Mets vs Nationals Prediction 16 August 2026
📡 The Mets have taken the first two games of the series, winning 4-1 and 5-4, with Saturday's match decided only in the ninth inning. Washington looked significantly more threatening in the second game, hitting three home runs. Sunday's starting pitchers are Christian Scott and Jake Irvin, and the visiting pitcher's stats suggest additional opportunities for the home team's offense.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last 10 matches between these two teams have been evenly split at 5-5. Among those results were scores of 14-2, 16-7, 9-6, 8-4, and Saturday's 5-4. Their head-to-head clashes often produce dramatic swings in scoring, particularly when one side's opening serve quickly loses its grip.
Head-to-head statistics Mets - Nationals

New York Mets Team Overview
The Mets are 8-3 since the trade deadline and have twice in a row managed to break Washington in the late innings. On Saturday, New York got a home run from Carson Benge and then added two runs in the ninth. Even before the series, the Mets' offense was leading MLB in home runs and wRC+ since August 4th, so their current surge can't be attributed solely to clutch finishes.
Match Results: New York Mets

Washington Nationals Team Overview
The Nationals have lost both matchups, but Saturday's four runs were an improvement over Friday's outcome. Brady House hit a three-run homer, and Andres Chaparro also sent one out of the park. However, the absence of James Wood reduces the lineup's depth, and once again, the relievers failed to hold the lead in the final stages.
Match Results: Washington Nationals
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Christian Scott takes the mound for the Mets, boasting a 3.45 ERA with 98 strikeouts over 78.1 innings. However, his last two outings have been less consistent, conceding seven earned runs over nine innings. This could provide Washington with opportunities to make a significant impact, despite the overall strong stats of the home team pitcher.
Jake Irvin will start for Washington, carrying a 5.79 ERA. Since returning from the injured list, he has allowed 12 earned runs over 13.2 innings, including four home runs. His current form appears to be the most vulnerable aspect of this starting matchup.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Scott is capable of delivering a strong start, but his recent outings have been less reliable. On the other side, Irvin holds an ERA of 5.79 and has consistently given up runs and home runs since returning. The Mets are currently excelling with their power hitting, and Washington demonstrated on Saturday that they can also maintain high scoring. Several recent head-to-head encounters have reached double-digit total scores, and yesterday the teams combined for nine runs. The main risk is Scott pitching deep into the game and another failure from the visitors' offense. We're opting for a total over 8.5.
