Braves vs Phillies Prediction 13 September 2026

Details
Key points
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    4
    9
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    7
    0

    📡 In just two days, this series has taken a dramatic turn. On Friday, the teams were locked at 3-3 after nine innings, but extra innings pushed the final score to 6-5. Saturday saw no need for additional frames-Atlanta exploded for an eight-run fourth inning and routed Philadelphia 12-2. The series finale promises an intriguing pitching matchup: Grant Holmes goes up against Andrew Painter, who carries a 5.71 ERA.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Looking at recent trends, six of the last ten head-to-head clashes have seen at least eight runs scored. The two most recent encounters produced 11 and 14 runs, respectively. Just a week ago, the teams battled to 5-4 and 6-2 results. The September matchups between these sides have opened up offensively, especially after a string of low-scoring pitching duels earlier in the season.

    Head-to-head statistics Braves - Phillies

    47%
    107 Wins
    51%
    118 Wins
    29.09.26
    major league baseball
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    5
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0
    13.09.26
    major league baseball
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    4
    9
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    7
    2
    0
    12.09.26
    major league baseball
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    12
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    8
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    11.09.26
    major league baseball
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    6
    5
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    3
    2
    07.09.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    Empty
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    Atlanta Braves Team Overview

    The Braves have improved to 88-61, extending their division lead to six games. On Saturday, Michael Harris delivered four hits and three RBIs, while Ronald Acuña racked up three hits and a home run, as the team batted around in a single fourth inning. Atlanta are now getting production from multiple spots in their lineup, making it impossible for opponents to simply pitch around Olson or any one of their stars.

    Match Results: Atlanta Braves

    29.09.26
    major league baseball
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    5
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0
    W
    27.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    5
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    L
    26.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    3
    8
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    W
    25.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    L
    24.09.26
    major league baseball
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    6
    7
    4
    1
    0
    1
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Philadelphia Phillies Team Overview

    The Phillies have dropped to 82-67 and are coming off back-to-back losses, but their offense still boasts serious firepower. Bryce Harper and Justin Crawford each went deep, even in a lopsided 2-12 defeat. Schwarber, Harper, and Turner all have the ability to put runs on the board quickly if Holmes leaves extra runners on base. For the overall total, even a three- or four-run contribution from the visitors makes hitting the over much more attainable.

    Match Results: Philadelphia Phillies

    29.09.26
    major league baseball
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    5
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0
    L
    27.09.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Tampa Bay Rays
    7
    3
    1
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    W
    26.09.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Tampa Bay Rays
    1
    12
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    L
    25.09.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Tampa Bay Rays
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    24.09.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Grant Holmes gets the nod for Atlanta, carrying a 9-5 record, a 3.46 ERA, and 110 strikeouts this season. He’s delivered a solid campaign so far, but Philadelphia’s lineup remains the kind that can turn even a strong outing into a couple of runs off a well-timed long ball.

    Andrew Painter takes the mound for the visitors with a 3-9 record, a 5.71 ERA, and 97 strikeouts. His side of this pitching matchup is particularly intriguing for those expecting a high-scoring affair. Atlanta are coming off a 12-run game and now face a pitcher with an ERA pushing six-given their current form, they’re well positioned to capitalize on any early mistakes.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    After back-to-back games finishing 6-5 and 12-2, this series has cleared the 7.5-run mark twice in a row. With Painter carrying a 5.71 ERA, Atlanta have a genuine shot at putting up most of the runs themselves-especially coming off an eight-run inning yesterday. Philadelphia, meanwhile, have kept their power alive even in blowouts, with Harper and Crawford both going deep. A typical scoreline like 5-3 or 6-2 should be enough to hit the over. We’re backing the total over 7.5 runs.

    Total Over (7,5)
    Odds-189
    Published: 13/09/2026, 04:03
    Evgeny Lisin
    Evgeny Lisin
    Baseball expert
    277
    1
    244
    522 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Atlanta Braves - Philadelphia Phillies

    Philadelphia Phillies have scored under 5.5 runs:
    atlanta-bravesphiladelphia-philliesin 6 of last 7 away games against Atlanta Braves (MLB).
    philadelphia-philliesin 9 of last 10 games (MLB).
    philadelphia-philliesin 7 of last 8 away games (MLB).
    Philadelphia Phillies Total Under (5,5)
    -189
    Atlanta Braves have scored over 4.5 runs:
    atlanta-bravesphiladelphia-philliesin last 5 home games against Philadelphia Phillies (MLB).
    Atlanta Braves Total Over (4,5)
    -111
    Over 7.5 runs scored:
    atlanta-bravesphiladelphia-philliesin last 5 Atlanta Braves home games against Philadelphia Phillies (MLB).
    Total Over (7,5)
    -213
    Atlanta Braves won with a +1.5 handicap:
    atlanta-bravesphiladelphia-philliesin 6 of last 7 games against Philadelphia Phillies (MLB).
    Atlanta Braves Handicap (+1,5)
    -200
    View more facts