Sun vs Liberty Prediction

    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    78
    62
    15
    29
    20
    14
    20
    17
    18
    7

    🔊 We have an exciting showdown ahead between the Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty, taking place on the home court of the Sun. This game carries significant weight only for the visitors, who currently hold the second spot in the standings, while the hosts are languishing at the bottom with no theoretical chance of making the playoffs. It's no surprise then that even on the road, Liberty are considered clear favorites by the bookmakers.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Connecticut Sun (W) and New York Liberty (W):

    • They have faced each other in 55 matches;
    • Victories (including overtime): 26 for today's home team and 29 for the visitors;
    • The hosts average 77.47 points per game, while the visitors average 76.31;
    • The average total score per game is 153.78.

    Their last encounter took place on 01 June 2025 at the New York Liberty's venue and ended with a score of 100-52.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    44%
    27 Wins
    56%
    34 Wins
    08.06.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    80
    89
    18
    23
    17
    15
    21
    27
    24
    24
    08.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    106
    75
    36
    13
    30
    24
    21
    23
    19
    15
    03.05.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    67
    79
    20
    24
    20
    18
    13
    19
    14
    18
    25.08.25
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    81
    79
    27
    15
    10
    21
    21
    23
    23
    20
    03.08.25
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    78
    87
    19
    25
    19
    20
    19
    21
    21
    21
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview

    Connecticut Sun find themselves in a challenging situation: the team has won only four out of 25 games this season. In their last ten matchups, they've managed just two victories. Their average scoring leaves much to be desired; while they consistently score over 76 points per game, it's not enough to secure successful outcomes. A strong suit for them is their defense-even with numerous losses, they manage to prevent opponents from running up the score. However, issues arise with their offense and shot execution. An interesting note about the club: they've reached the playoffs three times in the last five seasons.

    Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)

    08.06.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    80
    89
    18
    23
    17
    15
    21
    27
    24
    24
    L
    05.06.26
    WNBA
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    85
    80
    11
    25
    32
    20
    22
    16
    20
    19
    L
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    91
    75
    24
    25
    26
    24
    18
    16
    23
    10
    L
    30.05.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    84
    81
    20
    18
    19
    18
    23
    24
    22
    21
    W
    28.05.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    71
    61
    17
    16
    20
    11
    13
    23
    21
    11
    L
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    New York Liberty (W) Team Overview

    New York Liberty maintain a strong hold on second place in the standings, thanks to their balanced play and high level of on-court chemistry. The team has won six out of their last ten games, showcasing impressive performances both at home and on the road. Their average points per game highlight their ability to finish attacks successfully. However, recent trends point to challenges in scoring more than 88 points against their current opponent. The team's focus remains on three-point shooting and ball control-key strengths that complement their solid defense.

    Match Results: New York Liberty (W)

    08.06.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    80
    89
    18
    23
    17
    15
    21
    27
    24
    24
    W
    07.06.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    83
    75
    21
    25
    16
    15
    17
    17
    29
    18
    W
    03.06.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    97
    82
    17
    20
    23
    14
    30
    24
    27
    24
    W
    29.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    75
    68
    17
    11
    17
    20
    25
    23
    16
    14
    W
    27.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    84
    74
    24
    22
    18
    21
    30
    12
    12
    19
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 55;
    • First quarter wins at home - 14; on the road - 12;
    • Average first-quarter total: 40.25;
    • Today's home team averages 20.15 points, while the visitors average 20.11.

    First Quarter Statistics: Connecticut Sun (W) (home) vs New York Liberty (W) (away)

    • Games played in the tournament: 11 vs 8;
    • Wins: 4 (36.36%) vs 2 (25%);
    • Losses: 7 (63.64%) vs 5 (62.5%);
    • Draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (12.5%).
    • Average points scored: 18.73 vs 22.25;
    • Average points conceded: 21.18 vs 25.63.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 4 vs 4;
    • Losses: 6 vs 6;
    • Draws: 0 vs 0;
    • Average first-quarter total: 43.5 (scored - 21.1, conceded - 22.4) vs 45.9 (scored - 20.7, conceded - 25.2).
    Trends
    • Connecticut Sun (W) have lost the first quarter in their last 6 head-to-head matchups against New York Liberty (W) in the WNBA.
    👉 Prediction: 1st Quarter New York Liberty (W) Win (odds: 1.44)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Total encounters - 55;
    • Home wins - 26, Away wins - 29.
    Trends
    • The Connecticut Sun (W) cover a +11.5 spread at home in 14 consecutive head-to-head games against this team (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Connecticut Sun (W) Handicap (+11.5)(odds: 1.78)

    Total Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Average points scored per game by the home team - 77.47, by the away team - 76.31;
    • Average total points in head-to-head games - 153.78.

    Statistics: Connecticut Sun (W) vs New York Liberty (W)

    • Average tournament total: 164.86 vs 167.59;
    • Average points scored: 75.86 vs 86.86;
    • Average points conceded: 89 vs 80.73;
    • Average first-half points: 37.76 vs 43.5;
    • Average second-half points: 38.1 vs 43.36;
    • Connecticut Sun (W): average home points in the tournament - 81.73;
    • New York Liberty (W): average away points in the tournament - 84.13;
    • Last 10 games (average points): 80.1 (home - 84) vs 87.2 (away - 81.5).
    Trends
    • New York Liberty (W) score under 88.5 points in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings with this team (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: New York Liberty (W) Total points Under (88.5)(odds: 1.98)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams approach this matchup with differing strategies: Connecticut aim to enhance their performance through aggressive defense and increased shot attempts on offense, while New York will rely on a fast-paced attack and long-range shooting, thanks to their formidable front line. Considering the overall head-to-head statistics and Connecticut's recent form, betting on the visitors' team total under 88.5 points appears promising.

    Our choice
    New York Liberty (W) Total points Under (88.5) at odds of -102*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 August 2025, 07:51)

    Betting Tips: Connecticut Sun (W) - New York Liberty (W)

    Connecticut Sun (W) lost the 2nd half
    connecticut-sunnew-york-libertyin 5 of last 6 home games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
    New York Liberty (W) won the 2nd half
    new-york-libertyin last 8 games (WNBA).
    2nd Half New York Liberty (W) Win
    -263
    Connecticut Sun (W) have lost
    connecticut-sunnew-york-libertyin last 6 home games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
    New York Liberty (W) Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -667
    Connecticut Sun (W) lost the 1st quarter
    connecticut-sunnew-york-libertyin last 6 games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
    1st Quarter New York Liberty (W) Win
    -227
    Connecticut Sun (W) lost the 1st half
    connecticut-sunin 8 of last 9 home games (WNBA).
    1st Half New York Liberty (W) Win
    -370
    View more facts

    Sun - Liberty Table position

    Group stage Commissioner's Cup Eastern Conference
    gWLForm
    1.
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    541
    2.
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    541
    3.
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    532
    4.
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    523
    5.
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    514
    6.
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    514