Baskonia vs Fenerbahce Prediction 2 January 2026
🔊 This Friday in the EuroLeague, we're in for an exciting clash between Saski Baskonia and Fenerbahçe, taking place at the Spanish team's home court. It's a matchup of two teams with differing ambitions: Baskonia are looking to climb out of the lower standings, while Fenerbahçe aim to solidify their position in the Top 4. Can the Basque side find a way to challenge the reigning champions? Let's analyze the matchup and provide a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Saski Baskonia and Fenerbahce Istanbul:
- played 36 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 18 for today's home team and 18 for the guests;
- the home team averages 80.5 points per match, the guests - 79.61;
- average total match points - 160.11.
The last confrontation took place on 28 March 2025 at the venue of Fenerbahce Istanbul and ended with a score of 88:76.
Head-to-head statistics Baskonia - Fenerbahce

Saski Baskonia Team Overview
Saski Baskonia have been inconsistent in their recent performances, alternating between wins and losses. Over their last five games, the team has secured two victories while suffering three defeats. Their offensive output in the EuroLeague is impressive, averaging 87.6 points, ranking them 8th in offensive ratings.
However, their defense leaves much to be desired, conceding 91.1 points on average, which is the third-worst defensive rating. It's important to note that Baskonia traditionally perform better at home, buoyed by passionate fan support. In the previous round, Saski played away and couldn't overcome their regional rivals from Valencia (81-91).
Match Results: Saski Baskonia

Fenerbahce Istanbul Team Overview
Fenerbahçe are in excellent form, holding firmly onto the top spots in the EuroLeague standings. The club has won eight of their last ten games. The Turkish team favors a methodical style of basketball with a strong emphasis on defense, where they currently have no equal in the tournament, allowing just 78.3 points per game. However, their offense hasn't quite reached last year's championship level, as they possess the third-worst offensive rating, scoring 80.2 points.
Their shortcomings on offense haven't stopped Jasikevičius's squad from dominating the league. In the latest round, their monstrous defense took down a surging Barcelona (72-71). It's hard to believe that earlier in the season, the Turkish team's play was faltering. Local stars have bought into the Lithuanian coach's vision, and now Fenerbahçe are once again among the tournament's top contenders, thanks to their consistently high-quality play and championship DNA.
Match Results: Fenerbahce Istanbul
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 10; for the visitors on the road - 8;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.75;
- Today's home team averages 19.39, while the visitors average 20.36.
First Quarter Stats: Saski Baskonia (home) vs Fenerbahce Istanbul (away)
- Tournament matches played: 9 vs 7;
- Number of wins: 5 (55.56%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Number of losses: 4 (44.44%) vs 5 (71.43%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 19.89 vs 17.71;
- Average points conceded: 19.33 vs 21.14.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 42.4 (scored - 21.8, conceded - 20.6) vs 38 (scored - 20, conceded - 18).
- Fenerbahce Istanbul scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 away games against Saski Baskonia (Euroleague).
- Fenerbahce Istanbul scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in 15 of last 16 games (Euroleague).
- Fenerbahce Istanbul scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in 8 of last 9 away games (Euroleague).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 36;
- number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 18.
Statistics: Saski Baskonia vs Fenerbahce Istanbul
- number of tournament matches played: 18 vs 17;
- number of wins: 6 (33.33%) vs 11 (64.71%);
- number of losses: 12 (66.67%) vs 6 (35.29%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 8;
- number of losses: 5 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 80.5, for the away team - 79.61;
- average total points in H2H matches - 160.11.
Statistics: Saski Baskonia vs Fenerbahce Istanbul
- average total in the tournament: 178.72 vs 158.47;
- average total points scored: 87.61 vs 80.18;
- average total points conceded: 91.11 vs 78.29;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.17 vs 36.88;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.94 vs 43.29;
- Saski Baskonia: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 88;
- Fenerbahce Istanbul: average total points scored away in the tournament - 82.14;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 90.6 (home - 87.75) vs 83.6 (away - 84.75).
- Under 168.5 points scored in last 5 Saski Baskonia home games (Euroleague).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match, we will witness a clash of different playing styles: Fenerbahce's formidable defense will face off against the intense attacking pressure of Saski Baskonia and their passionate fans. The combined skill and solid defense around their hoop are likely to favor the Istanbul side, even on Spanish soil. Saski boasts plenty of standout performers, so we don't anticipate a blowout for the hosts, but an upset is also unlikely. We suggest placing a bet on the visitors' victory with a spread of (-4.5).