup awaits us in the group stage of EuroBasket. The odds for both teams are fairly even, but who will emerge victorious? Italy and Spain will face off, and we're certainly expecting an exciting showdown. Our team offers you an insightful prediction for the game.

    Head-to-Head

    The opponents haven't crossed paths often in recent years. The head-to-head record stands evenly at 2-2.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    60%
    3 Wins
    40%
    2 Wins
    02.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Italy
    Italy
    Spain
    Spain
    67
    63
    10
    18
    20
    18
    19
    11
    18
    16
    25.06.24
    Int. Friendly Games
    Spain
    Spain
    Italy
    Italy
    84
    87
    10
    14
    23
    14
    21
    22
    19
    23
    11
    14
    26.02.23
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Spain
    Spain
    Italy
    Italy
    68
    72
    16
    13
    13
    20
    15
    19
    24
    20
    11.11.22
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Italy
    Italy
    Spain
    Spain
    84
    88
    14
    18
    18
    22
    15
    14
    16
    19
    21
    15
    06.09.19
    FIBA World Cup, 2nd round, Group J
    Spain
    Spain
    Italy
    Italy
    67
    60
    18
    18
    12
    13
    20
    17
    17
    12
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Italy Team Overview

    It's fair to say that Italy may not boast standout stars in their lineup, but the team is skilled and, crucially, they have plenty of energy on the court. They also feature strong shooters ready to take on responsibility. Notably, Simone Fontecchio delivered a remarkable performance against Bosnia, scoring 39 points.

    Italy have only lost to Greece at the start of the group stage, but since then, they've switched to a demolition mode. In their latest match, they once again defeated Bosnia (96-79). The entire squad played excellently, and besides Fontecchio, Danilo and Spissu also stood out, each scoring 14 points. Their long-range shooting was impressive that day, with 14 successful attempts out of 24. Italy are clearly gaining momentum at EuroBasket. There's more excitement to come.

    Match Results: Italy

    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Italy
    Italy
    Great Britain
    Great Britain
    84
    75
    21
    21
    22
    17
    21
    21
    20
    16
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Great Britain
    Great Britain
    Italy
    Italy
    57
    93
    14
    32
    13
    19
    19
    14
    11
    28
    W
    30.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Lithuania
    Lithuania
    Italy
    Italy
    81
    82
    19
    16
    20
    18
    15
    20
    27
    28
    W
    27.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Italy
    Italy
    Iceland
    Iceland
    76
    81
    21
    21
    13
    17
    20
    23
    22
    20
    L
    07.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Italy
    Italy
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    77
    84
    11
    29
    29
    21
    16
    22
    21
    12
    L
    Empty
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    Spain Team Overview

    The national team features only one NBA player on their roster. Spain may have fewer star players now, but they remain a dynamic team. The initial setback after the game against Georgia seems to be behind them, as they've shown impressive speed and unexpectedly solid defense, which has become their strong suit.

    In their victories over Bosnia and Cyprus, the Spaniards excelled from beyond the arc, with the number of three-point attempts surpassing mid-range shots in both games. Their shooting accuracy hovered around 40%, which is a masterful performance. It's hard to single out a standout leader in the squad, as we witness pure team basketball, a hallmark of Sergio Scariolo's style.

    Match Results: Spain

    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Spain
    Spain
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    78
    64
    16
    9
    12
    12
    24
    22
    26
    21
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    Spain
    Spain
    66
    86
    21
    17
    12
    15
    14
    33
    19
    21
    W
    30.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Spain
    Spain
    Georgia
    Georgia
    90
    61
    19
    22
    28
    11
    23
    13
    20
    15
    W
    27.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Denmark
    Denmark
    Spain
    Spain
    64
    74
    23
    25
    10
    20
    14
    15
    17
    14
    W
    04.09.25
    EuroBasket
    Spain
    Spain
    Greece
    Greece
    86
    90
    20
    31
    15
    19
    28
    18
    23
    22
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    The odds are fairly set in this matchup, as both teams are evenly matched, making it difficult to give a decisive edge to either side. It's worth noting that both national teams play at a fast pace and take a significant number of shots, with three-pointers being their core strategy. Given their strong centers, attempts from beyond the arc are likely to be decisive once again. We're placing a bet on the total over 154.5. It's a relatively low figure for teams that consistently hit high scores, and we believe the bet could succeed due to the sheer number of attempts, even if the shooting percentage isn't exceptionally high.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (154.5) at odds of -114*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 September 2025, 12:11)

    Betting Tips: Italy - Spain

    Under 157.5 points scored
    italy-8in 6 of last 7 Italy games.
    spain-8in last 7 Spain games.
    spain-8in last 5 Spain away games.
    Total points Under (157.5)
    -139

    Italy - Spain Table position

    Group stage Group C
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Greece
    Greece
    5419
    2.
    Italy
    Italy
    5419
    3.
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    5328
    4.
    Georgia
    Georgia
    5237
    5.
    Spain
    Spain
    5237
    6.
    Cyprus
    Cyprus
    5055