Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 23 August 2026

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The main thing
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    6
    2
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    2
    2
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    📡 Miami have a chance to sweep their home series after securing 3-2 and 4-2 victories in the opening two games. The Marlins are back above the .500 mark, while Washington have dropped nine of their last 11 outings and continue to struggle offensively. The Nationals have managed just four runs across their last three contests. Sunday's confirmed pitching matchup features Janson Junk and Jackson Kent, which gives the hosts yet another solid advantage.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Miami have dominated the last 10 head-to-head matchups, claiming nine wins and suffering just one defeat. This season, the Marlins are 7-1 against Washington and have strung together seven consecutive victories in the series. After back-to-back home wins by scores of 3-2 and 4-2, the current run has only strengthened the hosts’ advantage in this matchup.

    Head-to-head statistics Marlins - Nationals

    49%
    82 Wins
    51%
    85 Wins
    23.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    6
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    22.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    21.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    3
    2
    0
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    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1
    03.06.26
    MLB
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    2
    0
    1
    02.06.26
    MLB
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    3
    7
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
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    Miami Marlins Team Overview

    After a tough road trip to Philadelphia, the Marlins quickly bounced back at home. On Saturday, Heriberto Hernandez blasted his 19th home run of the season, Jacob Marsee also went deep, and Miami’s pitching staff held off Washington’s attempts at a late rally. The home-field advantage has been crucial: entering this series, Miami owned a 38-25 record at their ballpark. The team aren’t relying on one standout aspect-they’re finding success through a balanced combination of timely hitting and strong late-inning pitching.

    Match Results: Miami Marlins

    25.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    3
    7
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    0
    1
    5
    L
    24.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    2
    4
    0
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    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
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    1
    0
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    1
    0
    2
    L
    23.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    6
    2
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    2
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    0
    W
    22.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    4
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    1
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    W
    21.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    3
    2
    0
    0
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    0
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    0
    0
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    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
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    1
    W
    Empty
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    Washington Nationals Team Overview

    Washington come into Game 3 on a dismal run of form, having dropped nine of their last 11 outings. The Nationals are further hampered by injuries to several key players, which has left their offense sputtering. On Saturday, they managed just two runs, and over their past three games, they've produced only four in total. Even when their starting pitching keeps things close, this current Washington lineup struggles to generate enough run support.

    Match Results: Washington Nationals

    25.08.26
    major league baseball
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    1
    3
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    L
    24.08.26
    major league baseball
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    13
    3
    0
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    5
    1
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    1
    W
    23.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    6
    2
    1
    0
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    0
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    1
    2
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    2
    1
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    L
    22.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
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    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
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    L
    21.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
    3
    2
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    0
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    0
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    L
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Janson Junk gets the nod for Miami, coming in with a 6-8 record, a 4.37 ERA, and a 1.36 WHIP. While his season has been far from stellar, since rejoining the rotation he’s been able to consistently deliver five to six innings per outing. In his most recent start against Philadelphia, Junk worked through five frames. For today’s purposes, he doesn’t need to dominate-he just needs to keep Washington’s weakened lineup limited to two or three runs.

    Jackson Kent is still in his early days at the MLB level. He posted a 9-4 record with a 3.72 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in the minors, but his transition to the big leagues has been much tougher. In his last outing against Texas, the left-hander gave up five runs in just 3.2 innings, and his current MLB ERA sits at 9.39. Facing an opponent that has already beaten Washington seven times this season, Kent’s starting profile looks particularly vulnerable.


    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Washington have managed to keep things close against Miami twice in this series, so a blowout is far from guaranteed. Still, the hosts hold too many advantages to ignore. The Marlins have taken nine of the last 10 head-to-head meetings and have won seven out of eight matchups this season, while the Nationals are on a rough 2-9 stretch. Kent is still finding his feet at MLB level and gave up five runs in less than four innings in his previous start. Meanwhile, Washington's offense is offering minimal support to their pitching staff. The home-field advantage only adds to Miami’s edge. We’re backing a Miami Marlins win.

    Miami Marlins Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-159
    Published: 23/08/2026, 05:11
    Evgeny Lisin
    Evgeny Lisin
    Baseball specialist
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    221
    513 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Miami Marlins - Washington Nationals

    Washington Nationals have lost:
    washington-nationalsin 8 of last 9 away games (MLB).
    washington-nationalsin 7 of last 8 games (MLB).
    Miami Marlins Win
    Bovada
    -161
    Under 7.5 runs scored:
    washington-nationalsin last 6 Washington Nationals games (MLB).
    Total Under (7,5)
    +115
    Miami Marlins won with a +1.5 handicap:
    miami-marlinsin 10 of last 11 home games (MLB).
    Miami Marlins Handicap (+1,5)
    -278
    Washington Nationals won with a +2.5 handicap:
    washington-nationalsin 6 of last 7 games (MLB).
    Washington Nationals Handicap (+2,5)
    -250