Marlins vs Mets Prediction 7 September 2026
📡 Miami and the Mets open their series after both offenses enjoyed productive Sundays. The Marlins routed Chicago 10-3, while New York rallied for a 4-2 win over San Francisco, sparked by a four-run eighth inning. Over their last three games, the Mets have tallied 19 runs, including 10-6 and 5-9 scores in the first two matchups of their previous series. The opening pitching duel will feature Eury Pérez and Jonah Tong.
Head-to-Head
📊 Miami have claimed victory in six of the last ten head-to-head clashes, while the Mets have come out on top in four. Five of those games saw at least seven runs scored, with New York’s 9-7 and 10-1 wins standing out as particularly high-scoring affairs. In their most recent series between July and August, the Marlins took three out of four games.
Head-to-head statistics Marlins - Mets

Miami Marlins Team Overview
The Marlins have returned to a 72-72 record and boast a strong 43-29 mark at home. On Sunday, their offense finally broke out with a big inning-putting up five runs in the fifth, collecting 11 hits overall, and getting home runs from Heriberto Hernandez and Javier Sanoja. Miami are 4-6 over their last 10 games, but this current lineup is capable of applying pressure throughout the order, not just with the long ball.
Match Results: Miami Marlins

New York Mets Team Overview
The Mets stand at 65-78 and have taken five of their last ten games. Their offense has picked up recently-after putting up 10 runs against San Francisco, they followed with five and four, and earlier dropped another 10-run outing in Tampa. Bo Bichette sealed Sunday’s game with a three-run homer, Juan Soto continues to be their primary on-base threat, and over the past few weeks, the lineup has been far more effective at turning individual hits into big innings.
Match Results: New York Mets
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Eury Perez gets the nod for the home side, coming in with a 7-10 record, a 3.72 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP. Over 135.1 innings, he has racked up 145 strikeouts. Perez has shown he can maintain his rhythm deep into games, but even in a strong season, he could concede a few runs against a Mets lineup that has been making better use of their power hitting lately.
Jonah Tong takes the mound for New York with a 1-1 record, a 3.60 ERA, and a 1.50 WHIP over just 10 innings this season. The sample size is still very limited, and that elevated WHIP suggests opponents are regularly reaching base. After Miami’s 10-run outburst on Sunday, they’ll see this as another chance to put pressure on the pitcher early in the game.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The 6.5 line leaves plenty of room, even if Pérez gets off to a strong start. The Mets have racked up 19 runs over their last three games, while Miami are coming off a 10-run performance and play much better at home than on the road. Tong has only logged 10 innings this season with a 1.50 WHIP, so the hosts should be able to get plenty of runners on base. If both teams can plate at least three or four runs apiece, this total should be cleared without the need for any wild scenarios. We’re backing the over 6.5 total runs.