Milwaukee vs Kings Prediction
🔊 Can the hosts build on their recent success? In this NBA regular season matchup, Milwaukee face off against Sacramento. The Bucks have hit a solid stride, excelling in several offensive aspects. Meanwhile, the Kings are struggling defensively, and playing on the road might prove to be an insurmountable challenge for them.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of past official games between the Milwaukee Bucks and Sacramento Kings:
- They have faced off in 36 games;
- Wins (including overtime): 25 for the current home team and 11 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 114.53 points per game, while the visitors average 110.61;
- The average total score per game is 225.14.
Their last encounter took place on 23 March 2025 at the Sacramento Kings' court, ending with a score of 108-114.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Milwaukee Bucks Team Overview
Recently, Milwaukee triumphed over Golden State with a score of 120-110. Their offense was firing on all cylinders, as seen in their recent clash with New York (121-111). The team is executing their shots exceptionally well, ranking third in the league for overall shooting accuracy at 51.1%. Notably, they've maintained this level even without Giannis Antetokounmpo, who sat out against the Warriors.
The participation of the team's star player remains uncertain due to health concerns. However, the Bucks' overall philosophy revolves around perimeter shooting. Milwaukee ranks 12th in the league for three-point attempts and boasts an impressive conversion rate of 39.6%. There are some challenges, of course, but their defense holds strong, allowing 115 points per game (10th best). All these factors significantly surpass Sacramento's key metrics.
Match Results: Milwaukee Bucks

Sacramento Kings Team Overview
The "Kings," despite an intriguing lineup, continue to struggle. They have suffered three consecutive defeats. Their offense ranks among the worst in the league, averaging just 111 points (26th). This issue was evident in their games against Chicago (113-126) and Oklahoma (101-107). Despite having plenty of sharpshooters, the Kings rarely attempt long-range shots, ranking 26th in attempts.
It's likely the Kings will finally decide to pick up the pace. With players like LaVine, DeRozan, Westbrook, and Schröder on the roster, they thrive in fast-paced play. Even off the bench, Monk can contribute with quick attempts. Clearly, the team needs a spark. However, facing Milwaukee, with their nearly perfect wings, achieving high efficiency will be challenging. Moreover, the team struggles with free throws, converting just 72.8%, which costs them additional points.
Match Results: Sacramento Kings
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 9; for the visitors on the road - 6;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 57.89;
- Today's home team averages 29.75, while the visitors average 28.14.
First Quarter Stats: Milwaukee Bucks (home) vs Sacramento Kings (away)
- Tournament matches played: 5 vs 5;
- Number of wins: 5 (100%) vs 3 (60%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (40%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 34.2 vs 31.6;
- Average points conceded: 27.6 vs 30.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 9 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 6;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 58.5 (scored - 31.8, conceded - 26.7) vs 58.5 (scored - 27.9, conceded - 30.6).
- Milwaukee Bucks won the 1st quarter in last 10 games (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 36;
- Home team wins - 25, away team wins - 11.
- Milwaukee Bucks have won in 17 of last 18 games against Sacramento Kings (NBA).
- Milwaukee Bucks have won in last 9 home games against Sacramento Kings (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 114.53, for the away team - 110.61;
- average total points in H2H matches - 225.14.
Statistics: Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings
- average total in the tournament: 231.56 vs 230.11;
- average total points scored: 118.67 vs 112;
- average total points conceded: 112.89 vs 118.11;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 60 vs 58;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 58.67 vs 54;
- Milwaukee Bucks: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 120.6;
- Sacramento Kings: average total points scored away in the tournament - 114;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 116 (home - 115.83) vs 108.6 (away - 108).
- Over 227.5 points scored in last 6 Milwaukee Bucks home games (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers are backing the hosts as favorites in this matchup. It's a reasonable prediction: Milwaukee, even without their leading scorer, showcases a solid system. The ball movement is excellent, everyone can shoot from distance, and they have the advantage of playing on their home court. With the support of the home crowd, they can expect to make significant progress in three-point shooting. Moreover, the Bucks don't plan to lower their overall efficiency. Sacramento's defense is quite lacking, which plays into Milwaukee's hands. These teams are in completely different states at the moment. For these reasons, our editorial team favors the Bucks. A bet on Milwaukee's spread (-2.5) looks like a sound decision.