Cubs vs Yankees Prediction 31 July 2026
📡 Chicago return to Wrigley Field following a successful road trip, capped by a 4-2 extra-innings victory. New York, on the other hand, have dropped back-to-back games on their opponents’ final at-bat and continue to struggle with converting opportunities. Both teams have notched six wins in their last ten outings, but the home side enter this series opener boasting a more consistent offense. The matchup is further spiced up by a clear contrast in the current form of the starting pitchers.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over their last 10 head-to-head clashes, both teams have claimed five wins apiece. However, Chicago have come out on top in the two most recent meetings-5-2 and 4-1-taking the series in New York back in July 2025. In seven of those 10 games, the total runs scored did not exceed nine, with the Cubs holding the Yankees to just one run or fewer on four occasions. While the overall record is dead even, recent momentum in this matchup clearly favours the hosts.
Head-to-head statistics Cubs - Yankees

Chicago Cubs Team Overview
The Cubs currently sit second in their division with a 62-47 record, having secured 30 wins in 52 home games. Their 564 runs scored rank among the league’s best. In July, Chicago posted a .273 team batting average, and their recent road trip saw them claim five victories from seven outings. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the lineup with 24 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Alex Bregman and Nico Hoerner made significant contributions in the latest series. However, late-game situations remain a concern, as injuries have forced the coaching staff to shuffle their bullpen closers.
Match Results: Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees Team Overview
New York own a 61-48 record and have been impressive on the road, notching 35 wins against 25 losses away from home. However, they arrive at Wrigley Field following back-to-back extra-inning defeats. In their most recent outing, the Yankees went just 1-for-15 with runners in scoring position and stranded 11 men on base. Their lineup is further hampered by injuries to Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Cody Bellinger. Missing several key power hitters, the visitors are finding it tougher to make up for any mistakes from their starting pitcher with a single explosive inning.
Match Results: New York Yankees
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Shota Imanaga enters the game with a 7-8 record, a 3.72 ERA, and a 1.10 WHIP. The left-hander has racked up 113 strikeouts over 121 innings. In his previous outing, Imanaga tossed six scoreless frames, allowing just four hits. His command and ability to keep runners off base will be especially crucial against a depleted visiting lineup.
Will Warren has notched seven wins against five losses, but his ERA stands at 4.41 with a 1.41 WHIP. The right-hander has tallied 102 strikeouts in 102 innings. Warren struggled in his most recent start, surrendering six runs and failing to make it through the fourth inning. Over his last eight appearances, his ERA has ballooned to 6.57, so early pressure from the top of the home order could quickly force the bullpen into action.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Chicago hold the edge primarily thanks to the starting pitching matchup. Imanaga has shown excellent command on the mound, is enjoying a strong run of form, and has the ability to keep the Cubs in contention deep into the later innings. Warren, on the other hand, often struggles early in games, while Chicago’s offense ranks among the most productive in the league. New York are always a threat on the road, but injuries and poor conversion of scoring chances limit their ability to mount a comeback. There’s some risk due to the Cubs’ inconsistent late-inning relievers, so it’s crucial for Chicago to build a lead against the opposing starter. In this matchup, we’re backing a Chicago Cubs win.
