Hiroshima vs Tokyo Yakult Prediction

    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    0
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    0
    0
    0
    0
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    -

    📡 Hiroshima, after a commanding victory over DeNA, found themselves completely stalled against Yakult. The two home games in the series ended in defeats (1-4) and (0-4). For a prediction, this is more significant than the unusual pair of starting pitchers. The hosts have Haruya Akagi, while the visitors field Yuki Ishihara, and neither has a substantial track record as starters in the first team.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Yakult dominate the season series with six wins and just one loss. Hiroshima have managed only seven runs across seven head-to-head games, batting .167 with a single home run. Recent results of (0-4), (1-4), (0-2) highlight a persistent offensive issue for the hosts, rather than a mere one-day slump.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    53%
    128 Wins
    42%
    102 Wins
    10.05.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    4
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    09.05.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    08.05.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    23.04.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    22.04.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    Hiroshima Toyo Carp Team Overview

    Hiroshima remain at the bottom of the Central League, and their series with Yakult only reinforces this narrative. The team struggles to generate extended offensive stretches: with 36 hits, seven runs, and 55 strikeouts in their head-to-head matchups, they lack a solid foundation for an over scenario. Akagi, with an ERA of 10.38, appears to be a risky choice. However, he has had brief outings, and Yahoo notes that since being moved to the second team, he has started twice and allowed only two runs over 6.2 innings pitched.

    Match Results: Hiroshima Toyo Carp

    11.06.26
    NPB
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    1
    0
    L
    10.06.26
    NPB
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    5
    4
    3
    0
    0
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    0
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    1
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    L
    09.06.26
    NPB
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    4
    3
    0
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    0
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
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    0
    0
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    1
    0
    L
    07.06.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    5
    2
    0
    0
    4
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    0
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    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    W
    06.06.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    7
    4
    2
    0
    0
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    1
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    0
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    1
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    2
    W
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    Tokyo Yakult Swallows Team Overview

    Yakult lead the Central League and adopt a highly pragmatic approach against Hiroshima. In their head-to-head series, the visitors have scored 23 runs over seven games, boast a team ERA of 1.02, and have suffered just one loss. This isn't a team profile that necessarily drives up the overall total: Yakult often secure victories through pitching, defense, and one or two decisive stretches. Considering Ishihara's debut start with the first team, the visitors might play more cautiously, avoiding unnecessary risks in the match.

    Match Results: Tokyo Yakult Swallows

    11.06.26
    NPB
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
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    L
    10.06.26
    NPB
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    8
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    7
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
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    0
    L
    09.06.26
    NPB
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    4
    3
    0
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    1
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    3
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    L
    07.06.26
    NPB
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
    1
    7
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    4
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    L
    06.06.26
    NPB
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
    0
    2
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    L
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Haruka Akagi is a right-hander with an ERA of 10.38 over 4 games, holding a 0-0 record. He has no head-to-head stats against Yakult. Recent outings: 2.2 IP / 4 H / 3 K / 2 R, 4 IP / 5 H / 2 K / 0 R, 1 IP / 0 H / 0 K / 0 R. While his season ERA is high, it's important to note his role has been inconsistent rather than a traditional starter, so evaluations should be cautious.

    Yuki Ishihara, a lefty, hasn't yet appeared for the first team this season, thus no ERA or games recorded. No head-to-head stats against Hiroshima either. Recent Yahoo data: 3 IP / 1 H / 3 K / 0 R, 2 IP / 2 H / 2 K / 0 R, 4 IP / 5 H / 1 K / 3 R. The sample size isn't extensive for a starter, but his recent short stints have been fairly tidy.


    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The total under 6.5 is supported not so much by the starters' names, but by a consistent head-to-head trend. Hiroshima barely scores against Yakult: seven runs over seven games, with the last three results in the series being (0-4), (1-4), (0-2). Akagi has an unpleasant ERA, but he isn't expected to pitch deep into the game, and Hiroshima's bullpen might step in earlier. Ishihara is making his season debut with the first team, so Yakult is unlikely to play too aggressively either. Given the current weakness of the hosts in offense and the visitors' habit of winning this matchup through control, the optimal choice is a total under 6.5.

    Our choice
    Total Under (6.5) at odds of -119*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 May 2026, 13:22)

    Betting Tips: Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows

    Hiroshima Toyo Carp have lost
    hiroshima-toyo-carp-2in 5 of last 6 home games (NPB).
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows Win
    Bovada
    -105
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp have scored under 2.5 runs
    hiroshima-toyo-carp-2in 10 of last 11 home games (NPB).
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp Total Under (2.5)
    +114
    Over 4.5 runs scored
    tokyo-yakult-swallows-2in 8 of last 9 Tokyo Yakult Swallows games (NPB).
    Total Over (4.5)
    -333
    Under 5.5 runs scored
    hiroshima-toyo-carp-2in 7 of last 8 Hiroshima Toyo Carp home games (NPB).
    Total Under (5.5)
    +125
    View more facts