Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction 22 August 2026
📡 The Yankees continue their winning streak, following a sweep of Baltimore with a 3-1 victory to open their home series against Toronto. New York have now won five straight games, improving their record to 73-55. Saturday’s pitching matchup promises another low-scoring affair, with Ryan Weathers set to face Dylan Cease. Both starters are having impressive seasons, and just yesterday the two clubs combined for only four runs.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last 10 head-to-head meetings are split evenly at 5-5. In six of those games, the teams combined for no more than seven runs, including four August results: 3-1, 1-4, 4-3, and yesterday’s 3-1. Toronto know how to slow down the Yankees’ offense, and the current starting pitching matchup further supports that trend.
Head-to-head statistics Yankees - Blue Jays

New York Yankees Team Overview
New York are currently winning games largely thanks to their pitching. In Baltimore, the Yankees held their opponents to just five runs across three games, then limited Toronto to only one. The offense hasn’t needed to put up big numbers: before Friday, their last four wins came with the pitching staff firmly in control. This profile suits a matchup with a low projected total.
Match Results: New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays Team Overview
The Blue Jays dropped the opening game of the series, but they managed seven hits and drew three walks from the top of their lineup. Still, Toronto have already shown in August that they can keep the Yankees in check, having claimed 3-1 and 4-1 victories just a week ago. Once again, the visitors’ main opportunity lies on the mound, with Gausman enjoying one of the best seasons among Toronto’s rotation.
Match Results: Toronto Blue Jays
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Ryan Weathers enters with a 5-7 record, a 3.56 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP. The left-hander has been in outstanding form lately, allowing less than one earned run per nine innings over his recent stretch. He consistently limits hard contact, giving the Yankees a real chance to keep the opposition’s scoring in check deep into the game.
Dylan Cease stands at 7-5 with an impressive 2.42 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. He recently shut down New York and, judging by his season stats, has even outperformed Weathers. With these two on the mound, the odds of an early slugfest are significantly reduced.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The main risk is clear-Yankee Stadium has a way of turning just a couple of pitching mistakes into a flurry of runs. Still, the recent form of both pitching staffs and the quality of the starting duo provide solid grounds to expect another low-scoring contest. Cease carries a 2.42 ERA, while Weathers boasts a 3.56 and is enjoying his best stretch of the season. Yesterday’s game ended 3-1, and most recent head-to-heads have also been short on offense. Even a 4-3 scoreline would suit this line perfectly. We're backing the under 7.5 total runs.