Iraq vs Jordan Prediction 29 June 2026
π Iraq host Jordan in Matchday 4 of the World Cup qualifying round. For Iraq, this fixture is a chance to snap their winless streak and claim their first victory of the campaign. However, such an outcome would be a major upset, as Jordan currently top Group C, having won all of their previous matches in convincing fashion. The two sides approach this clash with different motivations: the hosts are searching for a way out of a tough situation, while the visitors are focused on maintaining their lead at the summit. Letβs break down this encounter and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
πTeams Iraq and Jordan have only had three official encounters so far, and here is the statistics:
- for today's hosts 0 wins (including extra time), for the guests - 3;
- average total points in the 1st half - 75.67, in the 2nd - 68;
- average total match points - 143.67.
Head-to-head statistics Iraq - Jordan

Iraq Team Overview
Iraqβs form remains in crisis: the team have lost all three of their World Cup qualifiers and managed just one win in their last ten outings overall. Their most recent game ended in another defeat, falling 70-78 to Syria, further highlighting deep-rooted issues on both ends of the floor.
On average, Iraq score just 69.6 points per game while conceding 86, with the last ten matches underscoring defensive frailties-opponents are converting at a high rate, pushing the average points allowed to 83 per contest. Offensively, Iraq struggle for consistency and rarely break the 70-point mark; rebounding fails to offset their vulnerability in the paint, and their three-point shooting percentage remains subpar. Itβs clear that Iraq will continue to play the role of underdogs for the remainder of the qualifiers.
Match Results: Iraq

Jordan Team Overview
Jordan head into this clash riding a three-game winning streak in the current World Cup qualifiers. This run began immediately after two disappointing outings in the Asia Cup, marking a clear step up in the teamβs basketball quality.
Over their last ten games, Jordan are averaging 75.5 points per contest while holding opponents to just 70.1 points. Stretching the sample further, their offense has been producing over 82 points per game, while their defense stands among the best in the Asian region, conceding only 55.6 points on average. Their playing style is built around confident tempo control and patient ball movement, working to create open looks for their shooters.
Match Results: Jordan
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 1; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40;
- Today's home team averages 21, while the visitors average 19.
First Quarter Stats: Iraq (home) vs Jordan (away)
- Tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
- Number of wins: 2 (100%) vs 2 (100%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 21.5 vs 19.5;
- Average points conceded: 19 vs 10.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 41.3 (scored - 21.3, conceded - 20) vs 36.9 (scored - 19, conceded - 17.9).
- Jordan scored under 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 9 games.
- Jordan scored under 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 3;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 3.
Statistics: Iraq vs Jordan
- number of tournament matches played: 3 vs 3;
- number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 3 (100%);
- number of losses: 3 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 1 vs 6;
- number of losses: 9 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Iraq have lost in last 7 games.
- Iraq have lost in last 6 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 67, for the away team - 76.67;
- average total points in H2H matches - 143.67.
Statistics: Iraq vs Jordan
- average total in the tournament: 155.67 vs 138;
- average total points scored: 69.67 vs 82.33;
- average total points conceded: 86 vs 55.67;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 32.67 vs 40.33;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 37 vs 42;
- Iraq: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 70.5;
- Jordan: average total points scored away in the tournament - 86.5;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 70.6 (home - 67) vs 75.5 (away - 75.17).
β Editorial Prediction
The outcome of this match will hinge on the gulf in attacking quality and defensive reliability. Iraq simply lack the resources to contain their aggressive visitors or keep pace on the scoreboard for the full contest. The hostsβ form remains among the worst in the entire qualification campaign. Against this backdrop, Jordan look rock-solid, outclassing Iraq in every department. A well-founded prediction is that the visitors will dominate from start to finish, so weβre backing Jordan to win with a -18.5 handicap.