Pirates vs Cubs Prediction 24 July 2026
📡 Pittsburgh are set to begin a crucial home series as they hover near the final wild card spot. Chicago are four wins ahead of the hosts, making the outcomes of the upcoming three games potentially game-changing for the standings. Jared Jones and Matthew Boyd, both having delivered solid performances recently, are slated to start in the opening game. The main storyline revolves around whether the powerful offenses can quickly dismantle what promises to be a high-quality starting duel.
Head-to-Head
📊 The Chicago Cubs have won six of their last 10 head-to-head games against Pittsburgh, while the Pirates have taken four. In six of those matchups, the teams combined for no more than nine runs. However, the series did feature several high-scoring games, making the current form of the scheduled starting pitchers crucial.
Head-to-head statistics Pirates - Cubs

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Overview
Pittsburgh hold a 53-50 record and trail the wild-card spot by just half a win. The hosts have significantly improved their offense, yet their performance against left-handed starting pitchers remains lackluster this season. An added concern is the inconsistent work of their relievers, which often complicates late-game situations. In the opening game of the series, it is crucial for the Pirates to get a lengthy start from Jones and avoid exposing the game to the late innings.
Match Results: Pittsburgh Pirates

Chicago Cubs Team Overview
Chicago enter the series with a 57-45 record, sitting at the top of the National League wild-card race. Before hitting the road, they suffered a 1-5 defeat, managing just four hits and barely threatening after the first inning. Overall, their lineup remains one of the most productive in the league, but they might approach the game more cautiously after a day off. Against Jones, aggressive swings and attempts to force long hits could result in numerous early outs.
Match Results: Chicago Cubs
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Jared Jones takes the mound for Pittsburgh with a 2-1 record, a 4.05 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and 48 strikeouts. In his last two starts, the right-hander has thrown 11 innings, allowing just one run while striking out 17. His velocity and ability to finish innings on his own give the home team a chance to maintain control of the game for extended periods.
Matthew Boyd boasts a 6-1 record, a 4.15 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and 51 strikeouts. Since rejoining the rotation, the lefty has made five starts with a 2.57 ERA and has significantly improved his command. Pittsburgh struggles against left-handed pitchers, so Boyd has the potential to limit the home team's offense in the early innings.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both offenses possess significant potential, but today's starting pitchers are in fine form. Jones has allowed just one run over his last two outings, while Boyd has been consistently effective since rejoining the rotation. Pittsburgh struggles to score against left-handed pitchers, and Chicago is coming off a subpar offensive performance. Six of the last 10 head-to-head matchups have stayed under nine runs. The main risk involves the relievers, but solid innings from the starters should limit their workload. We consider the best option to be the total under 9.5.