Yankees vs Mariners Prediction 13 August 2026
📡 The Yankees enter Game 3 of the series riding back-to-back wins-4-1 and 10-5. New York stand at 68-52 and have taken 7 of their last 10, while Seattle have dropped to 56-65. On the mound, the hosts send out Max Fried with a 2.88 ERA, while the Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert, who holds a 3.42 ERA. Seattle’s biggest concern remains their prolonged offensive slump, as they've managed just 25 runs over their last 10 games.
Head-to-Head
📊 The Yankees have taken 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matchups against Seattle. Their dominance continues in the current series, with New York already shutting down the visitors twice. Gilbert has historically struggled in this matchup: across eight career starts against the Yankees, he holds a 2-4 record with a 6.80 ERA.
Head-to-head statistics Yankees - Mariners

New York Yankees Team Overview
New York have regained momentum after a shaky start to August, winning seven of their last ten games. In the first two matchups against Seattle, the hosts put up 14 runs, but more importantly, their pitching staff limited the opposition to just six. The Yankees don’t necessarily need another high-scoring performance-if Fried takes the mound, it will be enough to keep the pressure on Gilbert and secure a slight edge heading into the late innings.
Match Results: New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners Team Overview
The Mariners continue to struggle offensively. Over their last 10 games, they've managed just 25 runs, and aside from a five-run outburst on Wednesday, they've often been limited to one or two runs per contest. With numbers like these, it’s especially tough to overcome any mistakes from the starting pitcher. Seattle will be counting on a strong outing from Gilbert, as playing from behind doesn’t suit the current state of their lineup.
Match Results: Seattle Mariners
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Max Fried gets the nod for the Yankees-he’s 4-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 75 strikeouts so far. He’s also posted solid contact numbers against the current Seattle lineup, holding Mariners hitters to a .234 average and a .272 wOBA. That gives the hosts a good chance to keep Seattle’s offense in check once again.
Logan Gilbert takes the mound for Seattle, coming in at 8-7 with a 3.42 ERA and 145 strikeouts. Those are quality numbers over the season, but it’s the Yankees who have consistently troubled him. New York’s current hitters own a .315 average in their head-to-head matchups with Gilbert, albeit in a relatively small sample size.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Seattle have brought in a top-tier pitcher, so a routine win for the hosts isn’t on the cards. However, Fried holds the edge in ERA, the Mariners’ offense is currently struggling, and the Yankees have taken 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. Historically, Gilbert has found it tough going against New York. The main risk here is his ability to deliver a standout start and once again expose the hosts’ inconsistent offense. Still, in their current form, the Yankees offer more ways to edge out a close game-whether early or late in the innings. The pick: New York Yankees to win.
