Hiroshima vs Tokyo Yakult Prediction

    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
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    📡 After a dominant win over DeNA, Hiroshima once again found themselves lacking in offense against Yakult, falling 1-4. The second game of the series appears to be a low-scoring affair: the hosts have Shun Okamoto with an ERA of 1.48, while the visitors counter with Kengo Matsumoto, who boasts an ERA of 3.00 and strong head-to-head stats. For predictions, the broader seasonal performance of the pair is more significant than yesterday's five runs.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Yakult lead the season series 5-1. Hiroshima have managed just seven runs across six head-to-head games, batting .180 with only one home run. Meanwhile, Yakult have scored 19 runs and boast a team ERA of 1.19. Recent results-(1:4), (0:2), (0:2)-highlight how challenging this matchup remains for Hiroshima's offense.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    53%
    128 Wins
    42%
    102 Wins
    10.05.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    4
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    09.05.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    08.05.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    1
    4
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    1
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    1
    1
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    1
    23.04.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
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    2
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    0
    0
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    2
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    0
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    0
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    22.04.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
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    2
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    Hiroshima Toyo Carp Team Overview

    Hiroshima failed to carry their offensive momentum from a 10-0 victory into the new series, once again struggling against Yakult's pitching. The team sits at the bottom of the Central League, and their weaknesses are particularly evident in this matchup: they've managed just seven runs over six games, with a .180 AVG and 46 strikeouts. With such stats, it's challenging for the hosts to push for a high-scoring game. A more realistic scenario would be to rely on Okamoto's start and look for a precise moment to keep the game within reach.

    Match Results: Hiroshima Toyo Carp

    11.06.26
    NPB
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
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    L
    10.06.26
    NPB
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    5
    4
    3
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    L
    09.06.26
    NPB
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    4
    3
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    L
    07.06.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    5
    2
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    W
    06.06.26
    NPB
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    7
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    W
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    Tokyo Yakult Swallows Team Overview

    Yakult have solidified their position at the top of the Central League, continuing to play confidently against Hiroshima. Their 4-1 victory marks their fifth win in the season series. The team not only scores enough runs but also effectively shuts down their opponent. The visitors boast a .244 AVG, with 50 hits and 19 runs against Hiroshima-figures that are not explosive but get the job done. Yakult's main advantage lies in the fact that they don't need a high score; their pitching consistently keeps the home team in a very low range.

    Match Results: Tokyo Yakult Swallows

    11.06.26
    NPB
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    4
    2
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    L
    10.06.26
    NPB
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    8
    4
    1
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    7
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    L
    09.06.26
    NPB
    Orix Buffaloes
    Orix Buffaloes
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    4
    3
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    L
    07.06.26
    NPB
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
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    7
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    L
    06.06.26
    NPB
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
    Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Shun Okamoto, a right-hander, boasts an ERA of 1.48 across 5 games with a 1-1 record. Against Yakult, his ERA is 1.50, although he holds a 0-1 record. Recent outings include: 5.1 IP / 6 H / 4 K / 1 R, 5 IP / 5 H / 3 K / 2 R, and 5 IP / 5 H / 6 K / 1 R. Okamoto consistently limits damage but often lacks run support.

    Kengo Matsumoto, also a right-hander, has an ERA of 3.00 over 5 games with a perfect 3-0 record. Against Hiroshima, he boasts an ERA of 0.00 with a win in their head-to-head matchup. His recent performances: 6 IP / 7 H / 7 K / 5 R, 6 IP / 6 H / 8 K / 3 R, and 6 IP / 3 H / 2 K / 0 R. While his recent form shows some vulnerability, he has already delivered a shutout against Hiroshima.


    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The total under 6.5 here primarily hinges on Hiroshima's weak offense in the head-to-head series. The hosts have managed just seven runs over six games against Yakult, and their recent home encounters in this matchup have been dominated by pitching control. Okamoto provides Hiroshima with a chance to hold steady; his ERA of 1.48 and consistent starts without significant damage are well-suited for a low-scoring scenario. Matsumoto, after two less-than-ideal outings, raises some concerns, but he boasts an ERA of 0.00 against Hiroshima, and the opponent's overall offensive profile remains too limited. Unless Yakult orchestrates an early big inning, the game should remain within a modest scoreline. In this matchup, the total under 6.5 is the preferred choice.

    Our choice
    Total Under (6.5) at odds of -141*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (8 May 2026, 14:56)

    Betting Tips: Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows

    Over 4.5 runs scored
    hiroshima-toyo-carp-2in 8 of last 9 Hiroshima Toyo Carp games (NPB).
    tokyo-yakult-swallows-2in last 8 Tokyo Yakult Swallows games (NPB).
    tokyo-yakult-swallows-2in 6 of last 7 Tokyo Yakult Swallows away games (NPB).
    Total Over (4.5)
    -238
    Under 7.5 runs scored
    tokyo-yakult-swallows-2in 14 of last 15 Tokyo Yakult Swallows away games (NPB).
    Total Under (7.5)
    -238
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp have scored under 2.5 runs
    hiroshima-toyo-carp-2in 9 of last 10 home games (NPB).
    Hiroshima Toyo Carp Total Under (2.5)
    -104
    Under 5.5 runs scored
    hiroshima-toyo-carp-2in 6 of last 7 Hiroshima Toyo Carp home games (NPB).
    Total Under (5.5)
    -105
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