Brewers vs Padres Prediction 13 May 2026
📡 Milwaukee have extended their winning streak to five games after taking the series opener against San Diego, 6-4. However, the odds for Game 2 are dropping sharply due to the starting pitchers: Michael King faces off against Jacob Misiorowski. Both right-handers boast ERAs under 3.00, with Misiorowski also racking up 70 strikeouts. Despite the opener producing ten runs, the prediction here is for the total to go under 7.5. (Reuters
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Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, San Diego hold the edge with 6 wins to 4 losses. Totals have been evenly split, with 5 games going over and 5 staying under. Milwaukee took the opener in this series (6-4), but that result hinged on Matt Waldron's struggles and a five-run fourth inning from the home side. With King and Misiorowski on the mound, a repeat of that scenario looks far less likely.
Head-to-head statistics Brewers - Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Team Overview
The Brewers are riding a strong home stretch, having won five straight and reaching their highest mark above .500 this season. In the series opener, Milwaukee turned the game around with a big fourth inning, sparked by Sal Frelick, Brice Turang, and Joey Ortiz. However, when it comes to the under, the key factor is different: for Game 2, Mizorowski takes the mound for the hosts, which means Milwaukee can shift away from an all-out offensive approach and instead focus on starting pitching and protecting a lead.
Match Results: Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres Team Overview
The Padres put up four runs in the opener, but spent most of the game playing catch-up after an early stumble by Waldron. Nick Castellanos, Miguel Andújar, and a late RBI double helped narrow the gap, but San Diego ultimately couldn’t reel in Milwaukee. In Game 2, the Padres find themselves in a much stronger position with Michael King on the mound. If King can keep the Brewers quiet through the early innings, San Diego won’t be forced into another high-scoring shootout.
Match Results: San Diego Padres
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Jacob Misiorowski gets the start for Milwaukee. According to the official probable pitchers page, he enters with a 3-2 record, a 2.45 ERA, and 70 strikeouts. That’s an elite strikeout profile for a 7.5 line-Misiorowski has the ability to rack up key outs without allowing contact, minimizing the risk of long innings. If he can navigate the first five frames without heavy traffic on the bases, the game should settle into a more controlled tempo.
San Diego counters with Michael King. Across MLB, King owns a 3-2 record, a 2.76 ERA, and 45 strikeouts; ESPN also lists his WHIP at 1.05. He’s a strong matchup for Misiorowski-King commands the zone well, limits baserunners, and consistently handles early innings with composure. After Milwaukee put up six runs against Waldron, King is tasked with immediately tightening up the quality of contact from the home side.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The opening game of the series turned into a high-scoring affair, but that was largely down to Waldron’s collapse, as he surrendered six runs in just 2.2 innings. Game two features a very different pitching matchup: King and Misiorowski are both capable of keeping the scoreline in check, at least through the middle innings. Milwaukee are in strong form, but they don’t necessarily need another offensive outburst to secure the win-if Misiorowski delivers, three or four runs and solid bullpen management should be enough for the hosts. San Diego also have a chance to play it closer to the vest, with King offering a reliable platform on the mound. The main risk for the under comes from late-inning relievers and Milwaukee’s aggressive baserunning, but with the total set at 7.5, a 4-3 or 5-2 scoreline still keeps things under. Given the quality of both starting pitchers, we’re backing the under 7.5 total runs in this one.
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Betting Tips: Milwaukee Brewers - San Diego Padres
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